Thread by @soychicka

Look at HOW Kemp is justifying holding back applications - a typo or a missing hyphen keeping someone from voting, based on inconsistencies with past records.

Past records? What would the source of those records be?

https://twitter.com/MaddowBlog/status/1050202179838054400

The database of this organization run out of a former home in Kennesaw that oversees all state elections for Kemp...

and who was hacked in 2017, exposing 7.5M records?

(Interestingly, there are only 6.6M registered voters in Georgia.)

politics.myajc.com/news/state--re…

I wonder why those records were flagged as suspect in the first place...

But perhaps even more interesting:
6.6M registered voters, 6.4M registrations since 2014:

There are only 200,000 Georgia voters who have not needed to update or re-register to vote in the state?

What were the reasons that almost the entire voting base has needed to re-register since 2014?

1.7M voters were dropped from the rolls. -

A marriage rate of 6.8/1000 citizens with a population of 10.43M citizens => 70K marriages per year. Assuming 100% of newlyweds either change their name or move into a new home, that's another 280K needing to re-register.

Note: these are crude numbers, as I don't have all this data at hand... I'd be happy to do a complete analysis if somebody wants to fund it ;)

So. That puts us at 1.9M explained...

I don't have state-specific numbers, but it appears that about 11% of residents move to a new home each year... but those turning 18 and (theoretically) leaving home = 1.2% of the US population nationally, and would be registering as new voters anyway,.

move.org/moving-stats-f…

So, drop that 1% off the relocation list, and 10% of the >18 pop moves every year. Of course, lower-income biases towards renting instead of owning, which is accompanied by more frequent moves, so...

10% over 4 years, assuming reregistration only happens in 2-year cycles => 20% of voting age population of 7.6M adults reregisters.

That's about 1.5M voter registrations.

So while the numbers are pretty messy, something seems very, VERY off here.

Why are so many voters registering? For the fun of it?

The more important piece here, though, I think, is pinning down how the records that haven't been processed have been identified as 'exact match' - if discrepancies exist between past voter's registrations and drivers' licenses, or if there were typos/misreads on input...

wouldn't someone have to enter a name into a database to identify those points of contention?

And if it's automated, same deal. All data should be there.

In any case, it's unconscionable that notifications are not sent to the applicant immediately. There's this thing you can use that's called email... so the SOS doesn't even have to buy stamps. Does Georgia have email fields on reg forms?

My concern here really is the integrity of those records the 'exact match' needs to match.

With outside contractors helping run elections and not keeping historical records to avoid lawsuits, who can confirm that none of those records have been slightly modified?

Imagine if a hostile agent could hack their way into a voter database or DMV system, making changes as insignificant as deleting a hyphen in an existing record, then historical auditing being destroyed to prevent the error from being caught...

And note: those with hyphenated names tend to be female, hispanic, or of another other non-caucasian ethnicity ... who tend to not vote Republican.

well, there's only one more thing that could make this attempt at voter disenfranchisement more effective - if somehow that agent hostile to democracy got their hands on data from another source identify which records to target - who moved recently, who might not fight back hard.

Who might be in an extended care facility and not receiving mail, who might not have the resources to fight back if their registration is incomplete and their provisional vote is subsequently rejected.

If you know who is broke, who is a student that won't be able to address the issue when they're away for the semester, or when they're home on break...

Or who isn't white.

If you can change something insignificant to the human eye, something that isn't even semantically or syntactically relevant, the voter themselves might not even notice when comparing.

So take a look at what information one would be able to obtain from all of the breaches in the past few years - those that I've outlined here, and see if you can envision what some of those datapoints might be able to tell you about who to target.
twitter.com/i/moments/1049…

And think about what new breaches since 2016 might help to up the ability of those hostile to our democracy to hone in on who to target in the states that have laws like "Exact Match."
Especially those that have no paper trail for ANYTHING in their election systems.

Sure would be a shame if something happened during Hurricane Michael took out all those electronic voting systems...

Fortunately, there'd still be enough time to get paper ballots printed up.
Here's hoping...

And a little more on the Georgia "Center for Election Systems," 'cause I don't think I linked this article above.

politics.myajc.com/news/state--re…

One last thing:

Make sure your ass is still registered to vote.

Links to check with your state directly at the bottom of the page.
vote.org/am-i-registere…