Thread by @MarriottNigel

My #GE2019 poll tracker is now up to date on my blog here bit.ly/34u8Bky.

As before, I've compared latest polls to election results from GE74 to #GE17 & broken the data down by region, #GE2017, #Brexit & class.

Full details in the blog but here are the key pts. /1

#ConservativeParty are back to #GE2017 levels in all regions. Votes are being redistributed from remainers to leavers and the key to a majority is the efficiency of this transfer. /2

#Labour are around 10 pts behind where they were in #GE2017. Can they repeat the comeback of GE17 again? The key is reclaiming the defectors to the #LibDems and they have been doing that but they are leaking to the #Tories as well. /3

Whilst class is no longer the divide between parties, some recent trends in ABC1s suggests the Conservatives are winning back some Lib Dems whilst Labour are taking the Green vote. /4

Some hope for Labour here with C2DE where they seem to be closing the gap on the Conservatives by taking votes from the #Brexit Party. Is this another way for Labour to come back? /5

As always your thoughts are welcome!

My first seat forecast will tweeted early week and I will publish a more in-depth post nearer the election. /end