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Taking a step back at the moment, after today it is hard to see how Boris Johnson can still legitimately claim to have "just the right amount of time" to agree _and_ ratify a #Brexit deal before October 31.
Here is a short thread looking at the timeline:
/1
Here is a short thread looking at the timeline:
/1
The first draft of the original Withdrawal Agreement was published on 28 February 2018.
The draft was finalised on 24 November 2018, after month of careful negotiations on the text.
The UK has not put forward alternative proposals for Northern Ireland yet. /2
The draft was finalised on 24 November 2018, after month of careful negotiations on the text.
The UK has not put forward alternative proposals for Northern Ireland yet. /2
In November 2018, the UK government lobbied the other EU27 countries for a special #EUCO to adopt the withdrawal agreement.
Main argument was that it could not wait until the December European Council, as the UK would need 4 month to get the WA through the Commons. /3
Main argument was that it could not wait until the December European Council, as the UK would need 4 month to get the WA through the Commons. /3
In the House of Commons, Johnson would need to win a meaningful vote 4, and get the Withdrawal Agreement Bill through Parliament.
Johnson claims to be able to do that in less than 14 days.
The government has a majority of -43, the Withdrawal Agreement Bill has not published /4
Johnson claims to be able to do that in less than 14 days.
The government has a majority of -43, the Withdrawal Agreement Bill has not published /4
The Withdrawal Agreement also needs the consent of the European Parliament.
The EP has - with reason - decided to only vote on the WA after a meaningful vote has been won in the House of Commons
EP officials have hinted that the Parliament needs ~6 weeks to consent to the WA /5
The EP has - with reason - decided to only vote on the WA after a meaningful vote has been won in the House of Commons
EP officials have hinted that the Parliament needs ~6 weeks to consent to the WA /5
In conclusion: There is no miraculous way Boris Johnson can conjure up a deal at the last hour and then still leave the EU with an orderely #Brexit on October 31.
Even if a deal were possible, and he had a majority in Parliament, he would need to be much much closer now. /ends
Even if a deal were possible, and he had a majority in Parliament, he would need to be much much closer now. /ends
