Unusual June rains continue in Saudi Arabia today, and for the first time since April rain fell throughout the night.

Today's #NorthAfrica, #HornOfAfrica and #MiddleEast rainfall forecasts follow. [SubThread - Mecca rains.]
Satellite Images arranged from East to West, the direction of tropical moisture movement and Monsoon Winds.
North African 10-Day rainfall forecasts as of June 17th. Rains are extending north of the 15th parallel in all forecasts now.
North African 48 hour rainfall forecasts (till midnight Friday) as of June 17th from the same four models, ECMWF, GFS, CMC and KMA.
Big Rains continued for a fourth day today in the Horn of Africa and extending deep into Sudan before midday. Meanwhile #ArabianStorms can be seen on the Red Sea Coast.
10-Day rainfall forecasts for June 17th of the #HornOfAfrica including, #Somalia, #Somaliland, #Djibouti, #Ethiopia and parts of #Sudan and #SouthSudan.

+ bonus 12-day forecast from KMA.

The forecast model consensus is maintained.
48 hour model rainfall forecasts for June 17th (today and tomorrow) are increasingly aligned for the #HornOfAfrica now. Including #Somalia, #Somaliland, #Djibouti, #Ethiopia and parts of #Sudan and #SouthSudan.

#GERD
Today's #ArabianStorms were considerably stronger than yesterday. This @zoom_earth image is from 5.45pm today.

You can follow the storms tonight at this link >> zoom.earth/#view=18.17,44…
Today's selection @Arab_Storms videos are all from #KSA #SaudiArabia

1. Al-Majardah - Abdullah Al-Essa
10-Day June 17th, accumulated rain forecasts for the #MiddleEast from the GFS, CMC & KMA weather models.

#ArabianStorms

#KSA #Yemen #Oman #Jordan #Sudan #Iran #Syria #GERD #Sudan #DesertRain

الله أعلم
48 Hour June 17th (today and tomorrow), accumulated rain forecasts for the #MiddleEast from the GFS, CMC & KMA weather models.

#ArabianStorms

#KSA #Yemen #Oman #Jordan #Sudan #Iran #Syria #GERD #Sudan #DesertRain

الله أعلم
And finally, June 17th 16-day (GFS) and 12-day (KMA) accumulated rainfall forecasts for the Middle East.

الله أعلم
/ENDS

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More from @althecat

19 Jun
It's morning in Europe after a day of destructive weather in Spain and the Netherlands in particular. The low discussed in recent #EuropeBigWet updates has arrived and as expected is bringing a significant change in the pattern over Europe.

Extended update follows.
The cause of the unusual weather being experienced in Europe, Sahara, the United States and he Middle East is the same. Very high levels of airborn water vapour in northern hemisphere.

These two images 18th June show the visible part, cloud cover in the North Atlantic/Pacific. ImageImage
Read 13 tweets
18 Jun
Satellite images of the monsoon winds path to the #HornOfAfrica and #MiddleEast in three pictures.
1. The source... Bay of Bengal
2. The voyage.... The Arabian Sea
3. Landfall

Today's rainfall forecasts for the wider area follow.
The big picture this evening.

Europe is stormy in the East and the West.

#ArabianStorms have returned to a less unusual format.

Big Rains continue in the Nile Basin.

And night has fallen on the Indian monsoon.
Four North Africa 10-Day rainfall forecasts for today June 18th. Forecasts for the West Africa Monsoon are continuing to move north particularly in the West.
Read 18 tweets
18 Jun
During the 11-day Gaza war in May the BBC and especially @bbcworldservice did a fantastic job of covering the rapidly escalating conflict.

However they seem to have now dropped the ball now that Israel has broken the casefire. #GazaUnderAttack
The story above completely buries the most important aspect of what is happening now in the Israel conflict.

Had Hamas responded last night with rockets this story would have led the news… and as my linked thread shows for a while last night it was thought they had done so.
Notably the @bbcworldservice’s The Newsroom program - a 24h breaking news service heard all around the world - did not report the 3rd day of bombings at all.

As the thread shows there are numerous hard news angles that could be followed and which justify coverage.
Read 14 tweets
17 Jun
This is the "innocent" flag march that led to young Gazans attaching candle wicks to balloons and setting them free to fly into Israel. Israel responded with bombs.
#GazaUnderAttack
Tonight Israel's new Government repeated the bombs for balloons operation, on the eve of a trip by the head of the IDF to America to meet his counterparts in the U.S. Military.

The timing seems intent on provoking Hamas to break their side of a @POTUS brokered ceasefire.
Israel's new 5-day old Government is literally playing with fire. Deadly fire.
Read 14 tweets
17 Jun
No explanation from the @IDF as to what or why they are bombing Gaza for a 2nd day running.

On the face of it this is an attempt by new #IsraeliPM @naftalibennett Bennett to provoke Hamas into restarting the war. Why do he or @yairlapid think this is acceptable/lawful?
Usually the @IDF provide some kind of explanation for their actions. This is the tweet yesterday, following the morning attacks, and justified by balloons causing small fires.
This requires international condemnation. The new Govt. is making a mockery of a ceasefire brokered by the U.S. President with the assistance of the Egyptians. This is recklessness in extremis.
Read 6 tweets

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