, 13 tweets, 5 min read
My Authors
Read all threads
Remember:

0.5°C safety
1.3°C irreversible feedbacks (now)
1.5°C severe danger
2°C extreme danger
2.5°C approaching hell
3°C horror
3.5°C death of organised society
4°C human survival in doubt
5°C extinction possible
6°C extinction likely
7°C current trajectory

Climate 'change'.
This is an update. Please explore this thread (July 2019).


'average temperatures could rise 7°C above pre-industrial levels if carbon emissions continue unabated' (according to new IPCC climate models)
amp.france24.com/en/20190917-ea…

2C by 2040.

3-4C by 2060?
What should we expect?

1.5°C in the 2020s is virtually certain.

2°C by 2035-2040 looks very likely to me.

After that it becomes harder to say.

I'd guess 3.5- 4°C by 2065-2080, but that may not happen before 2100.

What can we do?

Here are 3 threads:👇
Please tell everybody you know about the climate & ecological catastrophe that's happening right now, and is about to explode into something unthinkable. We're in some kind of rapidly unfolding extinction event.

For real action we need truth & solidarity.
We need total and immediate system change, and that will probably require a transformation in human consciousness. All species now face a range of threats due to human political/economic activity (corporate capitalism).

Scientists have pointed out that at some point between 2°C and 4°C, we would probably be faced with societal collapse.

At 3.2°C most species would not survive.

Only rapid decarbonisation in the 2020s could give us a small chance of avoiding this in the coming decades, but the endless resource wars of fossil fuel capitalism will have to be stopped if we want to survive.

'for the MAJORITY of animals and plants, 3.2°C of warming would mean having most of their habitat wiped out entirely'

The speed of climate change leaves most creatures struggling or unable to evolve and adapt quickly enough to avoid extinction.

Thread:👇
We need to suck vast amounts of carbon out of the atmosphere very soon to survive, but we just don't have the technology to do this to scale.

This Extinction Economy won't even slash emissions.

New climate models appear to show ~2°C by 2040 as inevitable:
100s millions of people, mostly in countries in the Global South that have barely contributed to this emissions calamity, will be at risk from now on.

Billions will be at risk as we move to 2°C.

Protecting all people & animals is the only moral course.
The IPCC assumes successful use of 'NETs', but though they may be necessary they are problematic, not least because for the moment they are a fantasy and we've run out of time. We must stop emissions and hope aerosols don't kill us.

Thread for details:
👇
Aerosols, or hidden warming, are a major part of humanity's current predicament. When we reduce emissions we reduce aerosols from pollution which have been preventing even more warming than we've experienced. So slashing emissions isn't simply a 'solution'.rollingstone.com/politics/polit…
Frankly the danger is already extreme.

Over half a billion animals dead in NSW in the Australian climate chaos wildfires, nevermind the rest of the country. A billion people hit by extreme weather each year now & 250 million facing acute hunger/famine.
👇
Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to force a refresh.

Enjoying this thread?

Keep Current with Ben See

Profile picture

Stay in touch and get notified when new unrolls are available from this author!

Read all threads

This Thread may be Removed Anytime!

Twitter may remove this content at anytime, convert it as a PDF, save and print for later use!

Try unrolling a thread yourself!

how to unroll video

1) Follow Thread Reader App on Twitter so you can easily mention us!

2) Go to a Twitter thread (series of Tweets by the same owner) and mention us with a keyword "unroll" @threadreaderapp unroll

You can practice here first or read more on our help page!

Follow Us on Twitter!

Did Thread Reader help you today?

Support us! We are indie developers!


This site is made by just three indie developers on a laptop doing marketing, support and development! Read more about the story.

Become a Premium Member ($3.00/month or $30.00/year) and get exclusive features!

Become Premium

Too expensive? Make a small donation by buying us coffee ($5) or help with server cost ($10)

Donate via Paypal Become our Patreon

Thank you for your support!