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Steve Peers
@StevePeers
, 5 tweets, 2 min read Read on Twitter
The usual caveat about polling, but this is the best poll for the Tories for a long while. Yet Labour is also up (but not by as much as the Tories).
A similar set of numbers in this poll, but a bigger Tory lead. Usual health warnings...
Third poll with similar numbers for Tories and the Brexit party, worse numbers for Labour, although this is a consistent feature of Yougov polls
One of these polls suggests a Tory majority; another suggests the same number of seats as 2017; and the third makes Tories the biggest party but with no obvious route to winning a confidence vote...
A fourth poll tonight, showing the smallest "bounce" of voters from the Brexit party to Johnson, and the smallest lead for the Tories (statistically insignificant)
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Steve Peers
@StevePeers
1/ CJEU, last rulings today before the summer break. Includes three big copyright judgments
2/ CJEU, Facebook and data protection law

Latest judgment on who is the data controller when Facebook works with others
3/ Full text of today's CJEU judgments

1/ Facebook and data protection law - curia.europa.eu/juris/fiche.js…

2/ Environmental impact assessment for extension of life of nuclear power stations - curia.europa.eu/juris/fiche.js…
Read 9 tweets
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Steve Peers
@StevePeers
1/ Here's an overview of the poor quality "research" carried out by the European "Research" Group in recent years, with some comments from me. I looked at nine different "research" papers. Fuller comments in this thread...
2/ The first two ERG papers I looked at included a superficial and inaccurate piece on trading on WTO terms.
3/ Another two ERG papers: including a problematic paper on Cameron's renegotiation (which I gave a mark to 😀👨‍🏫) and a rather simplistic piece for Grayling 🤡
Read 7 tweets
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Steve Peers
@StevePeers
1/ As promised, here's an overview of the appointment process and policy platform of the 13th Commission President.

(Not counting the non-canon ones like the pre-merger treaty ECSC and Euratom presidents, or the War President, who filled in between the 9th and 10th presidents)
2/ How are Commission presidents appointed?

Traditionally in the same way as the heads of other international bodies: by agreement of governments, sometimes after lots of grumpy backroom negotiations.

This even applies to the no-dealers' blessed WTO (gasp)
3/ Over time, the *elected* (cough) European Parliament was given a role in appointment of the Commission President, alongside *elected* (cough) governments. First consulted, then given a vote of approval, ie veto. Here's the current legal rule.
Read 29 tweets

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Hurricane Watcher💥
@GodlessNZ
(1) IMO #HurricaneBarry's NOLA impact will be FAR WORSE than forecast.

Cat 1 vs TS label only means WIND SPEED - which is largely irrelevant in this case.

The VOLUME OF WATER that will come in exceeds what the barriers/pumps can handle.

River already high, ground sodden.
(2) I would love it if my above prediction turns out to be wrong. Pre-disaster talk that under- or over-estimates the impact can cause problems in future disasters. Responsible people try to get it right.
(3) Read this article to see why I am extra worried about NOLA this time.

weather.com/safety/hurrica…
Read 21 tweets
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WeThePeople #ForTheMany #DangerousHero #JC4PM2019
@gaurangmorjaria
#poll If there was a Snap General Election, who would you vote for?

(For other parties, please vote them in comments)

Please RT once Voted! 😃
1997: Blair 13.5mn votes
1997-2015: Blairites/ Others lost 180 seats & 5mn voters
2017: Corbyn 12.8mn votes/ Gained 32

2019:

add first time voters (75% of those who vote, vote for Labour)

Subtract 2% of the population, 80% of whom vote Tories!

Labour Landslide on the cards!
Lab’s share of vote could be 14.5+mn

Once we take into account first time voters- 16 or under at 2017

first time voters -never voted before, disenchanted by Blair years whilst

removing Tory support -loss of voters due to old age

=> Lab will gain 100+ seats from Tories alone
Read 32 tweets
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Jack D 🌹
@JackDunc1
The Ind Group want us to judge them on their "record." This thread is dedicated to that idea. I will be comparing the voting histories of each member of that group (note: not a party yet) with that of Jeremy Corbyn, starting with Soubry. Who has the better record? Polls to follow
Based on the above, who has the better voting record?
Next up. We have Jeremy Corbyn vs relatively new MP, Heidi Allen.
Read 22 tweets
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Pete North
@PeteNorth303
1. I don't really pay much attention to #Labour Twitter. It;s not really saying anything worth my time. The right of the party are all Blairite remainers who I've always hated since they embody the worst of left wing paternalism and snobbery. Thread...
2. The left of the party however, is a shitshow of hipster communists and gobby younglings who know fuck all about nine tenths of anything, pushing a socialist agenda they don't understand much less comprehend the implications of it.
3. Then as I understand it, their fondness for Brexit is based on some half understood notions about competition rules and state aid - but in actuality they couldn't give a toss about Brexit. They're just at war with the FBPE morons since they attack Corbyn. Purely tribal.
Read 20 tweets
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Henrik Enderlein
@henrikenderlein
1/ Thread: Here are my 12 thoughts on #Brexit. We are at half-time in Art50 process. Departure UK from EU now exactly 12m away. Right moment to take stock and list a few backward- and forward-looking thoughts. (You can also read the full blog-post here: delorsinstitut.de/en/all-publica…)
#1: When the UK voted leave, many said the EU would be weakened. Today it is clear that the contrary is true: it’s the UK not the EU that has been weakened by Brexit.
#2a Whatever people say, it would have been possible for Britain to change its mind about Brexit. Many political decisions, even after referenda, have been reversed in many countries.
Read 18 tweets
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Sarah DZ
@pitchblacksugar
😱😱#poll #thread😱😱

🔥Thread of poll for🔥

'THE THIRTY DARK SECRET'
1. Cheated in relationships 🙊
2. Caught red-handed😂
Read 26 tweets

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