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, 3 tweets, 1 min read
1. For Mitch McConnell there may be up to ten 2020 Senate seats in trouble. With the wheels coming off the Trump honey-bucket truck, the stink is starting to be noticeable for the GOP. Senators who vote to save Trump may put safe seats in play.
2. Another five 2018 class and five in the 2022 cycle class might do it. Won't be surprised if as many as five 2022 class are in sealed indictments for Russian money they took in 2016. I never thought the GOP would be dumb enough to take Russian money after 2016 but the Giuliani
3. story seems to support the conclusion that there was a lot of Russian money in 2018 GOP campaigns.
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Tim Hogan
@TimInHonolulu
1. In advance of the Wednesday's oral argument over Trump Mazars subpoena, I checked the 2nd Cir docket and found Vance's office's letter to the court about what may come next. Vance is giving Trump a stay to let the 2nd Cir rule plus 10 days. For that he got an expedited
2. schedule to tee up the certiorari petition. With only ten days of stay Trump will have to rush his petition. He'll likely seek another stay but they will be up against the clock.

The briefing will be over ten calendar days after Trump files his petition and by then the
3. ten day stay will be expired. So when SCOTUS considers Trump's stay the certiorari may be mostly briefed. It will give SCOTUS a good record to address the stay and whether to even grant cert. I think Trump's case is so bad Vance is betting they deny cert in short order.
Read 4 tweets
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Tim Hogan
@TimInHonolulu
1. The irony for the @GOP is in 2021 Trump will be charged with genocide of #Christians. Crimes against the Kurds are war crimes and more likely ethnic cleansing. But because Syrian Christians make up so small a sustainable culture the law's "destroy in substantial part"
2. element is more easily met than with Kurds that are a larger population. Trump making an agreement with and ISIS affiliate to commit genocide means he's likely going to prison. The minimum sentence for genocide is life in prison.
3. And not just @POTUS @RealDonaldTrump. @VP Pence @SecPompeo and likely @whitehouse counsel all are chargeable. If the the Trump children are found to have known and taken Mehmet Ali Yalçında blood money and not reported it, I think Jr, @IvankaTrump @EricTrump can be charged.
Read 4 tweets
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Tim Hogan
@TimInHonolulu
1. In the Zarrab Case against the Turkish Bank:
The following transaction was entered on 10/22/2019 at 1:45 PM EDT and filed on 10/22/2019
Case Name: USA v. Zarrab et al
Case Number:1:15-cr-00867-RMB
Filer:
Document Number:No document attached
2. Docket Text:
Minute Entry for proceedings held before Judge Richard M. Berman: Status Conference as to (S6-15-Cr-867-10) Turkiye Halk Bankasi A.S., a/k/a "Halkbank", held on 10/22/2019. AUSAs Michael Lockard, Sid Kamaraju, David Denton, Jonathan Rebold and Kiersten Fletcher
3. present; Defendant Halkbank not present; Defense attorney for Halkbank not present; Court Reporter Steve Griffing present; conference held; Government asserts that service has been accomplished and that Halkbank has actual notice and knowledge of Indictment and charges;
Read 5 tweets

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@starknightz
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Do you know who William S. Lind is ?
@brucewilson
Here's how the US evangelical right, to this day, monkeywrenches US politics and (as one piece of its agenda) prevents even modest action to address climate change. It's called "The Fifteen Percent Solution" but even that overstates the necessary numbers. theocracywatch.org/taking_over_fi…
All the movement really has to do is hold at least one branch of Congress. But start here: "The formula they've concocted has been called the "15 per cent solution" by the Christian Coalition. Even in a well attended presidential election, only 15 per cent of eligible voters..."
"...determine the outcome. Here's the simple math: about 60 per cent of the qualified electorate is registered, and only half of them vote. Half again of that 30 per cent determines the outcome, hence the all powerful 15 percent."
Read 28 tweets
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Zarina Zabrisky
@ZarinaZabrisky
⚡️💥🤑🚢🆘 #McConnell refused to bring the legislation to protect #Mueller to the Senate floor. A short thread on #MitchMcConnel and #ElaineChao's history of corruption. @WendySiegelman @grantstern @peterjukes @AHamiltonSpirit @dcpoll @lukeharding1968 cnn.com/2018/04/17/pol…
1. In Sep 2016, during a secret briefing for congressional leaders, the CIA informed the Congress about Russian interference with the election. McConnell objected to declassifying the information & making it public, claiming bipartisanship issues.
politico.com/story/2018/01/…
2. On January 31, 2017, Mitch McConnell’s wife Elaine Chao was sworn as a State Secretary of Transportation for Trump’s cabinet.
Read 15 tweets
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Zach Everson
@Z_Everson
Trump Hotels' website still lists Trump SoHo New York among its properties in the Our Hotels menu. Select its name though to access its page and there's a message about it being renamed

bit.ly/2EPCSy1
National politics correspondent for Newsweek, Nina Burleigh, with a fun find on a TV above the bar at the Trump Hotel DC bit.ly/2E37QRR
Two errors in the 2nd graf of Breitbart's Trump Hotel DC article:
-holdings aren't out of @realDonaldTrump's hands: trust isn't blind & he can profit from it
-Trump Org told Congress it was estimating foreign receipts—not auto donating in full
bit.ly/2CpL7z2
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