After confusing myself over and over, and lots of fiddling to make this, and even now including breaking news that the Cherry case failed...
V14 of the #BrexitDiagram is here!
- before 17 Oct (16 Oct probable): 30%
- late Oct or later: 52%
Add in a post-Deal election route and chances of GE now at 84% total
However chances of a No Deal after a 16 Oct GE > than after a 31 Oct GE - but I can't judge *how* much