If there is a deal & DUP support it, it should pass the Commons:
286 MPs voted for May's deal on 29 March
-1 Brecon (Lib Dem gain)
-2 ?MPs like A Rudd who say Johnson's deal is worse
+20 of 28 Spartans
+15 Lab (S Kinnock & co) incl 1 Lib Dem (N Lamb)
+10 DUP
328 = majority of 17
286 MPs voted for May's deal on 29 March
-1 Brecon (Lib Dem gain)
-2 ?MPs like A Rudd who say Johnson's deal is worse
+20 of 28 Spartans
+15 Lab (S Kinnock & co) incl 1 Lib Dem (N Lamb)
+10 DUP
328 = majority of 17
My calculations excl 7 Sinn Fein, 4 Speaker & deputies, 4 tellers commonsvotes.digiminster.com/Divisions/Deta…
A DUP-backed deal could get more than 20/28 Tory Spartans (Eurosceptics who voted against May's deal 3x); but poss fewer than 15 extra Lab/Lib Dem votes (S Kinnock's MPs for a Deal group + G Stringer, K Hoey)
Note R Campbell, K Hopkins, D Skinner abstained on 29 March, in which case majority would be 20, & deal could pass even if there are only 6 extra Lab/Lib Dem votes for it
