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Game-theory this for me please. If @theresa_may backs the @SteveBakerHW @NickyMorgan01 Brexit plan C she probably wins Brady amendment and defeats Cooper/Boles - but doing so would be based on what she believes to be a lie, since she is (probably rightly)...
...convinced there is zero chance of EU 27 leaders agreeing Morgan/Baker Brexit plan. In the process she buys another two weeks of false hope that Brexit deal looms but also massively increases risk of no-deal Brexit. Which about 20 of her ministers know and hate - so if...
...she goes that route some or all of them quit today or at the latest in two weeks (Clark, Rudd, Gauke, Ellwood, Harrington and so on - even possibly Lidington and Hammond). So does she today recognise that the game is up and her only hope is to enter cross-party talks...
...on a soft Brexit deal that could get through the Commons but would destroy her party. Or does she tie herself to the mast of Morgan/Baker, knowing it is the route to a no-deal Brexit and the probable collapse of her government. Scylla and Charybdis does quite capture it.
I meant to say “Scylla and Charybdis does NOT quite capture it”. And please forgive the omission of two question marks. It is that kind of day
