"Argument-Making in the Wild"

Today's SFI Seminar by Simon DeDeo (@LaboratoryMinds), streaming now. Follow our thread for pull quotes and slides:

First, let's divide human history into three eras, or regimes of #knowledge #production and #consumption:

• #premodern/#archaic
• #modern + #postmodern
• the #egregore (online content sharing)

• The premodern era is defined by caloric restriction.
• The modern era is characterized by a small number of sellers of #information vs. a large number of consumers (see also #HerbertSimon's remarks on the "poverty of #attention")

In the third regime, there's a #feedback loop between #attention allocation and content production/consumption. We're living through a #phasetransition akin to the #originoflife, with respect to cultural #information:

Something has got to give: attentional #scaling is not indefinite. #ContentModeration

cc @GreatDismal

"It's sewage that is being processed and re-processed."
- Simon DeDeo re: @Twitter 🤣

(see also: "Your Catfish Friend" by Richard Brautigan:
poets.org/poem/your-catf…)

"We've never been in a situation where millions of people can respond to each other in minutes."

#media @Reddit
"This system is eating people, but it's not necessarily the same people every day."
And then with a shout to @MelMitchell1 and #ML #MachineLearning, the structure of the #perception/#reproduction cycle:
Re: work with @_c_perry and the #RedPill movement, a runaway #misogynist #ConspiracyTheory, and regarding it in terms of #metabolic closure – an #egregore on @Reddit fed by #attention and dissected with #TopicModeling (yay #Bayesian)
"In general, something like 90% of the people [in #RedPill] post once and disappear forever. Most people are tourists. Our question here is about #semantics. How do people flow through this space?"

Re: #Attention #Metabolism
"We're interested in how people make arguments online...for @hugoreasoning @dansperber, #arguments are fundamentally public and shareable #objects."

"It's a taxonomic question. There's a standard answer from philosophers: #inductive, #deductive, #abductive"
DOES anyone change their view on r/#ChangeMyView?

"Yes. About 1% of the time."

Re: #adoption, #abortion, #argument (on @reddit)
There are six patterns of #argument extracted from the #TopicModeling data on r/#ChangeMyView

"The most powerful argument you can make is a pattern of #causation. The second is from personal experience."
This structure checks out on @lesswrong:
@lesswrong "The point at which I start getting #deductive with you probably suggests a #breakdown in #assumptions."

"We're just looking at how people #convince each other. They MAY be #convincing each other of the #truth."
The after-party: Simon DeDeo holds court at SFI afternoon tea with our 2022 Undergraduate Complexity Research cohort, discussing the relative timescales of biological and cultural evolution in humans and how we are flying off the adaptive treadmill...
#ErrorCatastrophe
📈🥳☕

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More from @sfiscience

Jul 27
Queuing up for tonight's sold out (but streaming) Community Lecture by Fractal Faculty Professor @seanmcarroll! Image
🧵 Follow this thread as we look into Schröedinger's Box with @seanmcarroll (newly appointed to Chair of #NaturalPhilosphy at @JohnsHopkins) and learn about the #ManyWorlds hypothesis of #QuantumMechanics:

"Even if we're wrong, it's not magic, it's #physics, it's #science, and it can be understood."

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"The Evolution of Strangers and Foreigners"

🧵 Today's SFI Seminar by @DoctorBugs (@Smithsonian)

santafe.edu/events/life-an…

cc @templeton_fdn
First, a loop back to his LAST (2020) SFI Seminar on 3D structure of living systems from biofilms to rainforest canopies:


And his #ComplexityPodcast episode on ideas from that talk and this one:
complexity.simplecast.com/episodes/52-Z7…
"People often think of societies as cooperative, but some societies are NOT very cooperative. I prefer to put the focus on them as groups."

"Societies are just one aspect of belonging. There are groups *within* societies & that's what psychologists mostly focus on."

@DoctorBugs
Read 15 tweets
Jul 6
🧵 Group project presentations begin today for the 2022 SFI Complex Systems Summer School! We will share bits and pieces over the next two days...

#CSSS #ComplexSystems
First talk this morning by a team including @JenniferKBriggs @gatesdupont @maikemorrison @davidogara_ @simon_rella Ian Harryman & Haoyuan Luo on their contagion model ("Hopefully you'll see this published later" may as well be the official slogan of this summer school)
Our next group considers online #pornography a strangely under-examined domain for quantitative research & wants to bring #digitalhumanities approaches & multilayer network analysis to bear on it. @gulsahakcakir @AnaVybor @thomas_bssnt @prt_thibault @simon_rella

Take their poll:
Read 6 tweets
May 18
"We evolved to be physically active. But most of us avoid physical activity."

The Active Grandparents Hypothesis

Daniel Lieberman, @Harvard

SFI Colloquium, streaming now:
"We evolved from #apes and apes are couch potatoes."

Daniel Lieberman, @Harvard

SFI Colloquium, streaming now:


#evolution #hominin #anthropology #physiology
"Your average hunter-gatherer walks from New York to LA every year."

Daniel Lieberman, @Harvard

SFI Colloquium, streaming now:
Read 24 tweets
May 17
🧵 "Transient dynamics: the key to ecological understanding"

Today's Colloquium by SFI External Professor Alan Hastings (@UCDavis, @theNASciences)

Streaming now on our YouTube channel:
youtube.com/c/SFIScience/

#Ecology #ComplexSystems
@ucdavis @theNASciences "One might say that natural ecological #systems *don't exist anymore*..."

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#LoktaVolterra
@ucdavis @theNASciences @eco_hastings "The long-term behavior of the #epidemic is not what you want to focus on. Let's focus instead on dynamics at shorter timescales."

SFI External Prof Alan Hastings @eco_hastings
(@UCDavis), criticizes conventional ecological models, streaming now:
Read 9 tweets
Apr 30
🌍 Our 2022 #Science Board Symposium on "The #Emergent #PoliticalEconomy or #ClimateChange" kicks off with opening remarks from President David Krakauer.

Follow this 🧵 as we provide live coverage of this event all day...
"For those of you who think behavior change can prevent #ClimateChange...behavior WILL change when climate changes. Shutdowns from the pandemic resulted in a reduction of #C02 emissions of about 7.5%."
- SFI/@Harvard Prof Dan Schrag opens our speaker series today
"We *used* to talk about #ClimateChange used to be something that would happen to people in Bangladesh fifty years from now."

Re: #ClimateJustice,
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- SFI/@Harvard Prof Dan Schrag
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