Satellite images of the monsoon winds path to the #HornOfAfrica and #MiddleEast in three pictures.
1. The source... Bay of Bengal
2. The voyage.... The Arabian Sea
3. Landfall

Today's rainfall forecasts for the wider area follow.
The big picture this evening.

Europe is stormy in the East and the West.

#ArabianStorms have returned to a less unusual format.

Big Rains continue in the Nile Basin.

And night has fallen on the Indian monsoon.
Four North Africa 10-Day rainfall forecasts for today June 18th. Forecasts for the West Africa Monsoon are continuing to move north particularly in the West.
48-Hour rainfall forecasts from the same three models.
A North West Sahara #WestAfricaWaterPlume event is once again running hot.

The formation you see closely matches the current jet-stream pattern. Storms over Iberia, left, are powered by the cold air coming down on the far left turning 180 degrees off Morroco.
The plume on the right which is coming up across the Sahara is still turning sharp right once it arrives over the Mediterranean and heading east south east.

Here we see the transit of more air-born moisture, to the Horn & sourced in South East Asia & the Bay of Bengal.
10-Day rainfall forecasts for June 18th of the #HornOfAfrica including, #Somalia, #Somaliland, #Djibouti, #Ethiopia and parts of #Sudan and #SouthSudan.

+ bonus 12-day forecast from KMA.

The forecast model consensus is maintained.
48 hour forecasts for June 18th (today and tomorrow) for the #HornOfAfrica. Including #Somalia, #Somaliland, #Djibouti, #Ethiopia and parts of #Sudan and #SouthSudan.

#GERD Rains continue to increase.

See comparison to yesterday >>
A view of today over the Horn and the monsoon belt to the West, with today's #ArabianStorms top right.
The Netherlands was the epicenter of some epic storms today and here's a spectacular video from @Arab_Storms. And there is much more #EuropeBigWet yet to come.
Here we see lightning and thunderclouds in Saudi Arabia.
And there have been some seriously lethal rains in Nepal.
And a final video shot today in Taif Saudi Arabia where they have had a very large unseasonal storm again today.
10-Day June 18th, accumulated rain forecasts for the #MiddleEast from the GFS, CMC & KMA weather models.

#ArabianStorms

#KSA #Yemen #Oman #Jordan #Sudan #Iran #Syria #GERD #Sudan #DesertRain

الله أعلم
48 Hour June 18th (today and tomorrow), accumulated rain forecasts for the #MiddleEast from the GFS, CMC & KMA weather models.

#ArabianStorms

#KSA #Yemen #Oman #Jordan #Sudan #Iran #Syria #GERD #Sudan #DesertRain

الله أعلم
Tonight's Arabian Storms at sunset. Winds appear to have stepped up and changed direction, the form of the storms is more similar to what we have seen in April and May.
And finally, June 18th 16-day (GFS) and 12-day (KMA) accumulated rainfall forecasts for the Middle East.

Rainfall on the Arabian Peninsula looks set to continue.

الله أعلم
/ENDS

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More from @althecat

20 Jun
Tomorrow Ethiopia will go to the polls. #GERD, the Great Ethiopian Renaissance Dam, a project announced back in 2011 is a key election issue. The dam filling is about to begin.

This image shows Lake Tana, where the #Abbay river begins.

Today's rainfall forecasts follow. Image
Zooming out to show North Ethiopia this morning we can now see Tigray, where a horrific war began in November 2020, another key issue in this election. Image
Zooming out still further we can now see all of the ancient nation of Ethiopia. At the top right (the triangle bordered by cloud, we can see the northern end of the great rift where the Indian and African tectonic plates are slowly pulling away from each other. Image
Read 20 tweets
19 Jun
Not yet a week and @IsraeliPM @naftalibennett’s premiership is not going well. On Wed, Thurs & Friday he bombed Gaza. Later on Friday he offered Palestinians 1 million vaccines only to have them refused because they are near their expiry date. Image
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It’s never a good idea in politics to read the twitter replies, and doubly so in Israeli politics it seems. ImageImageImageImage
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19 Jun
See four satellite images taken today of major water transport events from @NASA Modis below.
1. Monsoon winds leaving India
2. Monsoon winds arriving Africa
3. Closeup of the #HornOfAfrica
4. The latest WMA plume.

Today's #Africa and #Middle East rainfall forecasts follow.
Two views of today's heavy rainfall in the Nile Basin and along the Red Sea Coast.
A big picture view from the Atlantic to the Bay of Bengal. It is extraordinary how long the Leviathan storm has been stationary in the middle of the picture near the Black Sea. It started in late May!
Read 21 tweets
19 Jun
There are some seriously silly statements in this @WashingtonPost, but its still an interesting round-up of the events of the past five days. The Balloons vs Bombs story.

#GazaUnderAttack

washingtonpost.com/world/middle_e…
This bit in particular deserves a commendation for use of irony.

U.S. Media has been working hard to downplay the seriousness of the ongoing security issues over Gaza in recent days.
Here is the @nytimes version of the same story published earlier. nytimes.com/2021/06/16/wor…
Read 5 tweets
19 Jun
It's morning in Europe after a day of destructive weather in Spain and the Netherlands in particular. The low discussed in recent #EuropeBigWet updates has arrived and as expected is bringing a significant change in the pattern over Europe.

Extended update follows.
The cause of the unusual weather being experienced in Europe, Sahara, the United States and he Middle East is the same. Very high levels of airborn water vapour in northern hemisphere.

These two images 18th June show the visible part, cloud cover in the North Atlantic/Pacific.
Read 15 tweets

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