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Edwin Hayward🦄🗡️
@uk_domain_names
, 3 tweets, 1 min read Read on Twitter
We have an interesting cards-on-table situation developing now. Corbyn has made his "make me PM or suffer a no deal Brexit" threat, everyone else has weighed in. Other options (such as Harriet Harmon) look to be *theoretical* runners.
So if the VONC never happens, or it does but Corbyn fluffs the chance to become World King while at the same time muddying the waters enough so that nobody else can form a GNU, then it's going to be 100% on his head.
After all, he's the only one insisting on crowning himself. Everyone else trying to find solutions to avoid no deal is suggesting people other than themselves as GNU leader.
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Edwin Hayward🦄🗡️
@uk_domain_names
The problem is the VONC chicken and egg:

1. Corbyn has to call it.

2. Corbyn won't call it unless he's sure it will succeed ("when the time is right").

3. But Corbyn insists he must be PM. Not enough MPs will back that idea for VONC to succeed.

4. So it will never get called.
5. But that means the attempt to form a GNU will also not happen.

6. So we get a no deal Brexit. Hello darkness, my old friend...

If Corbyn changes the situation in step 3 by taking a pragmatic approach, all the rest could be different too. And we could have a happy outcome.
Under the current system the LOTO has to be the one to call a VONC. Nobody is disputing LOTO's Corbyn. He is super key to VONC!

But he won't call VONC if he can't win it & he can't win it if precondition is he'll be made PM. So he won't call it at all unless he changes his tune.
Read 5 tweets
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Edwin Hayward🦄🗡️
@uk_domain_names
"Labour will allow councils to seize abandoned shops to give them a new lease of life as cooperatives or community centres" Typical! Another policy based on theft. Those shops are owned by someone, who may already be desperate because they can't fill them. theguardian.com/politics/2019/…
So what would Corbyn do? Steal the properties off their owners and just hand them to the state.

This is the perfect example of why Labour finds it so hard to win the backing of businesses.
It's hyper populist because many people won't care about the reality of the underlying situation. They'll just think: "Awesome. All those grotty boarded up shops will be a thing of the past."
Read 11 tweets
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Edwin Hayward🦄🗡️
@uk_domain_names
Lawyer who actually knows how this stuff works. We should listen, then some should pipe down.
And a little dessert...
If Jeremy Corbyn presses his claim as next PM and fails, he's a busted flush.

It's the "told you so" moment to end all told you so moments. There will have been a staggering number of warnings that it was going to play out that way.

What does that do to Labour's GE chances?
Read 3 tweets

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Jon Worth
@jonworth
In my most recent blog post I argue that when a political crisis hits in 🇬🇧, 🇪🇺 is going to have to contemplate extending the #Article50 period.

Blog post is here:
jonworth.eu/the-political-…

This thread examines some of the aspects of extending Article 50 (or not)

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And the relevant part of Article 50 is shown here - unanimous agreement of EU-27 needed to extend

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BUT No Deal #Brexit is the thing both sides should absolutely fear, especially 🇬🇧 but even the 🇪🇺, whose Member States (especially 🇮🇪) would take a major GDP hit.

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