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Simon Wardley #EEA
@swardley
, 3 tweets, 1 min read Read on Twitter
A top 20 in DevOps and now ...
... a top 20 in cloud - ... this is very kind but most of my work is in mapping, strategic gameplay, Gov, China, serverless and now ... culture. It's very kind to be included but I do feel a bit of a fraud as I don't spend enough time on these topics.
X : How do you end up on these lists?
Me : No idea. I tend to be vocal on the obvious which often causes conflict i.e. private cloud is daft unless you're larger than Netflix, containers are a future invisible subsystem, DevOps is the new legacy, OpenStack is a dead duck etc.
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Simon Wardley #EEA
@swardley
Cisco "discover" that two mode systems (i.e bimodal) don't work, welcome to 2004. Cisco, putting the "duh" into "executive" ... I can't stop laughing ->
Cisco has been home to many of my favourite characters including John "chickening out and buggering off" Chambers, man most likely to speed to a cliff edge, bail out and claim "Look at my success, we're really motoring now!"
If I remember right, when Chambers left then their PR agency went overboard emphasising "what a great legacy he left" ... the rule of thumb is "When execs have to TELL you about the great legacy they're leaving, it's a tower of crap about to collapse"
Read 3 tweets
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Simon Wardley #EEA
@swardley
X : How long does it take to go from genesis of something to the point of it becoming a commodity?
Me : Typically about 30 - 50 years, though there is some tentative evidence (very questionable) that it might be slightly faster (20 - 30 years) now. Stick with 30 to 50 years.
X : That's incredibly slow?
Me : No, that's incredibly fast and it has some fairly devastating consequences. Remember we often have overlapping points of industrialisation (conversion to commodity) for multiple different types of tech.
X : Devastating? How?
Me : Ok, let us take 30-50 years as the average time for genesis to the point of industrialisation i.e. commodity [see point A] plus the average 10-15 years to become the new "norm" for the majority [point B]
Read 8 tweets
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Simon Wardley #EEA
@swardley
X : Are there alternatives to the x-axis of a map?
Me : There are different terms for each of the forms of capital. Or you can mix and match, e.g. for mapping ethics or the law then the following might be useful. Personally, I just use activities to describe stage I to IV.
X : How do I determine how evolved something is?
Me : That's a matter of discussion with others, the use of the cheat sheet (attached) and comparison to many other maps. It's an imperfect process but useful in its own right.
... mapping is not really a solo activity, it's most effective when done with others. Also, it's not possible to create a perfect map, so don't worry about that. Finally, it's not a one off exercise but a continual process of observation.
Read 3 tweets

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IndoPacific_SCS_info
@China_SCS_info
#China plans to sell #Pakistan an aircraft carrier and integrate it militarily - I believe a carrier for Pak is far fetched, but the article is very revealing about CN plans for Pak, something that usually gets dismissed @desertfox61I @avarakai sundayguardianlive.com/news/china-pla…
Beijing is increasingly integrating Pakistan into its military system to fulfill its global ambitions. Meanwhile, India refuses to sell Brahmos to Vietnam for fear of upsetting China. China is not reciprocating India's actions. #Huawei is allowed to bid for the 5G network.
Conscious Western efforts to retard its growth & access to hi-tech supply chains, Beijing has adopted an overtly benign tone with its neighbors. These are, however, cosmetic tactical measures & China’s ambition of developing “a kind of military force system” has not changed.
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Andrew Erickson 艾立信
@AndrewSErickson
"I want to warn the world about an unprecedented danger that’s threatening the very survival of open societies.

…I’ll focus on #China, where President #XiJinping wants a one-party state to reign supreme."

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Truth To Power
@HuxleyWarnedUs
#China mines the rare earth minerals out of Afghanistan and the oil from Iraq. Two countries we spent TRILLIONS of dollars and thousands of lives in militarily and we get NOTHING while they reap the rewards. #WeWereSoldOut #BoiledFrogs #PanamaCanal #MissileTechnologyToo
China is raping Africa and taking over their continent by loaning them money they can’t repay and then forclosing. They mine 90% of all the rare earth minerals in Africa. Gates killed thousands via vaccines there (and here too). #WeWereSoldOut #BoiledFrogs #PanamaCanal
The World Bank loans China money interest free. As they did the US under Obama. Yet, they have now raised interest rates on the US 7 times since Trump took office to slow his explosive economic growth. Why? Because Obama agreed to submitting the US to China while we crumbled.
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Gal Bashan
@BashanGal
#serverless advocates - we are doing something wrong. I have been putting this off for a long time but I really think it is important and has to be said. Warning: LONG thread.
The trigger for this thread was a talk I gave at #DevOpsDays Edinburgh. It wasn't the talk per-say, but the whole conference experience (which was awesome, but that's a topic for another thread).
Here I am, with around 200 people who really care about the DevOps culture and practices - and so little of them has any experience with serverless tech.
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Adam Ni 倪凌超
@adam_ni
#China will attempt a forceful unification with #Taiwan by 2021, the centenary of the Chinese Communist Party. Xi's grand dream of national rejuvenation entails unifying all that #CCP considers Chinese lands, especially Taiwan.

This THREAD looks at this potential scenario.
The legitimacy of the #CCP regime under Xi is based on the twin pillars of economic growth and nationalism. For the party-state, unifying the mainland and Taiwan is critical to its aspirations of national rejuvenation and erasure of national humiliation.
Why would PRC force a unification as early as 2021? 1) 2021 is the centenary of the #CCP; anniversaries and dates have massive symbolic importance in China's political culture. 2) Xi wants unification to be part of his legacy. This is the only way that he can outshine #Mao.
Read 26 tweets
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Millennial Macro
@MillennialMacro
#demographics #militaries #economies #currencies
#USA
- Best demographics
- Largest military
- Largest economy
- Most used currency
- Liquid financial markets
- Open capital account
- Rule of law
- Best geography
- Can be self sufficient if required
- Not trade dependent
#USA
Top trade partners as of 30 June 2018:
- China: 15.2% (strategic competitor)
- Canada: 15.1%
- Mexico: 14.6%
- Japan: 5.1%
- Germany: 4.4%

The next 10 years could result in the below:
- Mexico (25%)
- Canada (20%
- Japan (7%)
- South Korea (5%)
- Great Britain (4%)
#USA
Bring the manufacturing (jobs) home while negatively impacting China's economy.
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irishtimes.com/business/econo…
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Trending hashtags

#Chain #noose #Xinjiang #ambitious #Taipei #harshly #hongkong #Namibian #CCP #Vanuatu #Mao #Manchuria #Chinese #UK #dowjones #SouthPacific #Mnuchin #economies #the #KOSPI #Iran #leader #China #agri #Taiwan
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