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I did some basic estimates of Coronavirus fatalities, broken down by generation, since mortality rates vary so widely. If 70% of the population is infected, then 4.3 million people will die.
This could have been prevented if the U.S. government were willing to take swift, decisive action, like the Chinese. But if the strategy is “herd immunity” and “flattening the curve” by slowing infecting everyone, then a result like this is not out of the question.
If half the country gets the virus, then the estimate is over 3 million; if 30% are infected, then it’s just under 2 million.

This is based on widely reported mortality rates based on age, projected (somewhat imperfectly) on U.S. Census data.
*slowly
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