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Alberto Nardelli @AlbertoNardelli
, 3 tweets, 1 min read Read on Twitter
FgW poll:

Preferred CDU chair:

Kramp-Karrenbauer 31% (35% among CDU voters)
Merz 25% (33%)
Spahn 6% (7%)

Would be a suitable chancellor:
AKK 41%
Merz 35%
Spahn 17%

forschungsgruppe.de/Aktuelles/Poli…
The FgW poll also finds that:

63% of Germans want Merkel to stay as chancellor until her term ends in 2021

68% want Seehofer to go. (67% among CDU/CSU voters. Only a majority of AfD voters backs Seehofer to stay)
Finally, for the first time since December 2015, a CDU/CSU-Greens coalition has a parliamentary majority in an FgW poll:
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Brexit. Things are getting worse.

1. The withdrawal agreement is needed regardless of the shape of the future relationship. The withdrawal agreement on the table, including the backstop, will not be renegotiated. EU27 cannot be clearer on this point – and this is the key point.
2. Throughout these negotiations, so many problems have been created by N10’s inability & unwillingness to set realistic expectations, explain tradeoffs and communicate clearly. As the PM runs out of road, the confusion over the withdrawal agreement is the latest example
3. The political declaration allows for a full spectrum of future options, but it is not clear what kind of relationship the UK wants. This will require a proper debate on tradeoffs (and years of negotiation). However, whatever that option: you need the withdrawal agreement
Read 7 tweets
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About last night:

1) May went to the meeting seeking legally-binded assurances with half-baked proposals to placate hard Brexiteers & DUP

These have been rejected repeatedly for obvious reasons. Backstop is an insurance policy not “a trap.” Not EU27 problem many MPs ignore this
2) May was asked by several leaders, and, I am told, most emphatically by Chancellor Merkel: 'what is it that you want?'

The prime minister was unable to provide an answer to this question with any precision.
That is where May is at in a nutshell: Nearly two years after triggering article 50, the UK does not have an answer to the question, "what do you want?"

There are also concerns that the UK – across the political spectrum – has no idea what kind of future relationship it wants.
Read 7 tweets
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EUCO draft Brexit conclusions: I understand that paragraph 5 (EU stands ready to examine whether any further assurances can be provided..) has gone.
Par. 1, which wasn't in square brackets, is of course unchanged: "The Union stands by this agreement and intends to proceed with its ratification. It is not open for renegotiation."
Par 2 unchanged: EU reiterates wish for 'as close as possible partnership.." 'stands ready to embark on prep immediately after signature of WA to ensure negotiations can start asap after withdrawal'. Understand 27 discussed starting prep work on future deal as soon as UK ratifies
Read 12 tweets

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A short thread on the significance of the #CDU election tomorrow in #Germany to determine #Merkel's successor as party leader [1/8]
The two front-runners are Annegret Kramp-Karrenbauer (AKK), the continuity candidate, and Friedrich Merz, who wants to take the party back towards the right. Jens Spahn, a younger right-wing contender, stands less of a chance [2/8]
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A few thoughts on where the @CDU president succession race stands at the end of a crazy week, really an attempt to synthesise what we already know and do not know and what chatter and speculation would currently suggest:
1/ We have 3 candidates that shape the structure of the race as follows: @_A_K_K_ is Merkel's heir apparent and supposedly somewhere on the left of the spectrum. @jensspahn covers the right flank of the party with a focus on migration. And #Merz is the unknown on the centre lane.
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Darf ich vorstellen, @GregorGolland, #CDU, MdL #NRW. Wird von deinem Geld alimentiert, bezog aber 2017 zwischen 90k-120k € für eine Nebentätigkeit bei der @RWE_AG Tochter @innogy. Was er da genau macht erklärt er auf Nachfrage nicht. 1

#Korruption #HambacherForst
Seine kluge Erklärung als Volksvertreter, btw Fulltimejob, ist diese:
"Ich arbeite einfach mehr als der Normalverdiener. Ich mache beide Jobs gut, sonst hätte ich sie nicht."

HYBRIS und ARROGANZ in zwei Sätzen formuliert. Well done Gregor. 2

#Korruption #HambacherForst #CDU
Zum Nachlesen: abgeordnetenwatch.de/blog/2017-01-1…

Via @a_watch 3

#Korruption #HambacherForst #CDU
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[poll] please participate in my 2018 software developer survey
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😱😱#poll #thread😱😱

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