The last times it was below $900, was in 2020 (panic), 2018 (bear market), 2016 (double bottom), 2008 (panic), and 2005/2004 (bull market).
Meanwhile, the outlook for #platinum is far more positive now:
- ICE cars being phased out before 2075 *is a pipedream*.
When 1 or 2 smallish countries try to transition fully, sure, it can happen.
When the entire world tries to do so at the same time, which includes China, NONE of the battery metal industries are ready for that scale.
Nickel, Lithium, Cobalt, Copper, Rare Earths. None are ready.
Sure it's possible, but only over time, and with a robust recycling economy too. It takes time, something current rulers have completely forgotten. Reality will not move at *their* speed.
But, since people will continue to care about emissions, that just means cleaner ICE cars.
That means more catalytic converters, which means more.... Palladium.
But since Platinum and Palladium do essentially the same thing, the industry switches between the two, and Palladium is still twice as expensive.
Essentially, but not entirely.
- Hydrogen fuel cells use #Platinum as a catalyst, not Palladium.
And since the world seems hell-bent on making both hydrogen and solar/wind/peak-power work; fuel cell usage will *have* to grow, and with it, platinum usage.
Minimizing usage is a decades long process.
- retail investment into Palladium is negligible. It's seen in all respects as a purely industrial metal.
But Platinum DOES have an investment community and has coins minted. While its history is much shorter then silver/gold, its monetary properties are the same.
- Economic reality.
All this push for "greener" has been made possible by easy FIAT money, something that is ending. The PPI of *insert random country here* is exploding, which can only mean Efficiency will be king again soon.
Meaning Cheap. And ICE cars are cheaper to make.
Much cheaper. Especially if we start tearing out Semiconductors again and make Analog cars.
It's less comfortable, but if we all turn out poor, atleast it's still a car. Small and light also = efficient.
But it still uses gas; so, catalytic conversion is needed.
Undermined, underutilized, very much needed, increased usage looking forward, not reduced, no matter how you slice it (because MATH goddamnit).
There aren't that many primary producers, and the few that exist, ARE MAKING BANK!
Simple overview between revenues and shareprices. As Peter Lynch teaches us, when the revenues double, so does the stock price. If it halves, the price halves. Stocks aren't lottery tickets.
It just takes a while for the market to catch up to reality sometimes.
Reality is;
There's value in Platinum, there's no reason it won't be used more in the future, there are few producers, and those that exist have absolutely exploding revenues.
So if the market is stupid enough to sell that; that's your gain. I can't believe it's this low.
Oh, and finally;
Don't forget. #Platinum is about *as shorted* as #silver is on the Comex.
It'd probably be just as easy for $SPPP to squeeze the Platinum market as $SPUT's squeezing #Uranium.
Shame @Sprott doesn't split Palladium and Platinum! Like so they think about it!
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And Seeking Alpha/Bondsupermart. Picking a random bond cause i'm lazy.
1. Country garden: Fucked.
Their market cap is now 1/3rd of enterprise value, which i'm using as a quick check, should be obvious what problems are facing the entire sector now. The closer those values are, the less problems their in.
2. Poly Real Estate Group
Couldn't find much on this one, seems to be part of a larger SOE. Nevertheless, the bond POLHON 4.000% 10Nov2025 Corp (USD)
Ease Trade Global Limited (Keepwell: China Poly Group Corporation Limited) is also diving.
Why #contagion will continue to spread, why Xi will NOT change course, why it's The Federal Reserve's fault, why Hyperinflation's next, and more!
First off, Why Now?
Evergrande's been Teetering for more then a year. Naturally, things have to come to a head at some point, but why now?
I think the answer is found in Commodities. Specifically the fact that building important stuff like #Iron and #Copper have been mooning.
To stem the tide, at $4,8 a pound copper, #China announced they would release metals from their strategic reserves to stop the price increases, and copper took a dive.
Reserves they ran up in July 2020 when the price was cheap, btw. China Copper imports were off the charts.
Rhodium tends to go ballistic in the final phase of market bubbles. Nobody knows why, but it happened before the 2000 bubble blew, same with the 2008 bubble...
...and it's showing clear topping patterns.
But it's not just Rhodium.
All INDUSTRIAL precious metals are showing similar topping patterns.
AND! The strength of those tops correlates with the industrial element of each metal.
Palladium looks like Rhodium, while Gold is going straight up. Silver offers the awnser:
Where to start with this one. I guess first some background information on one of the biggest frauds of the Dot-Com bubble in Germany: Infomatec.
This was a company that was basically pumping its shareprice with "ad-hoc announcements", meaning literally just lying.
Now, after reading some articles today on Bitfinex's CEO, i thought i'd have a go at trying to find out more about this guy. A quick google came up with a reddit post people probably have seen before, attached below. I've also reattached the linkedin profile that link leads to.
This time, going after $ARKK - Well, the lot of em.
I heard that #Cathiewood had obtained a large amount of the float of some Illiquid stocks, and i wanted to see how big the problem was.
And i found out this woman has no clue what she's investing in. Thread 👇
So what i did;
Courtesy of arktrack.com and seekingalpha.com, i went through $ARKK's most illiquid names, to see how difficult it would be to liquidate those positions - AND to see if the companies are valued anywhere near correctly.
So i looked at some stats.
I looked at shares per company and the float, then calculated how much of that float ARK has across all funds (using the "individual stocks" tab on the site).
That's necessary because *multiple ARK funds own ALL of them!*