Profile picture
Edwin Hayward
@uk_domain_names
, 18 tweets, 6 min read Read on Twitter
Ok, Government's basically just admitted "International hauliers, if there's a no deal Brexit, you're bust."

You see, they may need ECMT permits. But only a little over 1,000 permits were available (for 50,000+ vehicles) and application deadline passed.
gov.uk/government/pub…
More about this...
theloadstar.co.uk/fears-for-supp…
And an industry body warning of disaster...
aircargonews.net/news/airport/r…
What you have to understand is that this affects many companies' business NOW.

Why? Simple. Most haulage contracts are forward-looking. It's not like you step to the curb and hail a taxi. Firms that don't have permits will be reluctant to take bookings for jobs past Brexit day.
In fact, they may well not DARE take on such contracts, because of the potential liability that they would incur if they can't fulfill them. So I imagine the pipeline of future work must be emptying drip by drip, day by day. All because we have no idea what shape Brexit will be!
Good news is that the EU has *unilaterally* put in certain mitigation effects, lasting 9 months, that may negate the need for permits in some situations. This is not "a deal". Their proposal comes with severe limitations compared to the current status quo.
rha.uk.net/getmedia/04609…
What do I mean not "a deal"? I mean just that. This is something the EU put forward out of self-interest (and maybe kindness, who knows?) but it's time limited, limited in scope, and could be taken away at any time without warning. It's not something backed by any kind of treaty.
It is also subject to reciprocality. In other words, it only stands if the UK Government does the same for EU hauliers. If the UK Government digs in its heels, then the temporary EU measure vanishes. You can read the details on p.7 of the EU no deal plan.
ec.europa.eu/info/sites/inf…
And if you've got this far and read the whole thread, you'll realise it's Brexit in a nutshell. Conflicting info. Little clarity. Official information on the UK side may be incorrect or out of date. And if the worse does happen... disaster.
Oh, and the whole topic was so toxic that it was the subject of a written ministerial direction (i.e. a "cover your proverbial" letter) between the Permanent Secretary and the Secretary of State for Transport.
gov.uk/government/pub…
Right. That's the meat of the topic dealt with. Below this tweet, I am going to drop in a few more tweets referencing news articles, in case you're interested in reading up further.

NI is expected to receive just 60 permits from the allocation.
irishnews.com/news/northerni…
"With Brexit talks in gridlock, British truckers plan for the worst" (Mainly the detailed experience and fears of one long-established haulage company.)
uk.reuters.com/article/us-bri…
"For The UK's Truckers, The Consequences Of A No-deal Brexit Will Be Worse Than We Have Imagined"
huffingtonpost.co.uk/entry/brexit-l…
Finally... visit the website below for an amazing press release (the haulage firm has even bought a helicopter as part of their contingency plans). Hats off to them. I hope they got at least some of the permits they were trying for.
alcaline.uk.com
(I wish Twitter had a way to splice tweets into a thread!)
Here's more info about application process hauliers had to go through. Note they've not yet found out if they're getting permits or not, which is why the press isn't full of horror stories.
gov.uk/guidance/ecmt-…
And here's the eye-watering process by which the Government is going to choose which companies live or die as it allocates the 984 permits (NINE HUNDRED AND EIGHTY FOUR) that the entire haulage industry have between them.
gov.uk/government/pub…
Note: I said EU may offer industry 9 months breathing space. It is limited: cabotage would not be permitted (UK hauliers transporting goods within one EU country, eg from one part of France to another). Nor would UK operators be allowed to haul goods between 2 EU countries.
What that means is there will be far fewer opportunities for UK hauliers to glue a package of jobs together to make a trip generate more revenue. They're going to be limited strictly to bringing stuff to the EU from the UK, and vice versa.
Missing some Tweet in this thread?
You can try to force a refresh.

Like this thread? Get email updates or save it to PDF!

Subscribe to Edwin Hayward
Profile picture

Get real-time email alerts when new unrolls (>4 tweets) are available from this author!

This content may be removed anytime!

Twitter may remove this content at anytime, convert it as a PDF, save and print for later use!

Try unrolling a thread yourself!

how to unroll video

1) Follow Thread Reader App on Twitter so you can easily mention us!

2) Go to a Twitter thread (series of Tweets by the same owner) and mention us with a keyword "unroll" @threadreaderapp unroll

You can practice here first or read more on our help page!

More from @uk_domain_names see all

Profile picture
Edwin Hayward
@uk_domain_names
Here are 180 factual, fully-sourced examples of the impact Brexit is already having on the UK. Jobs going, investment drying up, companies moving assets to the EU, or redomiciling. All happening as Government burns through £billions chasing a no deal Brexit it doesn't have to.
The Government has spent £4.2 billion pounds on Brexit preparations (£2.2 billion in previous Budgets, plus an additional £2 billion in the most recent Budget.) 1/180
gov.uk/government/new…
EU citizens will be forced to register to stay in the UK after Brexit (deadline is June 2021). The system, which cost the Government £175 million, will have to cope with over 3,500,000 applications, or several thousand a day on average. 2/180
news.sky.com/story/eu-settl…
Read 182 tweets
Profile picture
Edwin Hayward
@uk_domain_names
We have become a nation divided by Brexit, in a way that regular politics never did. According to a new survey, only 6% of people don't identify with either Remain or Leave. Another take-away: only 4% interpret "no deal" as the status quo.
ukandeu.ac.uk/new-report-rev…
Another fascinating insight: only 20% of people place immigration as a core concern, down from 45% before the referendum. So Tories banging on about controlling the movement of people really are playing to the right of the party, and beyond.
But perhaps the most important thing, in the context of a second vote, is "New information about Brexit is interpreted in ways that reinforce pre-existing views." In other words, the battle to win hearts and minds will be even harder than many may anticipate.
Read 3 tweets
Profile picture
Edwin Hayward
@uk_domain_names
I don't think enough people on *both* sides of the Brexit debate really understand how bad "no deal" would be.

Brexit isn't a continuum. There's Remain, then a gap, then Norway+, TM's deal, Canada+ etc. And then there's a Grand Canyon chasm. On the other side lies no deal.
Brexit basically is like declaring war on our own economy. There's Norway+ (pointed sticks & rocks), TM's deal (guns and knives), Canada+ (machine guns and tanks).

No deal is like dropping the H-bomb on ourselves. It's so bad, it shouldn't even feature in the same conversation.
If Parliament manage to get no deal off the table, that's a big win. We should recognise it as such. It's not enough. Not nearly enough. Not by a long, long way. But it will ensure the damage is "survivable".

After that it's all about limitation.
Read 11 tweets

Related threads

Profile picture
Jose Casal 🇪🇺
@jose_casal
Warning, this is a monologue on my current thoughts on #Brexit.

I hate Brexit, #IamEuropean, yet I think the UK needs to exit with a no deal.

If you're curious about why, please Read on. I'll mention #IsaacAsimov 😀
Sadly, I believe the UK needs to exit the EU without a #brexit deal.

That 30-40% of its population that has post-Imperial delusions need a rude awakening of what the 21st century world is like.

Then, the UK may rejoin the EU in 10-15 years time.
The sad part of this #nodeal #brexit is the people that end up dying unnecessarily because of the Brexiteers pipe dreams.
Read 15 tweets
Profile picture
katya adler
@BBCkatyaadler
No10 says EU must decide if it will release a letter of assurances before the vote on Tuesday but EU sources tell me they are waiting for the go-ahead advice from Downing Street 1
The letter could have been released Saturday night ahead of No10 Sunday media blitz but wasn’t .. It could be released tonight or tomorrow ahead of vote .. OR EU/No10 may decide better not since 2
The EU letter will I’m told contain assurances/explanations of current deal and nothing new. The letter would come from Juncker/Tusk in Brussels and they can’t change the #Brexit deal without negotiation with and go ahead from 27 EU leaders 3
Read 20 tweets
Profile picture
David Carretta
@davcarretta
#Brexit: martedì potrebbe iniziare l'uscita di Uk senza accordo.

Tutti i governi Ue si stanno preparando con avvertimenti a cittadini, amministrazioni, imprese. Alcuni assumono migliaia di persone per le dogane.

Forse mi son perso qualcosa. Ma il governo italiano che fa?
Facciamo un esempio: in Italia risiedono 28.168 cittadini britannici.

Dopo la Brexit diventeranno extra-comunitari. Cosa ne facciamo in caso di no-deal? Tutti espulsi con foglio di via il 30 marzo?

Oppure li facciamo votare alle elezioni comunali come ora?
Un alto esempio banalotto: l'Italia esporta 760 milioni di euro di vino, di cui 300 milioni di prosecco.

In caso di no-deal servono doganieri per le pratiche di esportazione. E chi glielo dice ai trevigiani che devono prendersi un broker a Dover per sdoganare?
Read 10 tweets
Profile picture
Lord Snoutintrough #FBPE
@Rowland72James
OK so let's see where we are with #Brexit 1/ the government is clearly scared Shitless by no deal as this story in the daily mail proves google.co.uk/amp/s/www.dail…
Thus no deal is not really an option cis however brexiters might dismiss it as #ProjectFear or scream betrayal the government is far more afraid of no deal chaos
Theresa Mays #Brexit deal is shit and both leavers remainers hate it. This is not Mays fault as any deal would always be inferior to EU membership
Read 11 tweets
Profile picture
Alan Jenkins
@ajjenkins
#Brexit being discussed in Holyrood committee. @murdo_fraser asks @Feorlean if he’s read the draft bill. @Feorlean says he’s skimmed it, that he’s not a lawyer and that a lawyer would take three days of study to understand it.
They’re now talking about alien invasions and the choice between @theresa_may’s draft deal or no deal. 👽 #brexit
.@ProfTomkins asks @Feorlean if he’ll withdraw his comment comparing @jacob_rees_mogg to an alien. @Feorlean says it was a “joke misfired” #Brexit
Read 3 tweets
Profile picture
Femi
@Femi_Sorry
Brexit Irony No.521:
Brexit would make Metropolitan Elitism worse-

The Brexit vote was against our London-centric system. So if there's an economic hit because of a Brexit London voted against, Westminster would make sure the London Banking sector survived but everywhere else...
Many of the problems that pushed people to vote Brexit had nothing to do with the EU. One of those problems was the government choosing to protect the banks who caused the crash with bailouts while ordinary people just got austerity.
The rich took irresponsible risks with the country's future, but they were protected either by moving their money away or by the government and it was those with least who suffered the most.
Sound familiar? #Brexit
Read 5 tweets

Trending hashtags

#Unroll #Brexit #FBPE #PeoplesVote #ProjectFear #IsaacAsimov #Remain #GE2017 #StopBrexit #DExEU #peoplesvote #IamEuropean #EU #EUCO #brexit #G7 #Brextremists #Tories #BrexitDK #Brexitb #FinalSay #Merkel #A50 #Article50 #Labour
Follow Us on Twitter!

Did Thread Reader help you today?

Support us! We are indie developers!

This site is made by just three indie developers on a laptop doing marketing, support and development! Read more about the story.

Become a Premium Member ($3.00/month or $30.00/year) and get exclusive features!

Become Premium

Too expensive? Make a small donation by buying us coffee ($5) or help with server cost ($10)

Donate via Paypal Become our Patreon

Thank you for your support!