Thread: 13 September 2022: Day 202 of #Russia's invasion of #Ukraine
Latest @DefenceHQ update: #Russia's 1st Guards Tank Army (1 GTA), "one of the most prestigious" units, operating under the Western Military District, "had not been fully reconstituted" before #Ukraine began the #Kharkiv counter-offensive; has now suffered further "heavy" losses.
#Russia "recently requested to purchase ammunition for its Uragan rocket artillery from #Tajikistan, along with shells for Pion howitzers and armored personnel carrier (APC) engines." yahoo.com/now/moscow-see…
#Iran's drones - Shahed-136 (Geranium-2 in Russian) - visually confirmed to be used by #Russia in #Ukraine.
#pt: Yup. Same throughout the West. A pointless routine of: "We couldn't possibly ... We might be able to ... Okay, we can ... Soon ... Any day now ... ". Repeated for every category of weapons. Leads to so many needless Ukrainian deaths.
#Russia: the FSB has arrested an employee of an aerospace factory in Moscow on suspicion of high treason. The man photographed "classified top-secret technical documents," and sent them to a mobile phone in Odesa. themoscowtimes.com/2022/09/13/fsb…
Some positive signs #Europe has resolved the energy crisis.
Rather strong reactions in #Georgia against popular expressions of support for #Russia's government - and a countervailingly strong pro-#Ukraine response.
#Russian commentators fear #Ukraine will next move against Vuhledar, and that when it does the collapse will be similar to what happened in Kharkiv, opening the road to Volnovakha and Mariupol.
Thread on #Russia's catastrophic mismanagement of the war, more an issue of a military culture organised around a hyper-centralised command structure, than a lack of information per se, a stark contrast to #Ukraine absorbing #NATO customs and practices.
Foreign Minister Dmytro Kuleba says #Ukraine has little to discuss with #Russia: any "peace" agreement would involve the total restoration of Ukrainian sovereignty.
The teachers #Russia sent into #Ukraine as part of the attempt to eradicate Ukrainian culture and language got left behind as the Russians collapsed in Kharkiv.
Ivan Pechorin, a #Russian businessman, the managing director of the Corporation for the Development of the Far East and the Arctic, "fell off a boat at full speed and died" on Sept. 10 near Russky Island in the Sea of Japan off Vladivostok. tvpworld.com/62731809/russi…
#Finland's Prime Minister Sanna Marin says the #EU has been naive about #Russia, should have paid more attention to #Poland and the #Baltic states.
The head of the Presidential Office in #Ukraine met with @AndersFoghR to present a Kyiv Security Compact, where the "guarantor states" will include: the US, Britain, Canada, Poland, Italy, Germany, France, Australia, Turkey, and others.
Interview with #Ukraine's President Zelensky, who is continuing to set an example by living life in public as the country's leader in his capital, encouraging his people to live their lives as normally as possible in the city.
According to the #German readout of a call between Chancellor Olaf Scholz and #Russia's ruler Vladimir Putin, Sholz "urged" Putin to "find a diplomatic solution" ASAP in #Ukraine "based on a ceasefire [and] a complete withdrawal of Russian troops" politico.eu/article/scholz…
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Thread: 15 September 2022: Day 204 of #Russia's invasion of #Ukraine
#Russian soldier talking to his wife is somewhat unimpressed with the commanders and even less impressed with the #Chechen Kadyrovtsy, the "Akhmat", who "fucked off (i.e. ran away), the fucking cowards" as the #Ukrainians closed in.
In #Mariupol overnight, #Ukrainians sang the national anthem in Liberation Square, knowing it can get them arrested and worse by the #Russian occupation authorities in the city. A sense that liberation is coming is spreading.
Thread: 14 September 2022: Day 203 of #Russia's invasion of #Ukraine
Latest @DefenceHQ update notes the confirmation that #Russia is using #Iran's Shahed-136 drones, which have a range of 1,500 miles and were used in the attack on the MT MERCER STREET merchant tanker on 3 July 2021. Seems Moscow is using them for tactical strikes, not long-range.
Talk in #Georgia of opening a second front while #Russia is tied down in #Ukraine to liberate the occupied areas in Abkhazia and South Ossetia.
If you want to challenge for Russian-protected territories, now is the moment. (See also: #Azerbaijan.)
Thread: 12 September 2022: Day 201 of #Russia's invasion of #Ukraine
Latest @DefenceHQ update: #Russia is gone from #Kharkiv & "struggling to bring sufficient reserves" to reinforce #Kherson, where an "improvised floating bridge" started two weeks ago is unfinished and #Ukraine is hitting the Dnipro River crossings faster than they can be repaired
Great moving map shows the stark difference over six months, between March, when #Russia was at its height in terms of territory held in #Ukraine, and yesterday
Thread: 11 September 2022: Day 200 of #Russia's invasion of #Ukraine
Latest @DefenceHQ update: #Ukraine has "continued to make significant gains in the Kharkiv region" over the last 24 hours. Also notes that #Putin has lied about exports of grain from Ukraine.
#Putin's warlord-president of #Chechnya, Ramzan Kayrov, coping very hard and threatening further conquests in #Ukraine. Interestingly, this comes after Kadyrov appeared to say he was resigning.
Thread: 10 September 2022: Day 199 of #Russia's invasion of #Ukraine
Latest @DefenceHQ update takes note of #Ukraine's advances against #Russia in the Kharkiv Oblast, which the Russians had only lightly defended; there was also likely an element of surprise. The Ukrainians are pressing on in Kherson, too.
#Ukraine has liberated Kupyansk, the crucial city of #Russia's occupation administration in #Kharkiv. Her troops can be seen here in the city centre.
Thread: 5 September 2022: Day 194 of #Russia's invasion of #Ukraine
Latest @DefenceHQ update: #Russia's "main effort in #Ukraine almost certainly remains its Donbas offensive", rather than reinforcing against the counter-offensive in Kherson. Moscow has had "the most success" in Donetsk recently, but it is still advancing only 0.5 miles per week.
Horseshoe theory in action: "Progressive International" leader supporting the nationalist protests in #Czechia and their #Russia-friendly demands to cease support to #Ukraine and restore economic relations with Moscow.