Thread by @TWMCLtd

Here is Sunday's #Coronavirus/#Covid19 megathread with the important news and data as it unfolds.

New lockdowns planned, two more big, badly hit countries turn things around as Europe continues to recover, but death rates still increase.

First good news
I said the turnaround was imminent for #Germany
Late last night we got confirmation that they had lowered the infection rate

By Saturday night Germany had registered just over 16,000 new #Covid19 cases, 1000 fewer than the previous Sat

https://twitter.com/TWMCLtd/status/1327053911983796225

#Austria is still the most #Covid19 infected nation in Europe, but it too saw its first fall in numbers for weeks.

That didn't stop Austrian Chancellor Sebastian Kurz announcing an even stricter lockdown from Tuesday when all schools will also close for two and a half weeks

#Czechia still driving down infections
4199 new #Covid19 cases today, 7,723 last Sunday morning. Hospital & ICU patient totals also both down too

Czech Republic is another country showing the trend I've discovered where death numbers are falling within 2 weeks of peak infection

#USA is a long way from recovery

Saturday totalled 157,000 new #Covid19 cases, but that will subsequently rise - four states and some counties don't declare cases at weekends.
Last Saturday's final figure was 128,000

Incidentally Friday's record was revised up to almost 188k

#USA should see cases fall to about 140k today, but it's not a real drop, will still be well above last Sunday

I project USA will come close to 200k on Tues & Weds but it may be Thursday before the landmark is reached. #Illinois #Indiani #Michigan #Minnesota are fastest growing

A worry for #Belgium, because cases have gone back up again today

After the decision to cut testing during the lockdown, we should now be dealing with similar test numbers on similar days of the week. The underlying data looked ok, but today 6,258 #Covid19 cases vs 6124 last Sun

#Georgia looks to have broken the chain...
After breaking its national record for all but one day of the last 12, they may be reaching the peak soon.

3020 new #Covid19 infections today, nearly 500 fewer than yesterday's record and only a hundred about last Sunday

#Ukraine continues its remorseless climb: slow and steady increases almost every day

10,681 new #Covid19 cases, not a record because of the start of the weekend lag, but 10% up on last Sunday. Infection rate now 247 AD/M

#Russia reports 22,572 new #Covid19 cases - just 130 off yesterday's record.

#Armenia's data look more realistic. They continue to fall with 1,482 new cases, a third down on last Sunday. Armenia peaked 10 days ago at 700 AD/M, not infection rate is 532

#Hungary's nightmare could be over soon...
The lockdown is working with a decent drop in new #Covid19 cases from last Sunday (4238 vs 4673)

However death rates likely to remain high for another week. Today for the 3rd time, 107 deaths - matching the record.

#Slovakia slashes #Covid19 cases by a third compared to last Sunday, down to exactly 1200 from 1828 a week ago.

For the first time 22 October, Slovakia's 7 day avg infection rate is below 300 AD/M

#Poland still trying to fool everyone with its #Covid19 data
The next thing could be to start hiding testing stats 😡🤬

Superficially a fall in cases:
Today vs last Sunday
21,854 vs 24,785 but look at testing
46,600 vs 61,000 and positive test rate
46.9% vs 40.6%

#Poland had a record 548 deaths yesterday - 303 today (236 last Sunday)

Reducing testing reduces published (known) cases, but can INCREASE infection. Population becomes lax and track+trace less effective. Deaths continue to increase

I am watching #Croatia closely these days - it could go either way in terms of #Covid19 infection

Yesterday a big rise, but today there's a drop compared to last Sunday (2362 vs 2543)

Also 43 more deaths today - equalling the country's record

Seems unimportant considering what's happening in #Belarus right now, but the regime admits a new record number of #Covid19 cases today

1,315 new infections claimed by the Health Ministry and 7 deaths

Mixed #Covid19 news from the Baltics

#Lithuania sees a big decrease in new cases to 1,372 from 1,980 seven days ago

But both #Latvia and #Estonia are going up
Latvia has 316 new infections (215 last Sun)
Estonia 226 (192)
Both are at their highest rates of infections

#Romania had a couple of days with lowering infection numbers. Today it's back up with 7,096 new cases of #Covid19 against 6,752 last Sunday.

As with Croatia, this could go either way right now. The trend is slightly down but work to be done

#Austria seems to be getting on top of its nightmare with #Coronavirus
Figures again show a slight decrease in new #Covid19 infections, from 5,933 last Sunday to 5,665 today

What's more good levels of testing - over 60,000 and a positive test rate of under 10%

Alarming #Coronavirus trend seems to be developing in western Europe

Nations crushing the curve, suddenly see spikes in new infection rates

Latest concerns are:
#Denmark 1058 new #Covid19 infections (891 last Sun)
while #Netherlands with 5,413 (vs 5,664) seems to be on the turn

One of the countries losing control again (see previous tweet) is #Portugal

For the fourth successive day new cases of #Covid19 have risen. 6,035 today compared to 5,784 last Sunday

#Serbia's rate of infection seems to be growing

Much bigger increase today than in recent days
3,482 new cases of #Covid19 (from 2112 last Sunday)

#Albania weighs in with a new record number of new confirmed #Covid19 infections

597 positive tests today (501 last Sunday)

#Italy's new case load goes BACK UP again today

33,979 new #Covid19 infections
The rise of 1300 on last Sunday is well below yesterday's fall.
However a clear warning sign to the nation.

546 more #Coronavirus deaths today too

#Greece sees a fall in cases, but record new death toll

71 people have died of #Coronavirus related problems in the last 24 hours.

Better news is that 1,695 new #Covid19 cases is over 200 down on the previous week

#UK cases are stabilising again after the increase in testing skewed figures upwards

24,962 new #Covid19 infections detected in the last 24 hours 4,400 from last Sunday

Deaths, always lower on a Sunday, total 168 today

#Turkey admits another "recent record": 3,223 new #Covid19 cases is the highest total since late April

Good, important news for #Ireland is that the infection rate is back on the right track.

The slowdown and then rise in new #Covid19 cases yesterday may have been a blip, with infections today down to 378 today from 542 last Sunday.

#Cyprus has had a decent weekend fighting #Coronavirus

Yesterday saw a decent size drop, and just a small increase in new #Covid19 cases today from 116 last Sunday to 127 today.

#France with another big fall today

27,228 new #Covid19 cases, down from 38,619 a week ago

The positive rate is falling now too - down to 16.9%, recently it was above 20.

302 more deaths reported today