Thread : ๐Ÿงต
With #OPEC Plus clinging to #oil pumping operations at nearly the same level, which leads to a continuous rise in fuel prices globally, in my opinion, the key to this crisis is in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia.
#KSA #USA #Russia #Ukraine #EU #NATO #Iran Image
As it is known, #Riyadh is the second largest oil exporter in the world with about 10 mbd and the second largest reserves. #SaudiArabia also leads the #OPEC, which includes a number of oil exporters, making it an important influence on global oil prices.
It is important to stress that the current rise started since the 4th quarter of last year, months before Russian invasion in #Ukraine, with assurances from #US, confirming its attempt to communicate with the Saudi side to raise the level of production, hitting a dead end.
From the Saudi point of view, the current #US administration, since its accession to power, has ignored the Kingdom in its dealings with the region, and has taken steps hostile in one way or another to Saudi national security.
One of the first decisions of the #Biden administration was to remove the name of the #Houthi militia from the #FTO, despite the cross-border missile and drone attacks carried out by this militia against the Kingdom.
At the end of last August, #Washington reduced the number of its batteries in Saudi lands in conjunction with reducing the number of its forces there, despite the continuous threats the Kingdom is facing from #Iran.
Within the same course, #Washington is still making concessions continuously to the Iranian regime under the cover of returning to the nuclear deal. A deal, which, if signed, will give #Tehran a green light to raise its threats to the Kingdom.
This negative atmosphere between the #Biden admin and #KSA, in light of positive relations between the Republicans & the Saudis, led #Riyadh to use the oil as a pressure card on #Biden and support for the Republicans inside America in the approaching midterm elections.

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More from @evacool_

Apr 3
Although I personally understand the Saudi concerns which led to this policy, I see it as a huge mistake and that Saudi Arabia will not be a winner from it. Surprisingly, the biggest winners from this energy crisis are #Russia and #Iran.
#KSA #USA #Biden #Ukraine #Israel #UAE
Because of the ongoing war on #Ukraine and the economic sanctions on #Russia , the rise in energy prices makes the imports of oil gas very important to cover #Moscow's depletion in other fields.
Moscow has already started exploiting the card of energy externally as well by blackmailing Europe and raising its exports to eastern countries at much lower prices.
Read 7 tweets
Mar 11
Thread : ๐Ÿงต
Today, Russian Defense Minister Shoigu announced that there are more than 16,000 volunteers ready to support and fight in #Lugansk and #Donetsk if #Russia requests it.
#Ukraine #USA #NATO #EU #UK #Biden
This announcement was not surprising to me or to those familiar with the scene in #Syria in particular and the Middle East in general. In my opinion, #Moscow is able to mobilize more than double that number and has already started accepting recruitment requests.
There are two types of militias in the Middle East, one part carrying a religious ideology (like #Hezbollah), and another part in the form of security companies, among which the fighters volunteered for economic reasons (25th Brigade in #Syria).
Read 11 tweets
Mar 11
As I predicted two days ago, the Russian invasion of #Ukraine would directly affect the course of the negotiations in #Vienna on #Iran's nuclear program, which was declared frozen today.
To understand why, you can read the thread:๐Ÿ‘‡
Signing the agreement would have meant a stab in the back for #Russia by opening the way for Iranian oil and gas to be pumped into the global market, which would turn the most dangerous Russian weapon against the West less severe.
#Iran #USA #EU #UK #NATO
A rejection of the agreement would create to the West anger and disappointment with all the economic and security concessions made by #France, #Germany and the #US, which in one way or another caused tension in western relations with #SaudiArabia and the #UAE.
Read 6 tweets
Mar 10
A thread explaining the military, humanitarian, and diplomatic situation of #Mariupฮฟl after around 10 days of siege of the city.
In the humanitarian scene, electricity has been cut off from the city since the beginning of the siege as a result of the Russian armyโ€™s targeting of power supply stations, causing the heating stopping in a cold winter weather with temperatures of -10 in the evening.
We are talking about more than 300,000 people who did not leave the city with the interruption of the food supply. This pushed the population towards consuming canned food, which is also starting to run out, with very limited sources of drinking water.
Read 11 tweets
Mar 9
Thread :๐Ÿงต
Yesterday, the Polish government announced its agreement to relinquish a number of MiG-29s "immediately and free of charge" to the United States and transfer them in to the Ramstein base in #Germany.
#Ukraine #Russia #USA #NATO #Poland #EU #UK Image
This step was met with fear and anxiety by the #Pentagon in #Washington under the pretext that it does not want the #US or any of the #NATO countries to have a direct role in the ongoing war in #Ukraine.
2/11 Image
At the outset, it must be emphasized that the launch of any warplane from any of the #NATO bases in the vicinity of Ukraine and its entry into the Ukrainian airspace will be considered by Moscow as a direct participation in the war, and thus a broader clash and a global war.
3/11 Image
Read 11 tweets
Oct 14, 2021
A number of TV channels and websites close to #Iran published a statement attributed to the so-called "Syria's Allies Operations Room" confirming that the #IDF targeted two of their sites in the vicinity of the Syrian city of #Palmyra.1/6
#Syria #Israel #IRGC #USA #Russia
The statement indicated that the attack was carried out from over the Al-Tanf area and confirmed the deaths and injuries among the fighters of these militias. It also explicitly referred to an American role in this attack, and vowed to respond "very strong".2/6
This is not the first time that the so-called "Syria's Allies Operations Room" makes a statement. It has issued a number of previous statements, including the attacks of the #IDF on #Syria, and the battles of the city of #Aleppo against the Syrian rebels.3/6
Read 6 tweets

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