ithought Profile picture
Oct 13 8 tweets 6 min read
A look at India Vs the Rest of the world!

A Thread!

#india #economy #globaleconomy #inflation

(1/n)
India is emerging as one of the relatively better-off economies in the post-COVID world.

#indianeconomy

(2/n)
Looking closely, we find that India’s inflation is well controlled, ATH FX reserves have acted well as a shock absorber against volatility, and our GDP growth expectations is one the highest in the world!

#inflation #volatility #GDP

(3/n)
If you look at net inflows, India has had the highest inflow among emerging market peers.

#markets #emergingmarkets

(4/n)
Added to that India’s weight in the MSCI Emerging Market index has increased substantially in the past 2 years showing signs of investor confidence, while other prominent emerging country weights have been dropping.

#MSCI

(5/n)
Indian equities have also been outperforming global peers given our high growth expectations and controllable inflation.

#equity #investing #indicies

(6/n)
In times of slowdown, currency reflects the true strength of macro fundamentals. Japanese yen, Euro, Swiss franc, and British Pound have depreciated much more than the rupee making the rupee one of the best performing in the world.

#Currencies #indianrupee #macroeconomics

(7/n)
Where do you see other signs of strong macro fundamentals?

#macroeconomics #investors #personalfinance

(8/n)

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More from @ithoughtadviser

Aug 26
The global economy has changed dramatically this year, and financial markets have turned volatile. The question on everyone’s mind now is…

(1/8)

#globaleconomy #financialmarkets #nifty
Will recession hit India? How will it be different from past recessions that our country has faced?

Let’s look at some data points.

(2/8)

#recession #india #economy
Based on the RBI’s assessment, the Real GDP projection is retained at 7.2% for FY23. This comes on the back of strong investment activity, improving bank credit and rising capacity expansion.

(3/8)

#rbi #gdp #centralbanks
Read 8 tweets
May 16
The banking sector has been an underperformer since COVID. What makes it so interesting now? (1/8)

#bankingsector #COVID19 #investing
The banking sector is the backbone of our economy. The health of our banks has always played a major role in our economic growth journey. (2/8)

#india #economy #banks
With the introduction of the Asset quality review in FY15-16, banks' asset quality has been under pressure. This was further aggravated by events such as demonetisation, GST, and the IL&FS crisis. As a result, the GNPA ratio for Banks rose to 11.2% in FY18 vs 4.3% in FY15. (3/8)
Read 8 tweets
Feb 7
Infrastructure as a Theme

A Thread!

#stockmarket #investing #infrastructure #infrastocks

1/19
To understand the infrastructure cycle, we go back in time and look at our previous super Capex cycle, which started from 2003 to 2012

#capex #Markets

2/19
We saw that the commodity prices were increasing, reforms such as the Electricity Act came into play and government spending grew at a rapid pace of 23% CAGR. This led to overall growth in the capital cycle

#commodity #economy

3/19
Read 19 tweets
Dec 11, 2021
Banking Sector!

A Thread.

#Banks #PublicBanks #PrivateBanks

(1/7)
Performance of Bank credit in last decade. Affected due to slowdown in industrial credit towards the second half of the decade.
#Bank #Credit #GDP

(2/7) Image
A triple blow!

1. A commercial credit downcycle due to capital downcycle.
#Bank

(3/7) Image
Read 7 tweets
Dec 1, 2021
The IPO Hype!

A Thread.

#IPO #StockMarket #investing #strategy

1/11
IPOs have been all the rage this year. We’ve seen 98 IPOs from January 2021 till date. Are they worth this hype? Let’s take a closer look.

#IPO #IPOUpdate

2/11
Also known as ‘Going Public’. An IPO is when a company invites the public to invest in its shares. This is usually followed by a lot of fanfare.

#stocks #ipoallotment #markets

3/11
Read 11 tweets
Nov 13, 2021
Why gold should be the asset to focus on for the next few years?

#gold #investing #wealthcreation

A Thread!

1/13
M2 which is a broad measure of money supply, has grown 81% in the last 7yrs to nearly $20Trn. An increase in the supply of money typically lowers interest rates, which generates more investment and puts more money in the hands of consumers. Hence stimulating spending.

#gold
2/13
Bonds struggled during the last major stagflationary period, in the late 1960s. Rise in oil prices,unemployment, loose monetary policy pushed the core CPI Index to a high of 13.5%. The Fed had to raise interest rates by nearly 20%.

#gold #bonds #interestrates

3/13
Read 14 tweets

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