Thread by @Taniel

🚨IOWA UPDATE, with 100% of precincts according to the IDP.

Buttigieg is AHEAD of Sanders in SDE count by 1.51 SDE (that's less than 0.1%).

Note: IDP did NOT change its allocation of satellites SDEs.

🚨CAUTION 🚨 Some glaring mistakes that have been widely reported for more than 24 hours were NOT fixed.

1) Des Moines-14 is still glaringly incorrect. Sanders should be netting 0.2798 SDE here.

https://twitter.com/Taniel/status/1225235775555538944

2) Ocheyedan Precinct 0500 is still incorrect. Also was flagged yesterday. Sanders should be getting 0.1 SDE that is going to Buttigieg (so a net of 0.2 SDE).

(Please, as you read this thread, verify all for yourself: results.thecaucuses.org)

https://twitter.com/Taniel/status/1225329517583093760

3) Muscatine 2 is still incorrect. This was also flagged yesterday, and this one benefits Buttigieg: He is owed 0.1667 SDE (taken from Biden, so a net of 0.1667 for him).

4) A bigger one: Des Moines-80. Per the votes IDP is reporting on its website right now (& I believe were on camera), the allocation is wrong. It should be 0.2798 SDE more for Sanders, & 0.2798 less for Buttigieg. That nets 0.56 for Sanders (1/3rd of current deficit).

5) The IDP is saying that 100% are reporting, but UAW Local 893 (a CD1 satellite) shows 0 voters for all candidates. (I suppose it's possible no one showed up at all here; I have no other results. Still flagging.)

6) "UAW Local 94" (another satellite in #IA01) is not in this new IDP list ("100%" at all).

This party list of satellite caucuses does have it as a scheduled caucus. Even if UAW Local 893 had 0 voters (see above), this seems like a missing caucus. datastudio.google.com/u/0/reporting/…

NOTE: I am told, indirectly, that it may be the case that yes, it may be that UAW Local 893 (#5 on list) did not hold a vote. This is the one I flagged that IDP does list as "0". I wrote I "suppose it's possible no one showed up at all here." UAW Local 94 does not show up at all.

7) A mistake was made in Adam 2: Buttigieg is under 14% in both the first vote & then again in the realignment, so he should not have been viable, but he was given a county del (worth "only" 0.0857 SDE). It may be that raw vote input is wrong; or that things were off at the site.

8) This one benefitted Sanders: In Woodbine #7, a county delegate went to Sanders when it should have gone to Warren (because of the 'highest remainder'). That should cost Sanders 0.0933 SDE.

(Originally from @jhobfoll; I just verified on the results.)

@Jhobfoll 9) There is a mistake in Dubuquee-36. (Also first flagged by
@jhobfoll this morning; I just reverified.)

A county delegate has been allocated to Buttigieg that should have gone to Biden, straightforward rounding-rule mistake. This earned Buttigieg 0.2667 SDE too much.

@Jhobfoll 10) Klobuchar is missing a county delegate in Washington-Roselle. That county delegate mistakenly went to Buttigieg. This is equivalent to 0.1100 SDE.

@Jhobfoll 11) A delegate that should have gone to Sanders has been given to Buttigieg in Gold Guthrie. (I just spent a while on this, but it's actually obvious on rounding.) So that should be 0.0857 for Sanders, & 0.0857 less for Buttigieg.

@Jhobfoll 12) Maybe the most straightforward error: In Muscatine 9, there should be 9 delegates & 1.5 SDE. (See link below to confirm.) But only 8 were given out. One's missing, which should have gone to Sanders, so an extra 0.1667 for him.
datastudio.google.com/u/0/reporting/…

@Jhobfoll (An extra layer of complication in Muscatine 9: reported R1 & R2 votes are identical. Possibly true, but unlikely in a large caucus. But I played around a bit to see if it'd have changed something if initial turnout was larger, & it was still Sanders getting that extra delegate.)

@Jhobfoll OK, I need to stop. Note: My thread is not meant to be comprehensive. Sure to be many more mistakes.

I rechecked some things by myself, as I could, on my own; what this needs is a big newsroom or data team to go line by line & check.

(Rather than amplify whatever IDP says.)

@Jhobfoll 13) I verified Waterford-Lone Tree after @todayinthezach called it "a giant mess in all respects."

Allocated: 2 county dels Biden, 1 Buttigieg.

Problems:
1) 12 R1 voters; 13 final voters.
2) Allocation very off. It should be: 1 Biden, 1 Warren, coin toss between Amy/Pete.

@Jhobfoll @todayinthezach 14) Again, thread not meant to be comprehensive. I want to remind ppl it does have errors that'd benefit Buttigieg if corrected. Here's another to make point: in Dubuque-46, Biden, Buttigieg, & Sanders all given 2 dels. Shld be 3 Biden, 2 Buttigieg, 1 Sanders. (That's 0.2667 SDE)