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How Disease X erupted into Wuhan morphing into #Covid19

This is an absolutely brilliant read. H/t @njstone9

Whether it is to hear all the personal stories about the search for the virus and the losses, or just to understand more about virus.

Find some time. So worth a read.
Read the embedded article first in Nick Stone’s tweet

It really is both easy to read and educational

If you want to get stuck into the science a bit more here is an academic paper confirming the infection window (1-13 days)

And the main clusters of transmission around families
ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/books/NBK55477…
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More from @fascinatorfun see all

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Fionna O'Leary, 🕯#FBPE
@fascinatorfun
Death toll doubles overnight by 11. Total fatalities. 21.

Big increase in number of tests to nearly 5k yesterday so interpret the rise in +ves in the light of that.

4975 tests. +342 positives. 14.54 tests to get one positive.

Same proportion as yesterday @dr_rf
This is the bar chart to reveal the change in the number of tests needed to get a positive up to date until yesterday (H/t @dr_rf

NB: testing hospital admissions particularly with respiratory infections has been prioritised the last three days (safety reasons)
For this reason data has to be interpreted in the light of changing cohorts.

I was, in fact, expecting a greater concentration of CV19 given who was being tested, so it is possible they are also maintaining community testing too.

More facts needed.
Read 5 tweets
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Fionna O'Leary, 🕯#FBPE
@fascinatorfun
#CV19. UK death toll doubles overnight bringing total dead to 21 - Mirror

20 of those 21 deaths are from England (where the population is 54 mill so more expected. But 20 times more?

I think there should be a breakdown of the localities of these deaths.
mirror.co.uk/news/uk-news/b…
The second set of data I think should be published is the number of new CV19 identified in and around Cheltenham compared to elsewhere from Monday 9th March when people started arriving for Gold Cup Week to 28 March 2020.
That way we can have some measure of the risks of large, partly open air events.

Also numbers for those from elsewhere traceable back to Cheltenham.

Time we had better quality evidence and information.
Read 5 tweets
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Fionna O'Leary, 🕯#FBPE
@fascinatorfun
Finding Connection and Resilience During the Coronavirus Pandemic | The New Yorker

Across the globe, a #Cv19 culture is emerging, spontaneously and creatively, to deal with public fear, restrictions on daily life, and the tedious isolation of quarantine
newyorker.com/news/our-colum…
Dancing in the wards in China and Iran.

Serenading whether by neighbours from their windows in the homes in Siena or in the hospitals in Iran, dancing in the balcony in Milan, or using online comms to keep classes, karaoke,and socialising going.
The need to adapt will not end with #COVID19 as we are in environments where these viruses often mutate, just as colds and flu do.

We have choices in how react.

Acceptance, adaption, action, altruism

Cooperation to survive and thrive.
Read 3 tweets

Related threads

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Ministry of Health
@MoHFW_INDIA
Happening now:
Media briefing on actions taken, preparedness & updates for the management of #COVID19

#HelpUsToHelpYou
@PMOIndia @drharshvardhan @AshwiniKChoubey @MIB_India @PIB_India @DG_PIB @MEAIndia @MoCA_GoI @shipmin_india @tourismgoi @mygovindia @PIBHomeAffairs
Government of India, along with States/UTs, has taken several preemptive, timely and proactive measures for prevention, containment and management of #COVID19
Continuous review and monitoring of the situation at the highest political and administrative levels has led to decisive actions taken in public interest such as travel restrictions, suspension of visas and self-quarantine measures.
Read 21 tweets
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COVID19
@V2019N
The city of Wuhan, China, where #COVIDー19 started, waited weeks before acknowledging human-to-human transmission and taking measures to control it. Wuhan thus experienced an out-of-control epidemic that overwhelmed the health care system.
Other cities in China watched Wuhan’s experience and imposed strict controls at a much earlier stage in their epidemic: They closed schools, sharply limited social contact, and traced and isolated cases and contacts. These early interventions dramatically slowed transmission.
These experiences, & historical parallels, like 1918 flu, show early and sustained imposition of measures to limit social contact will slow the epidemic. This is desirable for many reasons — fewer total people get infected in a slowly moving epidemic... bostonglobe.com/2020/03/11/opi…
Read 9 tweets
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Dr. Chris Mackie
@Healthmac
A thread on why I am not panicking about #Coronavirus #COVID-19.
In 2003, the world experienced an outbreak of SARS (Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome). I was in med school. Initially, the illness seemed to be linked with travel to China, but the Chinese government was not saying anything about it.
The cause of SARS was completely unknown, and it was five months between the illness first appearing and the World Health Organization (WHO) becoming significantly involved, alerting public health authorities around the world.
Read 46 tweets
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Roland Baker III
@RolandBakerIII
#COVID-19: It’s possible to get infected a 2nd time. People recovered by their own immune system, but the meds they use are damaging their heart, and when they get it the 2nd time, the antibody makes it worse, and they die of sudden heart failure.
taiwannews.com.tw/en/news/3876197
I don't find this unexpected. We had similar results in the study of SARS. Challenge with the virus after vaccination actually made the resulting disease worse. One theory is this may be due to an overactive immune response due to a cytokine storm.
What I find really troubling is doctors in China had to report this anonymously to avoid communist censorship. We are not getting the whole story here. Keep in mind we don't yet know how many cases this involves and we'll have to wait for more case studies in other countries.
Read 14 tweets
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War Watch
@war_watch
[THREAD] China Coronavirus Outbreak
A deadly virus is spreading from Asia, affecting hundreds of people and resulting in dozens of deaths, in what may become a gloabal health epidemic. This thread contains news about the outbreak.
#Coronavirus #WuhanOutbreak #ChinaVirus #WarWatch
On Dec 30, 2019, Chinese authorities confirmed cases of pneumonia of unknown cause in Wuhan, Hubei Province. A team of national experts was sent to carry out detection tests. Patients at a local seafood market were put in quarantine.
#Coronavirus #WuhanOutbreak #ChinaVirus
Liu Youning, a professor of epidemiology and respiratory medicine, told the Global Times that the #coronavirus found in #Wuhan appears to be far less serious than the virus that caused the severe acute respiratory syndrome (#SARS) or the Middle East respiratory syndrome (#MERS).
Read 53 tweets
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ρσкяαтн нαηѕαѕυтα แอคหลุม อย่าฟอล อย่าฟาด
@pokrath
เกิดการระบาดของโรคปอดบวมจากเชื้อไวรัสที่ไม่ทราบชนิดที่เมืองหวู่ฮั่น (Wuhan) มณฑลหูเป่ยในประเทศจีน มีผู้ป่วยทั้งหมด 44 ราย ผู้ป่วย 11 รายมีอาการรุนแรง ไวรัสที่ระบาดนี้ไม่ใช่ไข้หวัดใหญ่ ไข้หวัดนก หรือไวรัสทางเดินหายใจที่พบบ่อย ส่วน SARS กำลังรอผลตรวจอยู่
สิงคโปร์ ไต้หวัน และฮ่องกงเริ้มมาตราการสแกนอุณหภูมิร่างกายปชช.ผู้ที่เดินทางมาจากหวู่ฮั่นแล้วนะครับ เราไม่ควรตระหนก แต่เตรียมมาตรการไว้ก็น่าจะดี ถ้าไม่มีอะไรอะไรก็เป็นการซ้อมใหญ่ แต่ถ้ามีอะไรขึ้นมาจะได้ไม่เกิดการแพร่เชื้อในประเทศ #Wuhan #ViralPneumonia #vigilance
มีเคสผู้ป่วยต้องสงสัยจากอู่ฮั่นรายแรกที่สิงคโปร์แล้ว ส่วนที่ฮ่องกงมีเคสต้องสงสัยเพิ่มขึ้นอีก 6 ราย (1 ในหกราย ตราจพบไข้หวัดใหญ่)
5-มกราคม-2563
*ใกล้บ้านเราเข้ามาทุกที*
Read 124 tweets

Trending hashtags

#Wuhan #ไวรัสโคโรน่าสายพันธุ์ใหม่ #OptionToStay #pandemic #NovelCoronavirus #Pandumbic #COVIDー19 #ปอดบวมอู่ฮั่น #WorkFromHome #COVID19 #coronarvirus #ItsTheLittleThings #COVID #CoronavirusFrance #USMilitary #virus #LosAngeles #Wihan #coronavirus #quarantine #outbreak #KCDC #NK #AwarenessIsPreparedness #โควิดー19

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