My Iowa prediction is based on the Dumbest Possible Outcome (DPO) theory.
The DPO, which I just invented, holds that a healthy number of voters will deliberately or unintentionally do the most worst thing possible in terms of actually winning in November.
1/
The DPO, which I just invented, holds that a healthy number of voters will deliberately or unintentionally do the most worst thing possible in terms of actually winning in November.
1/
Under the DPO, the worst possible outcome would be:
- Sanders wins
- A muddled near-tie of multiple others in second place
- An array of campaigns come out of it insisting they “won” in some way
- Each uses that as fuel to press on vote-splitting in other primaries
2/
- Sanders wins
- A muddled near-tie of multiple others in second place
- An array of campaigns come out of it insisting they “won” in some way
- Each uses that as fuel to press on vote-splitting in other primaries
2/
- All while no campaign actually picked up an important number of delegates amounting to anything of consequence
And finally:
- The media runs wild with the narratives that Sanders is the presumptive nominee but it’s still a wide-open horse race
3/
And finally:
- The media runs wild with the narratives that Sanders is the presumptive nominee but it’s still a wide-open horse race
3/
Since that would be the most unproductive result toward winning in November, that’s my prediction.
Or rather, that’s the DPO’s prediction.
4/4
Or rather, that’s the DPO’s prediction.
4/4
p.s. “the most worst” in the first tweet was a typo but it somehow kinda works in reference to an undemocratic caucus in an unrepresentative state.
