Thread by @PolAgnostic

1. Once again, despite a better first year than Reagan, all kinds of Trump supporters are getting bent out of shape over things they hear are being "put on the table" in the immigration negotiations with the Democrats.

Let's talk about why you should Stay Calm.
@realDonaldTrump

2. Everyone who has no experience negotiating deals summed up by 100+ pages of legalese should pay attention. You can learn the most important rule of negotiating next:

"If you aren't willing to walk away with NO DEAL, you've already lost."

Where've you heard that before? 😀

3. Negotiating an immigration deal falls under that rule

One side has multiple choices they can offer (Trump) & the other side (Dems) already have deal breaker "minimums" their radical base is demanding.
(From outside of Schumer's house @ 3 AM)

Only Trump can walk away
#NoDeal

4. Trump's team goes in KNOWING what the Dems MUST HAVE for a WIN.

That's like the Eagles handing the Patriots their playbook two weeks before the Super Bowl - it's going to be a one sided outcome.

The Dems WIN is to get a path to citizenship for 3.6 million (or more) illegals.

5. So Trump puts out an offer of a path to citizenship for 1.8 million illegals.

How can the Dems agree to that?

Are they going to say to their base,

"OK half of you got lucky but the other half are screwed."

Nope.

And guess what happens then?

6. The Dems are going to push for MORE.

Big mistake.

Because Trump's team says,

"Sorry, that was a one time offer & now it's off the table. Let's discuss border security instead."

Now the Dems don't have a deal for 50%, they're back at 0%

Would you want to break that news?

7. Nope, the folks outside Schumer's house would burn it to the ground if you told them you had 50% in hand but lost it.

It doesn't matter they would have been angry at 50% - you HAD 50% for them & YOU lost it.

This is known as the Monty Hall Problem
mathworld.wolfram.com/MontyHallProbl…

8. If you click on the link, be warned! Just the mathematical proof has caused heated arguments for decades.

The psychology behind it gets even more contentious.

Trump & lots of other master negotiators use this because it works.

As long as you can walk away & say, "No Deal"

9. In September, the conventional wisdom of DC put a tax cut, much less reform, at a 0% chance of happening ... EVER ... during a Trump administration.

EVER

And by Christmas --- POOF! The largest tax reform & cuts EVER.

Stay Calm & Let President Trump worry about Making a Deal