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Some takeaways from this poll:
In the 2014 European elections, UKIP+Tories took 43/70 seats (NI excluded) on a vote share of 49.7%.
According to this poll, Brexit Party+Tories+UKIP will take 36/70 seats, a net loss of 7 seats, on a vote share of 46%.
In the 2014 European elections, UKIP+Tories took 43/70 seats (NI excluded) on a vote share of 49.7%.
According to this poll, Brexit Party+Tories+UKIP will take 36/70 seats, a net loss of 7 seats, on a vote share of 46%.
That's hardly the loud, ringing endorsement Nigel Farage claims there is (although there's no denying his Brexit Party will come first in the election in vote share terms, and do very well). Overall, the pro hard Brexit forces are down, despite the last 3 years of Brexit chaos.
That supports the wider notion, demonstrated in poll after poll after poll over the last 3 years, that the UK is swinging steadily more and more towards Remain, when compared to the starting point of the 2016 referendum result.
So be of good cheer going into Thursday's vote. The pro-Remain forces are on the ascendant, and - with a good turnout and some judicious tactical voting - they could do even better yet. But everyone needs to go and vote - and that means roping in friends, family and colleagues!
