There are 13 counties in CA that say they have no remaining mail ballots left to count.
In these counties:
Sanders led the initial count by 6.5;
Biden leads post-election ballots by 3.3.
Sanders now leads the total count by 2.5
35% of ballots were counted post-election night
In these counties:
Sanders led the initial count by 6.5;
Biden leads post-election ballots by 3.3.
Sanders now leads the total count by 2.5
35% of ballots were counted post-election night
A 4 point shift statewide would bring the Sanders lead down around 5 points, but many caveats:
--Not clear whether the unreported ballot status is accurate
--Counties aren't necessarily representative (too white?)
--Provisional/other remaining ballots should/could favor Sanders
--Not clear whether the unreported ballot status is accurate
--Counties aren't necessarily representative (too white?)
--Provisional/other remaining ballots should/could favor Sanders
Across all counties in the state, the post-election count is Sanders+2.9--or a smaller shift than what's observed in the completed counties. Not clear if that's bc later ballots will trend even more toward Biden, the demographics of the completed counties, or something else
