NEW: 15,000 #Russia|n soldiers killed in #Ukraine - estimate given by @CIA Dir William Burns Wednesday - "probably a conservative estimate" #Britain's @ChiefMI6 Richard Moore tells #AspenSecurity
NEW: #Russia in #Ukraine: "I think they're about to run out of steam" per @ChiefMI6
"Our assessment is that the Russians will increasingly find it difficult to supply manpower, materiel over the next few weeks"
"Our assessment is that the Russians will increasingly find it difficult to supply manpower, materiel over the next few weeks"
"There's no evidence that #Putin is suffering from serious ill health" per @ChiefMI6, back public assessment from @CIA Dir William Burns
https://twitter.com/jseldin/status/1549878169347538947?s=20&t=hlQ5R4AvTKn4n8wwcmHQ1A
NEW: "MI6 has never had illusions whatsoever about communist #China" per @ChiefMI6, noting #Beijing a bigger threat now than terrorism
#Ukraine - #China - #Taiwan - "I think it is too early to tell what lessons they [China] will draw from #Putin's misadventures in Ukraine" per @ChiefMI6
"Xi Jinping is watching this like a hawk" Moore adds, noting "He underestimates US resolve & power"
"Xi Jinping is watching this like a hawk" Moore adds, noting "He underestimates US resolve & power"
NEW: War between US-#China-"I don't think it's inevitable at all" per @ChiefMI6
BUT "It is really important as Pres. Xi, as he calculates what he may or may not do on #Taiwan, looks at what can go wrong w/a misjudged invasion...It's important that we remind him of those risks"
BUT "It is really important as Pres. Xi, as he calculates what he may or may not do on #Taiwan, looks at what can go wrong w/a misjudged invasion...It's important that we remind him of those risks"
NEW: Reviving #JCPOA with #Iran - "If we can get a deal it is probably the best means still available to constrain the Iranian nuclear program" per @ChiefMI6
"I'm not convinced we're going to get there...I don't think the supreme leader of Iran wants to cut a deal"
"I'm not convinced we're going to get there...I don't think the supreme leader of Iran wants to cut a deal"
"Even if we do the deal, by the way, there's still plenty of work for my service to do bcs of hat they're up to in terms of destabilizing activity around the region...#Iraq, in #Syria, even down in #Yemen" per @ChiefMI6 on #Iran
#Iran nuclear deal - "The deal is absolutely on the table...I'm skeptical the supreme leader will go for the deal" per @ChiefMI6
"I don't think that the #Chinese & #Russia|ns on this issue would block it but I don't the Iranians want it"
"I don't think that the #Chinese & #Russia|ns on this issue would block it but I don't the Iranians want it"
Any concerns about divisions within the US?
Partnership w/@CIA is solid, special relationship "extraordinarily intimate" per @ChiefMI6
Says he has "huge affection for this country [US] & huge admiration for what it's capable fo doing"
Partnership w/@CIA is solid, special relationship "extraordinarily intimate" per @ChiefMI6
Says he has "huge affection for this country [US] & huge admiration for what it's capable fo doing"
"We crack on... MI6 deals with the world as it is, not as we would want it to be" per @ChiefMI6
Counterterrorism in #Afghanistan -"It's now more difficult" per @ChiefMI6
"We'll have to find different ways" to prevent #alQaida from growing again, he says, noting West will "have to find some middle ground partners"
"We'll have to find different ways" to prevent #alQaida from growing again, he says, noting West will "have to find some middle ground partners"
#China's intelligence services, "They're not 10 feet tall" per @ChiefMI6
"They are perfectly possible to work against & that's what we're determined to do" he says, adding US, #Britain have an advantage - "We have friends"
"They are perfectly possible to work against & that's what we're determined to do" he says, adding US, #Britain have an advantage - "We have friends"
#Russia-#China agreeing on "no limits" on their partnership - "When Pres. Xi says these things, he means them & we ought to listen hard" per @ChiefMI6
Says China would provide Russia w/military assistance if they thought they could get away w/it
Says China would provide Russia w/military assistance if they thought they could get away w/it
#China "right on the front foot beating the #Russia|n drum, selling the Russian narrative on #Ukraine" per @ChiefMI6
"But it's not an equal partnership & Ukraine has made it less equal. #Moscow is very much the junior partner & the Chinese are very much in the driving seat"
"But it's not an equal partnership & Ukraine has made it less equal. #Moscow is very much the junior partner & the Chinese are very much in the driving seat"
"Let's not overplay the power & attractiveness of the #Chinese model" per @ChiefMI6
"There's some pretty interesting news breaking, isn't there, about indebtedness around the Belt&Road initiative & this is building..." he says, pointing to #SriLanka
"There's some pretty interesting news breaking, isn't there, about indebtedness around the Belt&Road initiative & this is building..." he says, pointing to #SriLanka
#Russia|n intel taking a bit hit since invasion of #Ukraine
In #Europe "something north of 400 Russian intelligence officers operating under diplomatic cover have been expelled" per @ChiefMI6 "...reduced their ability to do their business to spy for Russia in Europe by half"
In #Europe "something north of 400 Russian intelligence officers operating under diplomatic cover have been expelled" per @ChiefMI6 "...reduced their ability to do their business to spy for Russia in Europe by half"
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