,
4 tweets,
1 min read
Read on Twitter
Brexit has caused massive fault lines to appear in both the Tory and Labour parties, but different scenarios are likely to impact them to a greater or lesser extent.
No deal Brexit cracks both open like a nut, but the Tories probably come out of it with more damage than Labour.
No deal Brexit cracks both open like a nut, but the Tories probably come out of it with more damage than Labour.
A soft Brexit splits the Tories, but wouldn't bother Labour so much.
A pre-Brexit snap GE would be disastrous for Labour because it would lead to internal civil war over what Brexit stance to take. Tories as the party of Brexit are less affected.
A pre-Brexit snap GE would be disastrous for Labour because it would lead to internal civil war over what Brexit stance to take. Tories as the party of Brexit are less affected.
Revoking Article 50 and staying hurts Labour, but destroys the Tories.
A post-Brexit GE hurts the Tories (because stuff will have gone wrong, and blame game in full swing) but probably unites Labour, since the concern over which Brexit stance to adopt will be gone.
A post-Brexit GE hurts the Tories (because stuff will have gone wrong, and blame game in full swing) but probably unites Labour, since the concern over which Brexit stance to adopt will be gone.
As far as I can see, there is no scenario both parties can weather without further splits. And if that's the case, that also makes a consensus compromise on Brexit impossible.
