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Alex Wickham
@alexwickham
, 4 tweets, 2 min read Read on Twitter
NEW: Tory MP Christopher Chope (who previously objected to the upskirting bill) is branded an “embarrassment to your party and humanity” after indicating he will block new laws on female genital mutilation this afternoon

buzzfeed.com/alexwickham/to…
Anti-FGM campaigners spent the week begging Christopher Chope via text message not to block the bill. He wouldn't speak to them on the phone. Chope complained they were subjecting him to “verbal abuse”. buzzfeed.com/alexwickham/to…
Chope also under pressure from whips who have asked him not to block the bill today. Govt source: "Christopher Chope is wrong." buzzfeed.com/alexwickham/to…
Christopher Chope has previously blocked attempts to:

- make upskirting a specific offence
- pardon codebreaker Alan Turing after his homosexuality conviction
- debate Hillsborough
- help the families of missing people manage their loved ones' affairs buzzfeed.com/alexwickham/to…
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Alex Wickham
@alexwickham
EXC: A senior minister told colleagues in a leaked WhatsApp rant today that the Tories will lose the next election because the party has been taken over by "zealots" who talk "bollocks"

buzzfeed.com/alexwickham/a-…
Senior minister Claire Perry, who attends cabinet, told the women Tory MPs' WhatsApp group today that "antediluvian old sods" have taken over the Tories and will lose them the next election, turning them into an opposition party "of the white shires" buzzfeed.com/alexwickham/a-…
Claire Perry on male Tory backbenchers to the women Tory MPs' WhatsApp group today... "a bunch of old white men no doubt are enjoying their morning coffee served to them by their long suffering wives" 🔥 buzzfeed.com/alexwickham/a-…
Read 5 tweets
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Alex Wickham
@alexwickham
AAWG ERG ARGH: Alternative Arrangements Working Group descends into acrimony over cancelled Northern Ireland trip as ERG splits on the Malthouse Compromise

buzzfeed.com/alexwickham/aa…
AAWG was meant to visit Northern Ireland today to meet businesses, security officials and visit the border.

But three sources say the trip was called off after ERG feared a “Project O’Fear” No10 stitch up

Big new fallout between Brexiteers and ministers: buzzfeed.com/alexwickham/aa…
🚨Now a serious ERG split on Malthouse

One faction has hardened its position. It used to support a time-limit, now says that's not enough. Was thought to number about two dozen MPs. Now double that

Another faction thinks ERG has to compromise to avoid CU buzzfeed.com/alexwickham/aa…
Read 6 tweets
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Alex Wickham
@alexwickham
EXC: A "malicious hack" accessing MPs' phone and email contacts lists today is being investigated by parliamentary authorities.

"I've been hacked," one member of the government confirmed:

buzzfeed.com/alexwickham/a-…
Here is the email from deputy chief whip Chris Pincher on the hacking attempt targeting MPs today: "This is a malicious hack that accesses your contacts list and sends texts and emails to all your private contacts" buzzfeed.com/alexwickham/a-…
MPs were added to this WhatsApp group by the personal phone number of govt whip Mike Freer today. Messages and emails sent to his contacts list in his name sought "overseas contacts for a government payment" buzzfeed.com/alexwickham/a-…
Read 3 tweets

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Cyrus Toulabi
@CyrusToulabi
#NEW: Rick Gates told Mueller that he and Manafort shared Trump Campaign Polling Data in 2016 w/ Konstantin Kilimnik, who has ties to Russian Intelligence.

In new unsealed court docs, it was revealed that Gates was at least one source for the revelation.

bloomberg.com/news/articles/…
#BREAKING: In new court filing, it was revealed that Konstantin Kilimnik...WAS IN DC FOR THE INAUGURATION.

The Manafort and Gates associate, with ties to Russian Intelligence, met with Manafort about the "Russia-Ukraine peace plan."

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“This goes...very much to the heart of what the [SCO] is investigating.”
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Jewhadi™
@JewhadiTM
A Month of Multiculturalism in Britain: October 2018: gatestoneinstitute.org/13259/britain-…
There were 140 new cases of female genital mutilation (FGM) in Birmingham between April and June 2018.
"There remains a huge problem with professionals viewing forced marriage as a cultural issue rather than a crime. Many aren't even aware there is a law." — Jasvinder Sanghera, attacking the government's failure to tackle the problem of forced marriages.
Read 4 tweets
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Brexitshambles
@brexit_sham
#Tory conference on the horizon & the 'no deal' #Brexit vultures circle the carcass. All the usual suspects incl' Littlewood, Singham and @SteveBakerHW for the IEA. @isaby, @Jacob_Rees_Mogg, @DanielJHannan, @patel4witham, @andreajenkyns for @matthew_elliott's BrexitCentral......
Thick as thieves...... Hannan and Singham again, Bromund of 'Anglo-American Relations,' Steifel of the Cato Institute, for the Heritage Foundation. The IEA again, this time with Arlene Foster and Nigel Dodds of the #DUP.
Flies on a turd..... Elliott's infamous 'Tax Payers' Alliance,' with Priti Patel again, and, of course @LowTaxChloe. The Bruges Group, with Patel (again), Jenkyns (again) and @OwenPaterson.....
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Zafar Shaikh
@zafargs79
#New Traders, Understand #Mathematics Of #Profit In Market Before You Put Hard #Earned Money On Risk.

Expectancy = Success Rate x Reward Risk Ratio

Lets Talk About Expectancy Of Short Term Directional Trading System.

Read On (1/n)
Success Rate = No Of Profitable Tades/ No Of Loss Making Trades

Reward Risk Ratio = Average Profit Per Trade / Average Loss Per Trade

If Success Rate is 0.5 and Reward Risk 2, Then

Expectancy = 2 x 0.5 =1

For Making Profit, Expectancy Should Be Positive Number (2/n)
To Calculate Expectancy, You Need Defined System With Rules To Get Success Rate and Reward Risk. If You Have No System To Take Decisions, You Are Hanging In Thin Air and Will Never No Whether You Will Keep Making Or Loosing Money In Future (3/n)
Read 12 tweets
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ARC 2020
@ARC2020eu
#NEW on ARC2020: #CAP & #MFF | Eco-Spin without Public Goods Substance.
Its been 2 weeks since the MFF proposals, here's our round up of some of the perspectives so far.
All perspective-givers tagged in picture.
arc2020.eu/cap-mff-eco-sp…
What's needed?
@davidbaldock & Allan Buckwell of @IEEP_eu:
1: Sufficient funding for environmental measures in Pillar 1
2: Specifics for New Delivery Model
3: Flexibility for Pillar 1 to 2 transfers
4. Fund ANCs under Pillar 1
arc2020.eu/cap-mff-eco-sp…
#MFF #FutureofCAP #CAP
And who said: "unconditional direct income support to farmers is manifestly absurd in today’s world when it maintains uncompetitive farming practices that have negative implications for the climate, the environment or people’s health"?
Why @AnnikaAhtonen of @epc_eu
Read 8 tweets
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G. Elliott Morris📈🤷‍♂️
@gelliottmorris
#New PA cong. map increases D chance of winning the House majority by 4%. They only need a 6.8% generic ballot margin now (down from 7.7) to be favored.

Diff. will be closer to 10% in Nov when uncertainty from polls is ⬇️. Redraw is a very big deal.

One major reason the new PA map is such a big gain for Democrats is that it solidifies, not just tips, PA districts in Philly burbs. Also creates one additional vulnerable R district. (Easily seen in this map made by @JMilesColeman)
My forecasting model will have new PA map in the near future. This is not just a simple switch; it’s a coding redesign, restructuring of input, & drawing new geographic files. Takes a while (for me, a student).

In the meantime, just add 3-4% to the model: bit.ly/2018_house
Read 4 tweets

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