Profile picture
Eric Basmajian
@EPBResearch
, 3 tweets, 1 min read Read on Twitter
A composite index of all future employment data from all five regional Fed surveys continues to roll over, in line with our leading employment index, suggesting a weaker trend in payrolls is likely.
A long-term view of the Regional Fed Future Employment Index
The year over year change in the Regional Fed Future Employment index matches the prior three economic slowdowns this cycle.
Missing some Tweet in this thread?
You can try to force a refresh.

Like this thread? Get email updates or save it to PDF!

Subscribe to Eric Basmajian
Profile picture

Get real-time email alerts when new unrolls are available from this author!

This content may be removed anytime!

Twitter may remove this content at anytime, convert it as a PDF, save and print for later use!

Try unrolling a thread yourself!

how to unroll video

1) Follow Thread Reader App on Twitter so you can easily mention us!

2) Go to a Twitter thread (series of Tweets by the same owner) and mention us with a keyword "unroll" @threadreaderapp unroll

You can practice here first or read more on our help page!

More from @EPBResearch see all

Profile picture
Eric Basmajian
@EPBResearch
NFP Growth Y/Y (Decelerating)
Crash in hours worked for transportation manufacturing @DRuizG80 @TeddyVallee
@DRuizG80 @TeddyVallee Motor Vehicle & Parts hours worked ↓↓
Read 5 tweets

Related threads

Profile picture
Henrik Zeberg
@HenrikZeberg
Good morning FinTwit 🙂 Trust you are well! Stay tuned for some #HZupdates
I hear #Gold has broken up and out - and we are now on the way to new highs.... Gold Bulls are VERY confident - and we see very creative charts to prove the break out. Well - this is how I see it #HZupdates
#Gold has been in a long correction phase starting 2011. Corrections develop in ABC-patterns. Wave B often is a triangle - which get's all the Gold Bulls excited about new highs - just before the major last plunge #HZupdates
Read 14 tweets
Profile picture
Matthew Willemsen
@mwill_crypto
0/ The #cryptocurrency/#blockchain ecosystem is finishing the week in a flurry!

Below, I've condensed 19 of Friday's #crypto developments into one single #Twitter thread. All for your convenience. Enjoy!
1/ 🗽 New York State's D.F.S. granted both @LibertyX (fiat-to-#bitcoin service) and @RobinhoodApp (#crypto exchange) a #BitLicense to operate their respective businesses in the state of #NewYork. The latter also received a money transmitter license. dfs.ny.gov/about/press/pr…
2/ 📊 Social, peer-to-peer user #data network @3Boxdb has partnered with @AlethioEthstats to deliver the first #Ethereum block explorer with built-in social profiling functionality.

Can't wait to give this a try. Such a neat, value-adding integration for the budding #web3 space!
Read 20 tweets
Profile picture
David Jensen
@RealDavidJensen
@EmmaMuhleman1 @jameshenryand @michaellebowitz @SantiagoAuFund @dlacalle_IA @DA_Stockman @RonPaul @RonPaulInstitut @MarkTOByrne @MarkYusko @ErikSTownsend @Halsrethink @AndrewBellBNN @JayTaylorMedia @realDonaldTrump @LouDobbs @Varneyco @MariaBartiromo @gatewaypundit @JeffSnider_AIP @TruthGundlach @epomboy @TFMetals @PaulCraigRobert @LanceRoberts @TheBubbleBubble One important difference in the cycles is that low interest rates steadily build-in distortion to the economy over time while the tightening cycle (esp. a rapid tighten) precipitates failures that quickly cascade through the economy. Criticality theory.

#EndTheFed
@EmmaMuhleman1 @jameshenryand @michaellebowitz @SantiagoAuFund @dlacalle_IA @DA_Stockman @RonPaul @RonPaulInstitut @MarkTOByrne @MarkYusko @ErikSTownsend @Halsrethink @AndrewBellBNN @JayTaylorMedia @realDonaldTrump @LouDobbs @Varneyco @MariaBartiromo @gatewaypundit @JeffSnider_AIP @TruthGundlach @epomboy @TFMetals @PaulCraigRobert @LanceRoberts @TheBubbleBubble "I speak to more than a dozen ceos every single week. They all had high hopes. No longer."

"It changed in the last six weeks."

Anecdotes, but expected.

The Fed builds dysfunction into the economy with low rates - it shows when rates rise.

#EndTheFed

cnbc.com/2018/10/09/cra…
@EmmaMuhleman1 @jameshenryand @michaellebowitz @SantiagoAuFund @dlacalle_IA @DA_Stockman @RonPaul @RonPaulInstitut @MarkTOByrne @MarkYusko @ErikSTownsend @Halsrethink @AndrewBellBNN @JayTaylorMedia @realDonaldTrump @LouDobbs @Varneyco @MariaBartiromo @gatewaypundit @JeffSnider_AIP @TruthGundlach @epomboy @TFMetals @PaulCraigRobert @LanceRoberts @TheBubbleBubble Cramer's relay of plunging CEO sentiment fits w/ sudden dive in Consumer Metrics 'Weighted Composite Index' starting in September.

consumerindexes.com

A sharp break to be expected after years of zero Fed rate and then increased Fed rates. Criticality Theory.

#bonds #gold
Read 15 tweets
Profile picture
Millennial Macro
@MillennialMacro
#demographics #militaries #economies #currencies
#USA
- Best demographics
- Largest military
- Largest economy
- Most used currency
- Liquid financial markets
- Open capital account
- Rule of law
- Best geography
- Can be self sufficient if required
- Not trade dependent
#USA
Top trade partners as of 30 June 2018:
- China: 15.2% (strategic competitor)
- Canada: 15.1%
- Mexico: 14.6%
- Japan: 5.1%
- Germany: 4.4%

The next 10 years could result in the below:
- Mexico (25%)
- Canada (20%
- Japan (7%)
- South Korea (5%)
- Great Britain (4%)
#USA
Bring the manufacturing (jobs) home while negatively impacting China's economy.
forbes.com/sites/kenrapoz…
cebglobal.com/talentdaily/au…
irishtimes.com/business/econo…
Read 338 tweets

Trending hashtags

#SecretSocieties #TLT #PetroGold #WhereIsRuth #Bulgaria #NYSE #health #Rates #Vietnam #GoingDigital #engineering #technology #Davos2019 #Inflationary #Steel #legal #dax #NewYork #EcoFeminism #BOI #SeedPriceControlOrder #PoisonFree #suicide #Manufacturing #EndTheFED
Follow Us on Twitter!

Did Thread Reader help you today?

Support us! We are indie developers!

This site is made by just three indie developers on a laptop doing marketing, support and development! Read more about the story.

Become a Premium Member ($3.00/month or $30.00/year) and get exclusive features!

Become Premium

Too expensive? Make a small donation by buying us coffee ($5) or help with server cost ($10)

Donate via Paypal Become our Patreon

Thank you for your support!