, 6 tweets, 4 min read Read on Twitter
With his militant approach Xi Jinping is not only losing China’s periphery.

From a personal conversation with a well-informed party insider I know that he is also alienating many rank & file CCP members.

They can not stand his rule by fear anymore.

The party will split.
@PaimeiGuy I wrote about this in my new book 'The Struggle for Democracy in Mainland China, Taiwan and Hong Kong. Sharp Power and its Discontents'.

Xi has antagonised pro-establishment figures within the Chinese Communist Party, the people whose support he needs most to stay in power.
@PaimeiGuy In the new China Leadership Monitor (Fall 2019 Issue 61) Minxin Pei makes the same point.

His article titled "Bureaucratic strategies of coping with strongman rule: How local officials survive in President Xi Jinping’s new order" is essential reading.

prcleader.org/pei-bureaucrat…
@PaimeiGuy This paragraph in Minxin Pei's article is right on the money.

"(...) it has become more difficult to monitor local officials or for them to be held accountable"

So much about the supposed efficiency gains by centralisation and strongman rule.
@PaimeiGuy Or this paragraph on 'one rule for the top brass & another for the foot soldiers'.

Why would people join the mafia if they cannot benefit from the protection racket?

If the party-state was sincere in its desire to combat corruption it would have to engage in political reform
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