, 4 tweets, 1 min read Read on Twitter
Important result for the psychological effects of FPP. “Brexit party can’t win seats, even in a by-election in ideal circumstances” is a powerful argument and still intact.
Lab first and LDs 4th will also reduce pressure on Lab to adopt a stronger/clearer Remain stance and may stall LDs momentum. They’ll be hoping the recall petition in Brecon and Radnorshire delivers another by-election in more favourable terrain
The reprieve for the traditional parties may prove fleeting, a steady stream of polls putting them behind could yet erode belief in their invincibility or an autumn Brexit crisis could still realign voting further. But it is a reprieve nonetheless.
Aside from the mass electoral effects, one extra MP on the Lab benches and one less vote for “no deal” could be critical in the Commons fights to come.
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