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Staedtler
@Staedtler
, 5 tweets, 1 min read Read on Twitter
It says you have to allow 25 working days for a general election, so presumably that's Monday to Friday.
Which means five weeks. And that brings us to March 28th. The day before Brexit.
So if there's going to be a general election before Brexit they'll have to call it today
I think we can be fairly sure that they won't call a general election today. So that at least clears the air a bit. There re now two things that can't happen in time.

There will be no referendum before Brexit, and now there will be no general election either.
And this is all a good thing because events and the march of time are narrowing down the final two choices that I said there would be all along.
You either leave with nothing, or abandon the whole idea.
I always said it would come down to this in the end, and when MPs, across all parties, when the vast majority of MPs were finally confronted with that choice, they would abandon the whole idea.
And I still think that's what they're going to do.
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More from @Staedtler see all

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Staedtler
@Staedtler
Something else that people do. They mistake psychological problems for practical obstructions.

There is no practical difficulty in taking Article 50 notice back. It's just a piece of paper.
All you do is say to Europe, It turns out we can't do this after all. Put it down to national hysteria. Anyway, we can't do it, so that's that.

See what I mean? Easy.
All the problems about it are pride and vanity, and the pug ugliness of tabloid journalism, but honest, when was it anything else?
Read 3 tweets
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Staedtler
@Staedtler
Brexit has shown up a deep and bedded problem with English journalism.
Over years. Many many years, journalists have become far too reliant on private "sources" which are often no more than gossip and rumour, while losing the ability to think.
The operative word is "reliant" Jopurnalists have become reliant on sources and whispers and rumours, even where there is absolutely no value in them, like with Brexit.
For the last three years I've been telling you Brexit wasn't going to happen, and I've been explaining why.
Theresa May thought she could use Article 50 to get a new treaty. Her racism gave her to assume that foreigners were weak and stupid and would give her what she wanted
Read 12 tweets
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Staedtler
@Staedtler
Like I said before, the problem with the first referendum was that no one defined the nature of a required majority.
But you couldn't play that game with a ratification referendum, could you?
See, if you're making ratification of a treaty conditional on the result of a referendum, you'll have to define what constitutes a valid result.
You could say that it's a national vote, but unless you deliver all the ballot boxes into one huge pile and mix them all up, you will know the result in the different countries, Scotland, England, Wales, Northern Ireland.
Read 7 tweets

Related threads

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Jon Worth
@jonworth
Before this week's #Brexit shenanigans, I said this:

"With May as Prime Minister there can be no Brexit deal"

I stand by that statement

I see no way that the #EUCO - ongoing as I write this thread - can give May anything that'll appease the Brexit hard liners in her party

🇪🇺 is not going to make the backstop time limited or allow 🇬🇧 to unilaterally withdraw it. So the deal on the table is essentially unchanged
The Tories reaching across the political divide to Labour still looks like a ridiculously long shot as well:
theguardian.com/politics/2018/…
Read 16 tweets
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tony nog #FBPE
@tony_nog
1) 6 pointless, time wasting exercises the Tory & Labour parties want to put the country through before we can start work on #Brexit

There are only 2 options left, May’s deal or Remain. There’s no majority for no deal and no time or appetite for a new negotiation
#PeoplesVote
2) There is only 3 months left and the country is in a state of worry. Despite this, and despite the ticking clock the 2 major parties are insisting on self indulgent frippery and posturing before we can get to the real business of fixing #Brexit
3) Lets take the Tory party. Firstly, they’re about to engage in another Leadership contest. May will probably win this but even if she doesn’t it will consume weeks of time for no purpose because it won’t itself change anything in Brexit. The same issues will exist afterwards
Read 14 tweets
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Werner Trapmann #EU27Voices4UKRemain
@WernerT_Man
@phoenix_de @guyverhofstadt Die Bürgerrechte der @The3Million sowie @BritishInEurope finden trotz allem zu wenig Gewichtung! Die EU hat nur dann eine Zukunft, wenn sie sich weniger von Lobbygruppen&mächtigen Wirtschaftsunternehmen leiten lässt&ein Bürgerparlament installiert,das mit entscheidet&konrolliert!
@phoenix_de @guyverhofstadt @The3Million @BritishInEurope @Eu27K @julienfouchet1 @inthebrickhouse @fairvoteuk @Lawyers4EU @UKEUchallenge @voiceseurope @AndrewAtter @julie4nw Another problem,UK democracy is hijacked by populists.@guyverhofstadt“Europe has a 5th column in its ranks:Putin's cheerleaders who want to destroy Europe&liberal democracy:LePen,Wilders..use Kremlin money&intelligence. Farage's friend Banks colluded with Russia 2deliver #Brexit
@phoenix_de @guyverhofstadt @The3Million @BritishInEurope @Eu27K @julienfouchet1 @inthebrickhouse @fairvoteuk @Lawyers4EU @UKEUchallenge @voiceseurope @AndrewAtter @julie4nw @julienfouchet1 “Our pan-European movement @Eu27K wants to mobilise people in all of the 27 states so that people understand why the UK is leaving the EU–they don’t know in the memberstates that this Brexit is illegal.We aim 2 create a support committee in each of the 27 states.“
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Jack D 🌹| #GTTO | ✋🏽
@JackDunc1
#Brexit *Thread*

To clarify, I am remain, but I feel a 2nd ref is monumentally risky & perhaps dangerous:-

1. Polls haven't changed much, result could easily be the same
2. Another campaign of hate will embolden the far right
3. If remain win. Leavers will demand another vote
4. Chaos & unrest are likely whatever the result, possibly violence too

What happens if it's still 'Leave'? Picture the chaos, square one. You're simply allowing the Tories more time to fail to come up with a solution. Every day that continues people in this country will suffer
What if it's 'Remain'? Leavers will, with some justification, query why this vote is more valid than the first. This has the potential to cause a constitutional crisis.

People can say 'we know the facts now' all they like, that will not placate millions of angry voters.
Read 11 tweets
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Axel Antoni
@antoni_UK
1/ Why is @UKLabour not opposing #Brexit when Tory Brexit is in tatters & 72% of the Labour supporters do oppose Brexit ? This is a very intriguing question & it feels counterintuitive, especially since most Labour MPs oppose Brexit too. But is it?
2/ Despite Labour party & and supporters opposing #Brexit, supporting it is the surest way to to winning the next general election. And this has nothing to do with wanting to attract Leave voters at all - nothing at all.
3/ There is only one Brexit scenario that will keep the @Conservatives in power: A hard #Brexit that at the same time is a success. And we know how likely that is. All other scenarios will almost automatically lead to a @UKLabour Govt.
Read 12 tweets
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Nicolai von Ondarza
@NvOndarza
"#Brexit and EU agencies", our extensive look into third country relationships of the 36 EU agencies and how the UK might fit in.

swp-berlin.org/fileadmin/cont…

Albeit largely technical, agencies will have huge implications on Brexit.

Five points stand out in particular:
First, Agencies matter. Like the customs union, they are a technical aspect of the EU, that works and was thus hardly discussed in the UK before #Brexit.
But they are important for single market, but also justice and home affairs.

UK gov thus has already asked to continue participation in selected agencies, in particular in sectors important to the UK economy, like aviation, chemicals or pharma.
Read 10 tweets

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#PeoplesVoteMarch #Trump #PeoplesVote #Brexit #brexit #EUreferendum #Russia #Farage #JustPlainStupid #HostileEnvironment #bollocks #NoPVYesGE #FinalSay #MoneyLaundering #EURef #CEO #Fraud #remain #WindrushGeneration #TheresaMay #ProjectFear #RevokeA50 #Gibraltar #Cyprus #GTTO
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