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Trump fans and perhaps Trump himself are being smugly over-confident if they assume impeachment will automatically redound to his political benefit. "Base" will be emboldened, but Trump needs more than 30% of the vote to win re-election. Unclear how that next 15-20% will react
You could imagine a scenario where some portion of the 15-20% of "soft Trump" voters become fatigued by all the drama, assign blame partially to Trump, and just want to move on, which means voting for his opponent -- even if they don't fully approve of Congressional Dems' tactics
And again, the Clinton impeachment is not a good precedent here. Yes, Clinton got marginally more popular afterwards, but the impeachment occurred after he was re-elected and this would be a substantially different set of circumstances. (Also, uh, Bush won the 2000 election)
Just as Trump's "base" will be energized by impeachment proceedings, so will the Dem "base," which is extremely active right now (as evidenced by, among other things, historic turnout in the 2018 midterms). Anyone who claims they know exactly how this plays out is blowing smoke
