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David Henig
@DavidHenigUK
, 3 tweets, 1 min read Read on Twitter
No deal means no deal, and in a contest over contemporary facts between Mark Carney and Boris Johnson I think we all know who is more likely to be correct.
If Johnson in power tries to go Trump-like with regard to facts I think he'll find the going quite tough, but can't be ruled out
Insider tip, real trade policy types don't go on about WTO Article 24 but the definition of 'substantially all trade' that an agreement needs to be compliant with it. Because it's so bleeding obvious that agreement = agreement and no-agreement = well guess what...
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David Henig
@DavidHenigUK
Today I'll attend a conference arranged by the 'Alternative Arrangements Commission' - even though I've been critical of the work of some of those involved in the past. They invited me though, and we need proper dialogue to solve our Brexit issues.
So the interim report has already been widely criticised, but I disagree. For this is not another no-deal and it can all be fixed by Thursday type report. For a start, not getting rid of the backstop, but ensuring it is never triggered... (you have to note the language carefully)
Then even more significantly, but even more hidden, essentially the report reinvents the single market to solve border checks. Obviously this is a largely Brexiteer report, so they focus on an unacceptable UK-Ireland single market, but that's what it is - in this case for SPS
Read 32 tweets
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David Henig
@DavidHenigUK
There's a subtext to the Brexit WTO Article 24 stuff that is more interesting than the obvious - it only works if we reach a deal - namely the notion that the EU is wrong not to offer a tariff only deal, and this is punishment for the UK or not in their own interests
Two thoughts on response - the first being that it really is up to the EU to decide what is in their own interests, rather than a country leaving, and it is certain that it isn't in their interests to go back on red lines and damage their negotiating credibility
Perhaps though you think the EU is being mean to the UK, and is going to carry on? Trouble is we can't move geographically from the economic bloc on our doorstep. So do we insist on never doing a deal, or compromise? Real world question rarely asked
Read 3 tweets
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David Henig
@DavidHenigUK
Then the EU says no as it has made clear repeatedly, Parliament refuses to back no-deal, and you do what next precisely?

On a related note, any chance you also tell us what's in the Free Trade Agreement that apparently is the answer?

#nosubstance
Not exactly winning colleagues over either
And here's another #troubleatmill
Read 3 tweets

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Who funds the IEA, the TPA, the ASI &co?
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