Voting intention:
CON 40%
LAB 34
LD 10
UKIP 4
Green 4
Poll conducted among 25,537 people online, 21 Dec-4 Jan.
Please imagine that a Brexit deal passes with the support of most Conservative MPs and most Labour MPs. How would you vote at the next election?
CON 42
LAB 26
Lib Dem 17
SNP/Plaid 5
Other 10
Please imagine that a Brexit deal passes because it is supported by most Conservative MPs and Labour does not instruct its MPs to oppose it. How would you vote at the next election?
CON 43
LAB 26
Lib Dem 16
SNP/Plaid 5
Other 10
Whether you believe that or not hinges on how good you think people are at predicting how they will vote if party X does Y.
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But given the dominance of Brexit as an issue, it is a stark finding.
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