I call this graph the Mr Miyagi or "Risk on...risk off". Big selloff during Feb in #USBonds. #Nasdaq however followed suite in latter part of month. Could we see further weakness in risky assets $ possible interim recovery in Bonds?
$TLT $QQQ
Man! You're making me work! That's 20...
The worst performing #MSCI#Sector of 2020 is not only making a comeback in 2021, but hurting any portfolio without #Energy stocks. Interesting to note that #Tech is suddenly fighting to stay positive YTD.
$IXC $IXN
Honey! Can you please turn the meat? Here graph for 25
Speaking about #Tech. When you look at recent pullback, you can clearly see why investors who've been invested in this sector, can't be too unhappy. However, be very careful - relative it still seems overcooked
$IXN $ACWI
Here goes nr6
Staying on tech-related data. After the recent recovery/outperformance by Chinese #internet companies again their US counterparts, we clearly saw some profit-taking in latter part of Feb. They are however still lagging over 3yrs.
$KWEB $FDN
Take your time, but make it quick! Nr 7
If you think that #USBonds were the only #bonds being sold-off in February, you should think again. Clearly #inflation is becoming a bit of a worry globally, with #EmergingMarkets Bonds actually having a worse time in February.
$EMB $IGLO
I can bank on the Twitterati to make me work on #SunnyBraaiDay. Nr 8
Speakings about the bank.
Mmm, what do we have here? Are #Banks liking the outlook of possible rate hikes or is this just #value mean reversion? #Global Banks really having a fun time in February
$BNKS $ACWI
Ok fine...nr 9
Naturally with the positivity around #Banks during Feb & the fact that it makes 48% of S&P #Global 1200 #Financials, it helped Financials in general to have an outperformance month. We can also see that it has some further relative upside potential.
$IXG $ACWI
Happy to see we're slowing down to 50 (km/h). Numero 10
Now we're getting to the fun stuff. Despite massive money printing & further stimulus, #Gold lagging #Global#Equities (for now). We are however getting closer to similar relative oversold levels seen in H2 2018
$GLD $ACWI
Eish! or without eish I must rather say. Nr11
So if you feel, looking at above☝️, that #Gold is ready to pop, then see what #GoldMiners did last year when it did. Yes, some will argue an overreaction, but Gold miners now getting close to underlying Gold again relative
$GDX $GLD
Shouldn't you all be braai'ing or taking a nap? You going to keep me busy till (nr)12
With hype around #silver I often get question between #gold/#silver miners. Relatively spoken, gap closed with silver joining industrial metal run. Could be good for gold (soon)
$GDX $SIL
Lucky nr13
Final one on metals. Looking at a broader #PreciousMetals#ETF (consisting of 54% Gold, 29% Silver, 13% Palladium & 4 Platinum) relative to equities, one can understand why some still see this as an opportunity.
Anybody wondered why the recent change in trend in #OrbisvsSP500#ETF unofficial challenge?
Hint - one of the answers might be found in recent outperformance by #Global#Value.
That's 75 going onto 2000. Nr15
Speaking about 2000 - #Russell2000 having a great 6 months, but now getting close to short-term relative "overbought" territory.
YTD performance by US Small Caps +11.3% in US$, while $SPY is up 1.7%
$IWM
If you're still keen, let's do nr16
Now you've earned some Local...Lekkerrr #ETF data. FTSE/JSE Top40 ETF recovering & already catching 1st developed market over 3yr period. Still behind, but watch this space...
You know what rhymes with "seventy-five"? Time to light my fire! Ok, it doesn't, but it's true. Nr 17
Similar to #Global#Factor#ETF data, we saw South African #Value also making a bit of a comeback. Over 6 month period, #STX40 delivered total return of 19.5%. #NFEVAL did 27.5%
UPDATE ON MARKETS: What an eventful start to 2021. Between short-squeezes and hedge funds blowing up, volatility was definitely on the forefront during January. FTSE/JSE All Share (JSE) improved by 5.21% during January, bringing the 12-month returns to 14.51%.
2/12
South African Large Caps dominated during January, growing by 5.41%. Mid Caps and Small Caps grew by 2.59% and 3.88%, respectively.
3/12
The FTSE/ JSE All Share (+1.95%) enjoyed a better month than the MSCI All Country World Index (-0.45%) again in USD terms. The 12-month performance for the JSE in USD-terms is now only lagging behind the MSCI ACWI´s performance by 3.7%.
#SouthAfrica might need a lot of catch up, but $EZA YTD performance in USD (+0.2%) continued 2nd half on 2020 recovery against $URTH (-0.8%)
3/12
#Global#Value#stocks still making short-term recovery, with $IWVL #ETF still looking strong relatively over the short-term. Over 3yr period it is however still lagging quite substantially.
- 2020 worst perf #sector making comeback in 2021 $IXC
- This is helping #oil producing countries with #Nigeria, #UAE & #Russia in top5 #Country ETF YTD performers in USD $NGE $UAE $ERUS
- Few countries moving in red this week
2/8
#Global#Value#stocks still making short-term recovery, with $IWVL #ETF still looking very strong relatively over the short-term. Over 3yr period it is however still lagging quite substantially.
This should be interesting for this months #OrbisvsSP500 unofficial challenge
3/8
This one is worrying, but then again, it's been for some time. #Global#Tech#stocks relative to #MSCI All Country World Index is definitely creating some concern. Be very careful.
UPDATE ON MARKETS: What a month! FTSE/JSE All Share improved by 10.5% during November, following 4.7% contraction during Oct & 1.6% decline in Sep. SA Property stocks made 17.5% recovery during Nov, bringing YTD performance to -43.6%. SA All Bond Index increased by 3.3% for month
2/13
South African Small Caps continued to perform well during November, growing by 15.56%. Mid-Caps and Large Caps grew by 10.05% and 10.37% respectively.
3/13
FTSE/ JSE All Share ( $JALSH) again enjoyed a better month than the #MSCI All Country World Index in USD terms. The YTD performance for the JSE in USD-terms was -7.12% versus the MSCI ACWI’s performance of 11.10%.
UPDATE ON MARKETS: With flareup of #COVID19 globally & many countries moving back into hard lockdown, #markets reacted. FTSE/JSE All Share contracted by further 4.7% during October, following 1.6% September decline. Another horrible month for Local Property stocks dropping 8.5%.
2/12
South African Small Caps were top performers for October, growing by 0.1% during the month. Mid Caps declined by 3.1% for the period, while Large Caps had a massive loss of 5.1% during October.
3/12
Although JSE was not left unscathed, it did outperform MSCI All Country World Market in USD. $JALSH however need quite a few more of these, with the YTD performance for the JSE in USD-terms at -19.98% versus the MSCI ACWI’s performance of -1.09%.
UPDATE ON MARKETS: Following the recovery in May, the FTSE/JSE All Share enjoyed another SOLID (+7.74%) month in June. Local Property stocks (SAPY) enjoyed a BIG comeback, increasing by 13.4% during June.
2/10
After lagging behind in both April and May, Small Caps was the star performer with an 11.4% increase. Large-Caps again outperformed the JSE (+7.85%), while Mid-Caps lagged somewhat behind with +6.6% over the same period.
3/10
What made JSE’s performance even more remarkable, was its outperformance in USD, again outperforming both MSCI All Country World Index (+3.2%) & MSCI Emerging Market Index (+7.4%), with a performance of 9.1% over the same period.