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Eurotrash🇪🇺Lasance @lasancmt
, 4 tweets, 2 min read Read on Twitter
I know both sides have their ‘Red Lines’ in #Brexit negotiations,

but ‘no cherry picking’ is a lot clearer than

“I want my cake and I want it delivered ‘Just in Time’ by Unicorns with no hold-ups at the border and it should have zero tariff and we don’t expect to pay a thing”
Barnier: The four freedoms are ‘indivisible’

But but but.... We’re the fifth largest economy and we buy all these cars!

German Car makers: The integrity of the Single Market is more important

But but but .....
Oh well please be flexible and ambitious like we are and make me an offer Cartoon Theresa May hanging for dear life on the exhaust of a bus about to tip in a ravine
The disenchanted left behinds must be given something of what they want out of #Brexit or they will feel soo betrayed.... Bold headed job gets tatoo of a flying dragon that looks more like a flying pig
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Thread:
Lately I have become a bit obsessed with Britain’s trade deficit and Balance of Payments with the Rest of The World(ROW). Let me explain why, and what’s it got to do with #Brexit.
For me as a UK-expat in Euroland I have seen the value of my pension drop by 20% since the dreaded referendum.
Let’s home in on what happened around the time of the referendum. Although part of a longer term decline, the sharp drop did not go unnoticed by the commentariat. Sharp drop in Sterling rate highlighted June July 2016Cartoon of pound falling off cliff
Read 22 tweets
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Q: How many Leave voters does it take to change a lightbulb?
A: I don’t know, they never really thought about it
Q: How many Leave voters does it take to change a lightbulb?
A: We got on perfectly well before lightbulbs
Q: How many Leave voters does it take to change a lightbulb?
A: We use the old lightbulb for two years as an implementation period to get used to the dark
Read 20 tweets
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Some upset Corbynistas are claiming this photo was “photoshopped”. Are they correct? This is an amendment to Jeremy Corbyn’s motion of no confidence in Theresa May, signed by all the other opposition party leaders, to make it into a motion of no confidence in the entire government
It appears two separate motions of confidence were signed yesterday, one by Labour and one by the real opposition. It seems it is perfectly reasonable to assume both documents exist: One against @theresa_may May, one against the Government as a whole🤗
edm.parliament.uk/early-day-moti…
I compared these two motions side by side and you can clearly see they are two separate motions signed by the same MPs. You think that mad corbynista will apologise after accusing me of “photoshopping” Jeremy’s #Brexit motion? Best not hold my breath 😅 The two motions side by side show they are different documents signed by the same MPs. It seems that after trying to amend Labour’s motion of no confidence they decided they might as well have one of their own
Read 3 tweets

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Brexit is the backstop; the backstop is #Brexit.

After 3 days in Belfast, talking to all sides, here's what I've learned - on the business and the politics of this deal. And its viability.

1/Thread
First the business/technical aspects of how a backstop would work.

I talked to business lobby groups, Stephen Kelly from @ManufacturingNI fresh back from talks with Barnier. And bosses of big companies.

The are surprisingly sanguine. /2

telegraph.co.uk/politics/2018/…
@ManufacturingNI If the backstop emerges as the British want (and that is still an 'if') it would look as follows:

- all-UK in a temporary customs Union
- Northern Ireland only in Single Market for goods, via devolution
- no checks GB-NI
- 'de-dramatised checks on regs NI-GB

/3
Read 26 tweets
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1) Was determined to back off Labour & Corbyn this week & support them going forward on #Brexit

But now this, following Corbyn's speech.

Corbyn's team want Brexit. They don't want to listen to the members on a #PeoplesVote & now it's been raised, they are switching position
2) let's just look at the chronology
I) Starmer (but no one else in Leadership) talks occasionally over last 2 years about "exact same benefits" 6 tests
ii) privately, @BarryGardiner describes them as nonsense
@BarryGardiner 3) iii) in run up to conference, probably because they know there is a huge influx of CLP motions asking for an early vote, Corbyn & others start talking about the 6 tests really for the first time.
Read 13 tweets
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1) Great article on why #Brexit is insoluble
We can rail about respecting the vote, the EU being stubborn,May being incompetent etc all day long. The fact is it cannot be negotiated successfully, and anyone who believes otherwise is mistaken
#Lab18

blogs.lse.ac.uk/brexit/2018/09…
2) reasons are very simple, and always have been. The deal that was promised & any feasible deal are so far apart as to be unrecognisable

Either Brexit will be so painful that it will destroy the party who implements or so meaningless that it would be embarrassing to implement
3) half the country do not want Brexit, the other half (apart from the hardcore) voted for the pain free, cake & eat it easy brexit that was promised.

There is *no* feasible Brexit that would gain a majority in the UK & non possible within the EU & UKs red lines
Read 4 tweets
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The Chequers plan is dying. May faces rebellion on both sides. She can survive, but not proceed. So what happens next? Some thoughts after chats with both sides.

(Shorter: it's still all about the Irish backstop)

1/Thread
As talks get under way in Brussels today, the EU can:

a) attack - eviscerate Chequers for cherry picking

b) parry - play for time, probe UK real red lines

c) focus on what is deliverable to conclude Withdrawal Agreement in Autumn /2

More here: telegraph.co.uk/politics/2018/…
It is the last of these where smart money lies. Chequers is dying anyway and is a 'future relationship issue'.

The focus is delivering a divorce treaty by 29.03.19 and for this most of work is done.

Except the backstop.... /3
Read 18 tweets
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#Brexit
1) Thread - All Brexits are bad and what we voted for
It's often said by brexiters that "it's not all about economics"
However, the *actual* Leave campaign was almost wholly about economic arguments

With the leak of this 2-8% report those arguments are now trashed
2) We seem to have forgotten this however economics played a huge part in the Vote Leave campaign, making up over 2/3rds of the primary arguements. The clear message was we would at the least be no worse off and at best much better off. 4 of the 6 below state this clearly
3) & the fact is voters believed we would be no worse off. People prioritized immigration certainly, but against a backdrop of there being no consequences from Brexit - few are prepared to actually pay for ending FoM
Read 36 tweets
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“There were lies on both sides”. Is that really true? /thread #Brexit /1
1) “950,000 job losses” is predicated on leaving the EU so not yet. Certainly no large scale losses have occurred
Verdict: Too early to say
2) Since Brexit real weekly earnings have fallen by 0.5% ons.gov.uk/generator?uri=… mostly due to inflation. That’s £25 so far.
Verdict: Fact
Read 20 tweets

Trending hashtags

#Labour #FinalSay #StopBrexit #Brexit #Fraud #SWE #PeoplesVote #peoplesmarch #underreported #timefortruths #BBCqt #Marr #A50 #Chequers #challenge #FBPE #Brextremists #government #EU #Spain #Britain #Remain #Tories #peoplesvote #StopArt50Clock

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