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Islamic World Update @islamicworldupd
, 4 tweets, 5 min read Read on Twitter
#SAA General Staff come to the conclusion that the current Syrian contingent in #AlSafa front against #ISIS/#Daesh militants won't be decided by the present forces & sent reinforcements to the area
At first,only 1 #SAA armored division & 1st Commando Division fought there #Syria
Now almost all of #SAA combat units are concentrated on #AlSafa
1 Armored Division Corps
3 Armored Division Corps
Mechanized Infantry Division
4 Armored Division with Golan rocket launchers
Armored Division
Commando Division
Armored Infantry Corps
Al-Quds Brigade
Elnimer Force
Pic of #Russia/n soldiers participating in #SAA #AlSafa offensive on #ISIS/#Daesh militants #Syria
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More from @islamicworldupd see all

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Fierce fighting on the outskirts of #Hodeidah. #Houtis forces attempt to control the line Sanaa under the fire of the Arab coalition aircraft #Yemen
Arab coalition control S of #Hodeidah and the development of Tihama and the university area #Yemen
Video: Clashes btwn Arab coalition & #Houthis forces East of #Hodeidah #Yemen
Read 10 tweets

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On US withdrawal from Syria; US had *no* good options to begin with, & finally picked TR over YPG since it “would make it easier for the United States to pull out of Syria entirely, which Trump seems to want.”

Wrote in April, for ⁦@WarOnTheRocks⁩ warontherocks.com/2018/04/betwee…
Those who cry panic and anger over US withdrawal from Syria miss two facts:
1) Syrian mess is not *only* about #ISIS, and Turkey-PKK/YPG crisis was not going anywhere
2) US was trapped in what I called “strategic procrastination,” set to get embroiled in another Forever War...
This doesn’t mean the US picked the best option. As I wrote in the piece above in April, it could have picked YPG over Turkey as well, with certain risks and benefits. But, Trump signaled intention to withdraw, and *if you want that*, dropping YPG is the only way to go.
Read 3 tweets
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DEVELOPING: #ISIS force strength now may be close to its peak in 2015.
As of June 2018, estimated 28,600 to 31,600 #Daesh fighters in #Iraq #Syria per IG report

US intelligence estimates had 33,000 #ISIS fighters at group's peak in 2015

h/t @nickglavin
The same report says there are about 200 #ISIS fighters in #Philippines

media.defense.gov/2018/Aug/07/20…
#ISIS caliphate gone but it's foot soldiers remain-as many as 32,000 #Daesh in #Iraq #Syria per latest @DeptofDefense intel

At its peak US intel officials said ISIS boasted about 33,000 fighters
voanews.com/a/far-from-dea…
Read 15 tweets
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Make no mistake - the #ISIS problem is a long, long way from going away, in both #Syria & #Iraq.

Raids, ambushes, assassinations, IEDs, kidnappings, extortion/intimidation etc. It’s all continuing, while everyone proclaims “victory” and the fight [near] “over."
#ISIS is back to bombings, assassinations, kidnappings across #Diyala, #Kirkuk & Salah ad Din - in scenes eerily reminiscent of 2011-2014.

This has been building for weeks, but thanks @LizSly for bringing more attention - the fight is **far** from over.

wapo.st/2mrXJPQ?tid=ss…
@LizSly Former #Iraq-i National Security Advisor al-Rubaie:

- “There's going to be an imminent resurgence of #ISIS. You can see it in the records & the intelligence reports”

More deeply worrying reports, this time from @AbdoGeneive:

reuters.com/article/us-abd…
Read 5 tweets
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#SAA started new operation to clean #Suwayda desert from #ISIS groups (evacuated from S. #Damascus some weeks ago). Army took control over Ashrifiyah & Awra areas. #ISIS still has presence in Tall Sa'd, Tamutha, Al Kura & Qaa al Banāt
#Suwayda : #SAA expelled #ISIS from Mushirifah/Khirbet al-Umbashi area
#Suwayda : #SAA advanced from 3 axis, advancing many km in the third one & getting fire control over Al Kura in the first one (Map corrected)
Read 24 tweets
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3 years ago ISIS had eclipsed al-Qaeda as the most powerful jihadist organization in the world. It controlled territory in 3 countries, had operational affiliates in more than a dozen others, was making $2M a day, and its theocratic caliphate ruled over some 6 million people.
Today, all of that is gone notes @johnddavidson. In a string of defeats that began w/Iraqi forces seizing control of Ramadi at the end of 2015, ISIS was gradually pushed out of the Iraqi cities of Fallujah & Mosul, the northern Syrian city of Raqqa & numerous points in between.
The reason #ISIS is now a fragmented & scattered terrorist group like al-Qaeda is because of key strategic changes by the Trump admin. Chief among these was a shift away from Obama’s policy of “attrition” to Trump’s policy of “annihilation”. thefederalist.com/2018/01/18/5-t…
Read 3 tweets
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We started a new year (I hope the last) of the Syrian civil war. But 2017 has been the most important year & the result of inflection point of the war in 2016 with many political & military developments : (1)
The first military operation of #SAA was Wadi Bara (23/12/2016 - 29/1/2017) which finished with the evacuation of rebels from Wadi Barada & the North montainous area in the border with Lebanon. At the same time other forces advanced in E.Ghouta reaching some parts of Hazrama (2)
#SDF started the second phase of #WrathOfEuphrates operation on December securing the West flank of #Raqqa plains (3)
Read 47 tweets

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