Thread by @michaelsavage

NEW: Mega poll of 25,000 people by @YouGov for the @peoplesvote_uk campaign:

Voting intention:

CON 40%
LAB 34
LD 10
UKIP 4
Green 4

Poll conducted among 25,537 people online, 21 Dec-4 Jan.

Same poll...

Please imagine that a Brexit deal passes with the support of most Conservative MPs and most Labour MPs. How would you vote at the next election?

CON 42
LAB 26
Lib Dem 17
SNP/Plaid 5
Other 10

Same poll...

Please imagine that a Brexit deal passes because it is supported by most Conservative MPs and Labour does not instruct its MPs to oppose it. How would you vote at the next election?

CON 43
LAB 26
Lib Dem 16
SNP/Plaid 5
Other 10

Thought on this poll - #EUref2 campaigners say this shows that if Labour facilitates Brexit, it'll face a 1983-style disaster at the next election.

Whether you believe that or not hinges on how good you think people are at predicting how they will vote if party X does Y.

1/2

Elections are unpredictable and can take on a life of their own - other issues come to the fore, some retreat.

But given the dominance of Brexit as an issue, it is a stark finding.

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