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You may be thinking of South Korea as one of the "epicentres" of the coronavirus pandemic. But that's mainly because they got it early, so monopolised news coverage. In fact, they have seen just 120 deaths, compared to 336 in the UK so far...
worldometers.info/coronavirus/co…
Even if you adjust the figures for the difference in population, the UK has experienced 2.11x as many deaths as South Korea. So next time you're tempted to think of them as part of the problem, maybe refocus your gaze closer to home?
BTW, the contrast for Japan is even more stark. Japan is another country that got talked about a lot in the press at the beginning of the pandemic. But they've suffered just 42 deaths. Adjusted for population size, the UK has experienced 14.9x more deaths than Japan.
All this to say: the world moves very very fast when it comes to a pandemic growing exponentially. A lot of the trouble "hotspots" at the beginning aren't anywhere near so significant now. So you may need to reset your thinking to match...
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Edwin Hayward 🦄 🗡, 🇬🇧 🔜 🇪🇺
@uk_domain_names
It is beyond absurd that the Brexit transition period hasn't been extended by 2 years so that everyone (Government & businesses) can concentrate their full undivided attention on the coronavirus crisis. Especially considering that *everything else* has changed! Take a look...
Remember: we're out of the EU already. A transition period extension won't reverse Brexit. Nothing will - there's no "Rewind" button.

What it would do though is let companies dig themselves out from under the coronavirus chaos before facing new, potentially devastating changes.
Surely this shouldn't be a politically partisan issue given the current circumstances! Everyone should be gunning for the UK to pull through the unbelievable challenge we *all* face with as little damage as is humanly possible.
Read 3 tweets
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Edwin Hayward 🦄 🗡, 🇬🇧 🔜 🇪🇺
@uk_domain_names
"Hundreds of residents of the budget hotel chain Travelodge, including homeless families housed there by local councils, have been turned out on to the street after it closed its premises." theguardian.com/world/2020/mar…
Now, I don't think this is a smart move by Travelodge *at all*.

But I can also see how it may be trapped by two conflicting pieces of advice:
- stop taking hotel bookings
- stay open for residents & key workers

If the latter are (say) 5% of customers, how can Tlodge pay bills?
It would be like saying to a store: "You must stay open, but only sell to left-handed customers with blue eyes. You must not serve anyone else." No way could they hope to survive in business with that stricture.

The conflicting situation was created by Government.
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Edwin Hayward 🦄 🗡, 🇬🇧 🔜 🇪🇺
@uk_domain_names
Here's why I *think* all deaths are being reported as having "underlying conditions"...

You can't be admitted to a hospital's special COVID-19 unit just for symptoms.

No, you're admitted because you're v ill (eg pneumonia)

But the coronavirus could well have caused that "UC".
It's like a medical unit on the far side of a firewalking pit saying "everyone is showing up with burns present". That's because of the specific path they took to get there!

If I'm right (hopefully an NHS insider can confirm/correct) then the phrase is meaningless.
The more I think about it, the more this "feels" right. You can't be admitted to a scarce critical care unit only for the medical staff to write "nothing wrong" on your chart.

No, they document all the problems you present with.

In many cases, those will have been caused by CV.
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Related threads

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André Picard
@picardonhealth
In today's column, I tried to answer the question: "How much worse can the #coronavirus pandemic get?" So, for data geeks like me, I'm going to post a thread of stories and graphs with projections. theglobeandmail.com/canada/article…
How Much Worse the #Coronavirus Could Get - features some great interactive charts and examines how long the #pandemic could last nytimes.com/interactive/20… via @nytimes
Unsurprisingly, Our World In Data has some of the best data on #coronavirus, like this chart that shows how long it took for cases numbers to double. (in Canada it's four days) ourworldindata.org/coronavirus
Read 15 tweets
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Yossi Gestetner
@YossiGestetner
Swine flu killed 12,469 people in the US from mid 2009 to mid 2010. Do you recall market meltdowns and OMG coverage of it daily? I don't. Globally a few hundred thousand people died. 2009 was the start of an economic recovery yet now we are potentially having an economic plunge.
Swine Flu killed on average 34 people a day from April 2009 to April 2010 per the CDC. Basically, three days of Swine Flu had more DEATHS than the total current #CoronaVirus cases in the US. Can Corona get worse than current levels? Sure but it is not anywhere close to it.
Coronavirus is not anywhere close to Swine Flu levels so I am not sure why people are spreading panic about it. Even if it reaches those levels, there was no OMG WE ARE DYING tone in mid 2009 during Swine. The economy in fact got out of a recession mid 2009 despite Swine Flu!
Read 25 tweets
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Dr. Sanjay Gupta
@drsanjaygupta
Back on January 21st, the first patient in the United States was announced to have the novel coronavirus (COVID-19) infection. That person was diagnosed and treated in Washington State. The patient was in the hospital for two weeks and has subsequently recovered. #coronavirus
When researchers compared the genome of that first coronavirus infection to a more recently diagnosed (Feb 28) coronavirus patient,who also lives in the same county but is not known to have had contact with the first patient, they found the two genomes were similar.
#coronavirus
This means the more recent coronavirus could be a descendant of the first coronavirus infection. Think of it like possibly being the great great grandchild of the original virus. nextstrain.org/ncov?f_divisio… #coronavirus
Read 9 tweets
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Tyler Young
@tylerisyoung
CORONAVIRUS (COVID-19)
This is a roundup of what I found to be the most interesting & helpful sources on my journey into the void. #Coronavirus #Pandemic #Misinformation #CDC #CPP #WHO
This is for friends & family, but also to raise concern over media censorship & begin a discussion of what are best practices for both traditional & decentralized media outlets. This is a collection of sources to tell a larger story and spark interest.
Very few sources peer reviewed. Some behind paywalls. Some mainstream news. Some International News. Some in other languages (Use chrome). Some Harvard medical Journals. Some unverified. Some factually incorrect. Have some salt with your rice & beans.
Read 132 tweets
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EVent Horizon
@evdefender
Think someone is lying to you?

First check to see if they bothered to add any variability whatsoever in the model they are using to supposedly report actual numbers from a complex system.

#coronavirus
The mortality rate they want you to report is the - 0 day rate: Today's Confirmed Death total minus Today's Confirmed Case total.

This has not varied outside of 1/10th of 1% in the last 5 prints.

#coronavirus
But even a minor adjustment of a few days in the mortality rate paints an entirely different picture

#coronavirus

Read 381 tweets

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