Thread by @politicalham

@jkenney Dear Premier Kenney: Ok, just for giggle's sake, let's you and I think this through.

USA = 73.5% of imports (500,000 b/d)
Canada exports 3.5 million b/d to USA

Do you seriously think you can block American oil imports without retaliation?

That a risk you're willing to take?

@jkenney 2/Saudi Arabia = 15.5% of imports (106,000 b/d).

Same question about the Saudis, the twitchy neurotics who blow a gasket when a Canadian cabinet minister tweets about them.

Ready for 5,000 Albertans to be barred from work in SA? Contracts to be cancelled? Etc.

@jkenney 3/According to the Canadian Energy Research Institute, it costs $7 more per barrel to land a barrel of Western Canadian crude at the Irving refinery than a Saudi barrel.

Who pays that $7?

Consumers? Good luck with that.
The Canadian, Quebec or Ontario govts? Ha!

@jkenney 4/Oh, you want to build Energy East pipeline, lowering shipping costs, thereby (hopefully) making AB oil competitive?

So, best case, 8 yrs for review/approval, 2 yrs for construction...but your buddies Kinder Morgan just forecast peak oil demand in 2030.

Timing, am I right?

@jkenney 5/And you want this cockamamie scheme to be backed by the Trudeau Liberals, a party you openly campaigned against during the election and have insulted at every opportunity.

See, this is why I argue the Alberta political/oil industry leadership really sucks at politics.

@jkenney 6/One last point. You're a conservative's conservative. You worship market principles and you hate govt intervention.

Yet, you're asking Canada for a massive intervention in the one market that arguably functions as a real market.

Just a wee bit hypocritical? Right?