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THREAD: Referenced in the Indian defence minister's interview today, here's spring 1998 iview w/ India DefMin George Fernandes, where he was v blunt (& prescient) abt China.

Q: China is potential danger no. 1?
A: Potential threat no. 1, shall we say.
1998. Def Min Fernandes: there's reluctance to face the reality that China’s intentions need to be questioned..
Q: What is this reluctance due to?
A: ..primarily rooted in having to face the challenges which accepting this situation or this reality will kind of confront u with 2/
In the 1998, Fernandes agreed that "Chinese military activities are beginning to encircle India." Mentioned:
- nukes, Sukhois, elongated airfields in Tibet,
- nuclear, missile know-how to Pak
- training Burmese military
- Coco Isl facilities
- Harbor construction in Burma 3/
Read 11 tweets
#China’s maritime militia reaches #IndianOcean with worrying consequences - In June 2019, #SriLanka allowed a Chinese fishing company to use Dikkowita harbour, north of Colombo to fish in international waters & also allowed them to fly the Sri Lankan flag…
What better ruse could China seek? Why would Chinese vessels demand to fly the flag of another country? The company will soon deploy 20 x 150-feet long vessels equipped with sophisticated instruments.
Such activity, with Chinese trawlers equipped with satellite-based tracking systems, has implications for South India, Lakshadweep, the Maldives and even Seychelles, not only in terms of fishing, but covering the whole gamut of the Chinese concept of ‘unrestricted warfare’.
Read 3 tweets
Thread: I’ve developed a passion for photography. Starting to take photos daily to share with my twitter fam🤗
Spent the day on the island of Ilisi near #Kismayo with the local young men who bring fish to our city. Incredible to witness their joy & love for fishing. #Somalia
The island of #Ilisi is an hour away from #Kismayo and only local fishermen live there. It’s so clean & breathtaking. A perfect place for a day swim with the family. #Somalia
The catch of the day is not your ordinary fish, but lobsters 😍
#Ilisi #Kismayo #Somalia
Read 5 tweets
Thread: #France & #India bolster capabilities in #IndianOcean - Annual Varuna exercises focus on anti-submarine warfare warfare suggests that the annual exercise between the navies of India & France, was aimed at #China.…
Alarmism over the People’s Liberation Army Navy’s presence in the Indian Ocean is likely misplaced at the moment, but the rapid growth of Chinese naval forces could change things in the future, with Delhi and Paris teaming up in an anti-China front led by the United States.
The second phase of Varuna was conducted off Djibouti from May 22-25, the French Embassy in India revealed last week. The tiny African nation is home to a French base, as well as to China’s first and only overseas naval facility.
Read 13 tweets
hearing—"#China's Worldwide #Military Expansion" is a dramatic bellwether of growing concerns in Washington & beyond.

Now online—hard-hitting arguments + many data points, some deeply-analyzed yet hard to find elsewhere in public domain:
CAPT Jim Fanell, USN Ret, former @USPacificFleet N2:

"today, the PLA Navy consists of over 330 surface ships & 66 submarines, nearly 400 combatants. As of 4 May 2018, the @USNavy consists of 283 battle force ships: 211 surface ships and 72 submarines."
"By 2030, it is estimated [by Fanell & @SCheneyPeters in their chapter in @NavalWarCollege @ChinaMaritime Studies Institute's Chinese Naval Shipbuilding volume… @USNIBooks that] the PLANavy will consist of some 550 ships: 450 surface ships & 99 submarines."
Read 71 tweets

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