, 4 tweets, 1 min read Read on Twitter
What did we learn from Israel's strike on Quneitra 2 nights ago? 1. Iranian and Hezbollah operatives are on Israel's border with Syria in the Golan. 2. The Russians are not keeping their promise to push Iran away from Israel's border.
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3. Election season considerations are overcoming serious decision-making when it comes to Israel's policy of ambiguity in Syria, and that is bringing us closer to an escalation with Hezbollah/Iran.
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And when looking at the broader campaign: there have been very few Israeli strikes since the SAA downed a Russian plane in September 2018, and all of them have been in southern Syria.
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Is the IDF avoiding operations in the Syrian heartland? Has the Campaign Between Wars ("mabam") achieved its goals or are the growing risks restricting the campaign?
4/4
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