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Is a UK EU deal still possible. Just about argues @pmdfoster. But that really is a marginal chance. The negotiating tactic was never to have to rely on Labour votes for a deal, it was the genuine belief that the EU would remove the backstop or there would be no-deal in Oct.
@pmdfoster For all the bluster, the Johnson approach has failed. Neither parliamentary opponents or the EU behaved as they were supposed to according to the masterplan. Plan B for bluster is going ok, but as per the Mourinho reference it was only adopted because the government was losing
@pmdfoster So now the Government's choice is between two things they promised not to do - a deal including a backstop, or a delay beyond October 31. Sure they'll try to change the choice, but the odds are against them making progress on either count.
@pmdfoster Like the EU I'm pessimistic this Government can pirouette sufficiently to get a deal, given the EU will only offer limited flexibility. Too many Cabinet members wouldn't agree to any deal involving UK compromise. Parliamentary battle and extension seems likely
@pmdfoster It might be interesting to discuss the extension length. 3 months seems too low if you expect an election and then more negotiation. 5 months to go to a year beyond the original deadline would seem to have some logic. But that's for another day... /end
@pmdfoster PS Desperate stuff to try to change the choice....
