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After SP & DMK, now INLD heading for a split?
If INLD collapses, Hooda's INC would likely gain. But if a faction allies with BJP, things will become more interesting.
If INLD collapses, Hooda's INC would likely gain. But if a faction allies with BJP, things will become more interesting.
INLD moves a step closer to split?
Dushyant & Digvijay get suspended.
zeenews.india.com/hindi/india/de…
Dushyant & Digvijay get suspended.
zeenews.india.com/hindi/india/de…
INLD fight continues ... Digvijay warns of conspiracy.
I hinted at the start of this thread. The faction that allies with BJP will likely become stronger, as the fight could become BJP+ v/s INC.
OPChautala has his stature but he is aging.
OPChautala has his stature but he is aging.
So INLD formally splits, Dushyant & Digvijay expelled. Now to see which faction allies with whom if at all.
Hundreds resign from INLD in support of Dushyant, amidst speculation that his faction may join hands with BJP.
Meanwhile in other reports BJP ministers guardedly welcome Dushyant "or others" into Party.
timesofindia.indiatimes.com/city/chandigar…
Meanwhile in other reports BJP ministers guardedly welcome Dushyant "or others" into Party.
timesofindia.indiatimes.com/city/chandigar…
My view ... these are the factors ...
1> BJP is more natural ally of INLD
2> Hooda's rivalry with INLD
3> Much better chances for Dushyant if he allies than alone
Hence my guess is he will form his own Party in DeviLal's name, say INLD(D), & ally with BJP.
1> BJP is more natural ally of INLD
2> Hooda's rivalry with INLD
3> Much better chances for Dushyant if he allies than alone
Hence my guess is he will form his own Party in DeviLal's name, say INLD(D), & ally with BJP.
Most MLAs/Officebearers are with the other side, so doesn't look like Dushyant can take INLD itself.
He is undoubtedly ambitious & capable as well. But he has to play the long game. First target as in all such cases would be to replace INLD electorally.
He is undoubtedly ambitious & capable as well. But he has to play the long game. First target as in all such cases would be to replace INLD electorally.
Dushyant meets family friend Rao Inderjeet Singh of BJP. Could lead to very different outcomes for BJP.
Jat-Ahir alliance is formidable on paper ... Gurugram, Hissar, Bhiwani, Rohtak could be in play. Can damage BJP. But they are historic rivals.
Safer option to be part of BJP+.
Jat-Ahir alliance is formidable on paper ... Gurugram, Hissar, Bhiwani, Rohtak could be in play. Can damage BJP. But they are historic rivals.
Safer option to be part of BJP+.
INLD split complete, as Ajay Chautala also expelled. Now to see what the rebel faction does ... ally with BJP? ... or create a fourth front?
Ajay Chautala says he "gifts Party symbol to Abhay" and that "there will be war".
Impressive crowd at Jind rally. But he needs an ally.
news18.com/news/politics/…
Impressive crowd at Jind rally. But he needs an ally.
news18.com/news/politics/…
Interesting, Digvijay Chautala says thinking of allying with BSP or AAP.
An AAP-INLD(D) alliance could take votes from everyone. If BJP can maintain it's caste coalition, it would gain, else BJP also could be in some trouble.
navbharattimes.indiatimes.com/state/punjab-a…
An AAP-INLD(D) alliance could take votes from everyone. If BJP can maintain it's caste coalition, it would gain, else BJP also could be in some trouble.
navbharattimes.indiatimes.com/state/punjab-a…
INLD seals alliance with BSP, to contest local body polls together.
So some clarity in HN. Now to see what INLD(D) does. Only 2 real options ...
1> INLD(D) + AAP + Rebels of all parties (high-risk high-return)
2> INLD(D) + BJP (low-risk reasonable-return)
So some clarity in HN. Now to see what INLD(D) does. Only 2 real options ...
1> INLD(D) + AAP + Rebels of all parties (high-risk high-return)
2> INLD(D) + BJP (low-risk reasonable-return)
INLD-BSP is not a natural alliance. It;s success if any would be more of a threat to INC. BJP is not much affected as it's caste coalition is different.
If this results in vertical split of opposition vote, it might be advantageous to BJP.
If this results in vertical split of opposition vote, it might be advantageous to BJP.
Yet another SonRise in INLD ... Abhay's sons Karan-Arjun to take on Ajay's sons Dushyant-Digvijay. Fight for Jat youth vote intensifies.
Will Hisar LS 2019 see Karan v/s Dushyant clash?
timesofindia.indiatimes.com/city/chandigar…
Will Hisar LS 2019 see Karan v/s Dushyant clash?
timesofindia.indiatimes.com/city/chandigar…
Too early for either of the 2 INLD factions to go with INC. As of now it looks like ...
BJP v/s INC v/s INLD-BSP v/s INDL(D)-AAP.
A badly splintered opposition means BJP has to only retain it's 35%+ vote share to sweep.
BJP v/s INC v/s INLD-BSP v/s INDL(D)-AAP.
A badly splintered opposition means BJP has to only retain it's 35%+ vote share to sweep.
AAP can take the non-Jat/SC vote which is BJP's core vote in HN. BJP will have to ensure that AAP takes votes only from INC. A charismatic CM would have been helpful. Now a lot depends on Modi.
Difficult qs to answer. MLK has done well on governance. Replacement will have to do as well.
In general I'm in favor of Charismatic CMs ... MGR in TN, Modi in GJ & now Fadnavis in MH ... tend to become invincible once they establish themselves.
In general I'm in favor of Charismatic CMs ... MGR in TN, Modi in GJ & now Fadnavis in MH ... tend to become invincible once they establish themselves.
INLD rebel faction finally has a name ... surprisingly it is JJP (Jananayak Janata Party).
New branding ... no "Lok Dal", back to "Janata".
haryana.punjabkesari.in/haryana/news/d…
New branding ... no "Lok Dal", back to "Janata".
haryana.punjabkesari.in/haryana/news/d…
Major test for INLD & splinter JJP ... Jind bypoll.
1> BJP fields late INLD MLA's son.
2> INC to avoid 4th place, in Election year, springs a surprise by fielding Surjewalla.
3> JJP may field Digvijay Chautala.
In this explosive battle will INLD wilt?
1> BJP fields late INLD MLA's son.
2> INC to avoid 4th place, in Election year, springs a surprise by fielding Surjewalla.
3> JJP may field Digvijay Chautala.
In this explosive battle will INLD wilt?
Not much option for INC. Couldn't risk finishing 4th & allowing INLD & JJP to monopolise Jat vote.
Weirdly Surjewalla is sitting MLA in another seat. Perhaps first time in history of such a move by any Party.
Weirdly Surjewalla is sitting MLA in another seat. Perhaps first time in history of such a move by any Party.
Jind bypoll will provide very timely indicators for 3 trends ...
1> BJP's hold over it's rainbow caste coalition v/s INC
2> INLD v/s JJP over core INLD vote & by extension overall Jat vote
3> BSP's ability to transfer vote to INLD
1> BJP's hold over it's rainbow caste coalition v/s INC
2> INLD v/s JJP over core INLD vote & by extension overall Jat vote
3> BSP's ability to transfer vote to INLD
I think BJP will win as other vote will be split, & candidate will get sympathy vote for his father. Hazardous to guess voteshares but maybe ...
BJP - 30%
INC - 25%
INLD - 25%
JJP - 10%
BJP - 30%
INC - 25%
INLD - 25%
JJP - 10%
Interesting views on Jind bypoll by @ASKatyal
If JJP indeed is 2nd behind BJP, would be a very impressive debut, considering the Party was formed a month ago, & got symbol just a week ago.
If JJP indeed is 2nd behind BJP, would be a very impressive debut, considering the Party was formed a month ago, & got symbol just a week ago.
Last minute twist in Jind bypoll ... INLD accuses JJP & AAP of conspiring to keep OPChautala in jail.
JJP didn't need this. If true, AAP has hit JJP's foot with ax.
JJP didn't need this. If true, AAP has hit JJP's foot with ax.
Very comprehensive analysis of Jind bypoll, which also matches earlier views of @ASKatyal ...
1> BJP ahead though LSP cutting votes
2> JJP close second despite OPChautala's controversially cancelled furlough
3> INC's Surjewalla struggling
4> INLD meltdown
swarajyamag.com/politics/why-j…
1> BJP ahead though LSP cutting votes
2> JJP close second despite OPChautala's controversially cancelled furlough
3> INC's Surjewalla struggling
4> INLD meltdown
swarajyamag.com/politics/why-j…
Jind turnout 75% & may be increased in final count?
A high turnout probably favors JJP, as they are the new interesting Party, others are all boring.
A high turnout probably favors JJP, as they are the new interesting Party, others are all boring.
Jind voteshares right now ... BJP may rise further. JJP, LSP doing well. INLD in dire straits. INC slightly less than deposit reqt. 
BJP, LSP gaining, JJP, INC falling. JJP will probably regain some share towards the end.
But more exciting contest now b/w INC & deposit retention. INC falling behind to 15.59%. Can Surjewala retain deposit?
But more exciting contest now b/w INC & deposit retention. INC falling behind to 15.59%. Can Surjewala retain deposit?
Surjewala fights back now edges above the deposit retention mark. Still close thing though.
Phew, Surjewala saves deposit. But a personal disaster for him. From "CM probable" to this. He may now face mockery back in Kaithal.
INLD getting a shocking 2.6%.
JJP>10 times INLD.
INLD getting a shocking 2.6%.
JJP>10 times INLD.
Sensational debut by JJP. It's support may be understated, as some supporters may not have been aware of it's very recently acquired symbol.
HN can now become BJP vs JJP, with INC pushed to 3rd place like in DL. Even Rohtak is on the edge.
HN can now become BJP vs JJP, with INC pushed to 3rd place like in DL. Even Rohtak is on the edge.
Namo + Mano(Khattar) ... BJP clearly maintaining & maybe even strengthening it's rainbow coalition. Would be good if it gets Saini back in.
Looks like ...
BJP = nonJs + some Js
JJP = Js + some nonJs
INC likely to fall behind everywhere.
BJP could win 8 LS & JJP 2 LS seats.
Looks like ...
BJP = nonJs + some Js
JJP = Js + some nonJs
INC likely to fall behind everywhere.
BJP could win 8 LS & JJP 2 LS seats.
Dushyant-Digvijay have a very bright future. BJP will hope that most of that brightness emerges after 2019.
JJP has more potential than INLD ever did. May expand their alliance to JJP-AAP-BSP.
JJP has more potential than INLD ever did. May expand their alliance to JJP-AAP-BSP.
Dushyant-Digvijay did smart branding ... avoided "Lok Dal" which has over the years become associated with J politics. Instead chose more inclusive & Ideologically flexible "Janata" brand to appeal to Middle class. Long-term thinking.
The candidate & this being traditional INLD seat made this an ideal debut for JJP. Would have been difficult to replicate elsewhere.
But now they have momentum. INLD's vote is up for grabs. That's a jumpstart 20%+ across HN. JJP can build a wave.
But now they have momentum. INLD's vote is up for grabs. That's a jumpstart 20%+ across HN. JJP can build a wave.
Good prediction by @ASKatyal ... JJP & INC correct, slight underestimation of BJP, overestimation of INLD, LSP.
I think Dushyant will retain Hisar, bande main dum hain.
Also JJP will likely take Sirsa from INLD. Let's see.
Also JJP will likely take Sirsa from INLD. Let's see.
That won't happen. JJP will try to become main opposition now. They will build their own alliance maybe by taking in BSP as well, & rebels from demoralised INLD/INC.
Expected JJP & BSP to try an alliance though still not clear whether vote transfer will be smooth.
JJP will do to INLD what YSRP did to INC in AP ... total replacement.
JJP will take votes from INC also, that is why I said it can become main opposition.
JJP will do to INLD what YSRP did to INC in AP ... total replacement.
JJP will take votes from INC also, that is why I said it can become main opposition.
Maharashtra Times - "Virendra Sehwag to contest from Rohtak for BJP ?"
maharashtratimes.indiatimes.com/india-news/vir…
maharashtratimes.indiatimes.com/india-news/vir…
VDPA has had a bit of an erratic record, sometimes right, sometimes wrong, but this HN trend matches my prediction of JJP replacing INLD and challenging INC for main opposition space.
JJP should be able to cross 20% by April.
JJP should be able to cross 20% by April.
Total TV's significant claims ...
1> LSP-BSP alliance to be formed. This is a more natural alliance than INLD-BSP. Can cut some votes from BJP & INC.
2> Hooda could become INC HN chief. INC says no.
3> Further defections from INLD.
1> LSP-BSP alliance to be formed. This is a more natural alliance than INLD-BSP. Can cut some votes from BJP & INC.
2> Hooda could become INC HN chief. INC says no.
3> Further defections from INLD.
In present situation, I agree any prominence to Hooda in INC will help BJP. My view on LS seats ...
BJP = 7-9
JJP = 1-2
INC = 0-1
BJP = 7-9
JJP = 1-2
INC = 0-1
LSP-BSP alliance confirmed. So HN could be ...
BJP = 40%
JJP+AAP = 20-25%
INC = 20-25%
INLD = 5-10%
LSP+BSP = 5%
Even OPChautala can't possibly save INLD.
BJP = 40%
JJP+AAP = 20-25%
INC = 20-25%
INLD = 5-10%
LSP+BSP = 5%
Even OPChautala can't possibly save INLD.
BJP+INLD is not advisable. BJP won't gain much votes from INLD, OTOH may harm BJP's Social narrative.
LSP leader RKSaini "indecisive" on contesting Kurukshetra while voters appreciate Khattar's governance.
1> Transparent functioning
2> GST reduced paperwork
3> Fair recruitment
4> Rs 6,000 support for Farmers
5> 10 per cent EWS quota
6> Crop insurance
tribuneindia.com/news/haryana/v…
1> Transparent functioning
2> GST reduced paperwork
3> Fair recruitment
4> Rs 6,000 support for Farmers
5> 10 per cent EWS quota
6> Crop insurance
tribuneindia.com/news/haryana/v…
Fair recruitment is a big thing in HN ... “A daily wager’s son from our village was recently appointed SDO. This has never happened in the past, as jobs during the previous regimes would either be sold for money or to those close to the ruling clique.”
tribuneindia.com/news/haryana/v…
tribuneindia.com/news/haryana/v…
Something as basic as merit-based recruitment in Govt jobs could become reality only under @mlkhattar . Looks like NaMo+Mano wave will sweep HN.
Meanwhile INLD HN State President Ashok Arora meets MLKhattar, amidst rumours of major defections from INLD to BJP.
haryana.punjabkesari.in/haryana/news/i…
haryana.punjabkesari.in/haryana/news/i…
If Kuldeep contests from Hisar on BJP symbol, Dushyant will most likely lose.
Good image. High profile. Father's legacy is a positive. His caste is probably not numerous, but is influential. Overall would be a good catch for BJP as he adds to non-J consolidation.
Hmmm ... Karan Chautala openly calls for alliance with BJP, & INLD workers respond enthusiastically. Has he got some positive signal from BJP?
Alliance makes sense for INLD, but none for BJP. (But then I thought BJP-SS alliance won't happen😁)
Alliance makes sense for INLD, but none for BJP. (But then I thought BJP-SS alliance won't happen😁)
After roaming around AAP comes back to JJP.
JJP to fight 7 seats, AAP in 3.
AAP is now a peripheral force in HN, only symbolic value. JJP can get some narrative advantage over INC in fight for 2nd spot.
JJP to fight 7 seats, AAP in 3.
AAP is now a peripheral force in HN, only symbolic value. JJP can get some narrative advantage over INC in fight for 2nd spot.
BJP fields nonJ (A Sharma) from Rohtak. Now let's see if JJP fields J candidate. Will Hooda become the next Surjewalla?
But JJP's aim would be to emerge as main opposition not defeat BJP. 10-0 is better for JJP than 9-1 if that 1 belongs to INC.
Yes heard of it. Would be a bizarre turn in HN alliance talks ... INC+JJP+AAP (7+2+1). Not sure whether this is serious or a continuation of the INC v/s AAP drama to blame each other at the end.
1> BJP could gain as there will no longer be nonJ division
2> JJP loses it's fresh image (may struggle to win in a JJP v/s BJP v/s INLD fight)
3> INLD gets a half-chance to rebuild base
4> What happens to Kuldeep Bishnoi?
2> JJP loses it's fresh image (may struggle to win in a JJP v/s BJP v/s INLD fight)
3> INLD gets a half-chance to rebuild base
4> What happens to Kuldeep Bishnoi?
Latest stance suggests this was indeed a Drama, & no alliance is done ... until tomorrow when there will again be a new formula.
But in this drama b/w AAP & INC ... JJP is the one getting a bad name. Why they are not issuing a clear denial?
But in this drama b/w AAP & INC ... JJP is the one getting a bad name. Why they are not issuing a clear denial?
JJP does not let me down. It fields Jat candidate who led Jat stir in Rohtak ... Contrary to Media reports of giving seat to AAP.
So fight is on!
So fight is on!
Most likely this whole drama was for DL anti-BJP votes. AAP journos may have succeeded in putting blame on INC for now. INC journos seemed confused.
Will have to wait for 23rd May to see if AAP succeeded in restricting INC to <20% voteshare in DL.
Will have to wait for 23rd May to see if AAP succeeded in restricting INC to <20% voteshare in DL.
Finally Stage1 of Drama is over. Stage2 begins ... "Pol-Khol Abhiyan".
Bizarrely, AAP's offer for alliance with INC in HN continued even after JJP dismissed any chance of allying with INC.
And no one asked this in the joint JJP-AAP press conference?
Bizarrely, AAP's offer for alliance with INC in HN continued even after JJP dismissed any chance of allying with INC.
And no one asked this in the joint JJP-AAP press conference?
Ab Senior Hooda ki Baari. JJP fields Digvijay Chautala from Sonipat.
Maybe now Surjewalla ke "raaste ka kaanta" will be removed?😁
Also fields Mehmood Khan from Gurugram where "family friend" Rao Inderjeet Singh is BJP candidate.
Mast setting chal raha.
Maybe now Surjewalla ke "raaste ka kaanta" will be removed?😁
Also fields Mehmood Khan from Gurugram where "family friend" Rao Inderjeet Singh is BJP candidate.
Mast setting chal raha.
That I don't know. I assumed BJP would help them in Hisar, but that does not seem to be the case.
However it is in JJP's own interests to finish off the Hoodas, Surjewalla, INLD etc., to emerge as undisputed leaders of Js.
However it is in JJP's own interests to finish off the Hoodas, Surjewalla, INLD etc., to emerge as undisputed leaders of Js.
Thread by @ASKatyal on HN.
RKSaini "fails" to file nomination in Sonipat. So the only significant threat of nonJ split is gone. Senior Hooda's problems mount.
hindi.news18.com/news/haryana/s…
hindi.news18.com/news/haryana/s…
GroundZeroSe says ...
BJP = 9
INC = 1 (Rohtak)
Senior Hooda losing Sonipat, JJP losing Hisar
BJP = 9
INC = 1 (Rohtak)
Senior Hooda losing Sonipat, JJP losing Hisar
#KhattarRoxx Amidst titanic battle in Hisar ... a voter - "Never seen a Govt like this in my life. Our children get govt job without paying single paisa in bribe. Whether Landlord or poor, Police treat everyone equally. " swarajyamag.com/politics/harya…
HN election over. Some saying 10-0, some 5-5. My view remains
BJP = 7 to 10
INC = 0 to 2
JJP = 0 to 1
Let us wait for 19th exit polls especially Total News which is most credible on NCR region.
BJP = 7 to 10
INC = 0 to 2
JJP = 0 to 1
Let us wait for 19th exit polls especially Total News which is most credible on NCR region.
Shocker from TotalNews Exit Poll ... BJP winning Hisar in landslide ...
BJP = 50%
INC = 22%
JJP = 21%
JJP fading in it's stronghold?
BJP = 50%
INC = 22%
JJP = 21%
JJP fading in it's stronghold?
Sonepat ... Hooda Snr losing ...
BJP = 48%
INC = 40%
BJP = 48%
INC = 40%
Rohtak ... Jnr Hooda also losing but closer fight ...
BJP = 41%
INC = 37%
BJP = 41%
INC = 37%
Truly stunning exit poll from Total News .... giving BJP astronomical 50%+ voteshare in sweep of HN.
If true will be big embarrassment for "Swarajya" who said BJP losing 3 seats & Hoodas winning by 2-3 lac votes. So one more psephologist contest to watch out for.😁
If true will be big embarrassment for "Swarajya" who said BJP losing 3 seats & Hoodas winning by 2-3 lac votes. So one more psephologist contest to watch out for.😁
Gurugram ... BJP's Rao Inderjeet Singh set to win by record margin ...
BJP = 64% 😲😲
INC = 31%
BJP = 64% 😲😲
INC = 31%
In HN Modi + Khattar wave ...
Sonipat - Hooda snr trails by 17% margin
Rohtak - Hooda jnr in very close fight
Hisar - BJP crushing it with 50%+ voteshare, Dushyant distant 2nd, Bhavya Bishnoi 3rd barely saving deposit in a disastrous debut
Sonipat - Hooda snr trails by 17% margin
Rohtak - Hooda jnr in very close fight
Hisar - BJP crushing it with 50%+ voteshare, Dushyant distant 2nd, Bhavya Bishnoi 3rd barely saving deposit in a disastrous debut
Again posting this excellent thread by @ASKatyal on HN. Seat-by-seat analysis.
Looking at the whopping 58% vote share of BJP in HN, & results in some seats, it seems BJP got more J votes than any other Party. Genuine rainbow coalition has been achieved. In HN no one hates BJP.
A large chunk of INLD votes may have gone to BJP.
A large chunk of INLD votes may have gone to BJP.
In HN it's not just Modi, there is a Khattar effect. Remarkable that a non-charismatic CM has become such a big factor purely on the basis of performance. Much like Shivraj.
Khattar's rise is even bigger as BJP was a fringe player in HN till 2014.
Khattar's rise is even bigger as BJP was a fringe player in HN till 2014.
INLD has all but disappeared. One option for the INLD faction of the Chautala family is for it's youngest member Karan or Arjun to join BJP. That seems to be the only viable route to preserve some influence.
I'm in favour of BJP taking in one of them.
I'm in favour of BJP taking in one of them.
NaMo + MaNo wave in HN.
#KhattarRoxx Khattar replaces feudalism with a meritocracy.
swarajyamag.com/politics/how-n…
#KhattarRoxx Khattar replaces feudalism with a meritocracy.
swarajyamag.com/politics/how-n…
Hooda could try his luck by forming a separate Party. If BJP sweeps & gets 75+ seats, Hooda could try to get 5 seats & take up opposition space.
Rumors of Hooda quitting INC since 2 yrs, but reports now say "final" decision taken.
Other reports also say plan to ally with BSP.
Don't understand this obsession of HN parties to ally with BSP, it's vote is not transferable & is likely to go to BJP.
hindi.news18.com/news/haryana/r…
Other reports also say plan to ally with BSP.
Don't understand this obsession of HN parties to ally with BSP, it's vote is not transferable & is likely to go to BJP.
hindi.news18.com/news/haryana/r…
JJP unallies AAP, & allies with BSP. Maybe Hooda will ally with AAP😄.
In HN's current situation, none of these votes look transferable. In JJP seats BSP votes will likely go to BJP, & in BSP seats JJP votes will go to BJP/INLD.
In HN's current situation, none of these votes look transferable. In JJP seats BSP votes will likely go to BJP, & in BSP seats JJP votes will go to BJP/INLD.
CSDS analysis of HN LS election ...
1> BJP got massive support from UCs & OBCs (70%+)
2> Also strong support from Js, Ds & Sikhs (50%+)
3> MLAs, MPs not popular
4> Pro-incumbency in favor of Khattar who is seen as honest
5> Opposition dynasties got crushed
epw.in/journal/2019/3…
1> BJP got massive support from UCs & OBCs (70%+)
2> Also strong support from Js, Ds & Sikhs (50%+)
3> MLAs, MPs not popular
4> Pro-incumbency in favor of Khattar who is seen as honest
5> Opposition dynasties got crushed
epw.in/journal/2019/3…
6> No rural-urban divide, BJP equally strong everywhere
7> BJP max popular among youth & senior citizens
In summary Modi, Khattar, Clean admin, Nationalism, Organisation & non-dominant caste consolidation propelling BJP ahead in HN.
7> BJP max popular among youth & senior citizens
In summary Modi, Khattar, Clean admin, Nationalism, Organisation & non-dominant caste consolidation propelling BJP ahead in HN.
As per CSDS, BJP support in HN is ...
UC - 75%
OBC - 72%
Sikh - 59%
Jat - 52%
SC - 51%
M - 14%
Barring Ms, BJP has become a mass-Party with cross-community support.
UC - 75%
OBC - 72%
Sikh - 59%
Jat - 52%
SC - 51%
M - 14%
Barring Ms, BJP has become a mass-Party with cross-community support.
