Thread by @YadlinAmos

Trump’s declaration on US forces withdrawal from Syria is a significant step, but there’s no reason to panic.
2000 US troops came to Syria to fight against ISIS and had no authorities to act against Iran.
1/8

Syria, Israel was and remains the only actor enforcing red lines on the Iranians.
Israel has always been defending itself, and seeks no foreign forces’ defense. Not even by our greatest friend and ally - the US.
2/8

The important role of America is to push Iran diplomatically (Pompeo’s 12 demands) and by sanctions, and it’s important they continue, effectively and determinately.
3/8

Driving this withdrawal decision are probably the President’s drive to decrease US presence and casualties, the US people’s fatigue from the nation’s long wars, but perhaps mainly what looks like a “grand deal” with Turkey.
4/8

The deal may including withdrawing the US protection of the Kurdish areas in northeast Syria, opening the door to Turkish military action there, blocking Turkey’s acquisition of Russian S400 air defense system and replacing it with $3.5 billion US Patriot system.
5/8

And more- allowing the F35 deal to move forward. It may also include lower Turkish profile on the Khashouqji, and possible steps on Fathullah Gulen, Erdogan’s nemesis staying in the US.
6/8

Trump’s statement came surprisingly, despite most of his advisors’ position. Such abrupt US turns, seen by many as betraying its Kurdish partners in the war on ISIS, undermines the US’ reputation and credibility.
7/8

Trump’s decision embolden its rivals which are committed to the region on the long term: Russia, Iran, Assad and ISIS.
In summary, this step effect on Israel , but there is no reason for immediate or military concern.
8/8 and last.