Discover and read the best of Twitter Threads about #inflationary

Most recents (4)

September witnessed a somewhat disappointing nonfarm #payroll gain of 194,000 jobs, which was weaker than the upwardly revised August gain of 365,000 and was well below #economists’ consensus estimates of nearly 490,000 jobs.
Clearly, there are significant #labor supply issues limiting the pace of recovery. Further, the #unemployment rate declined meaningfully, from 5.2% to 4.8% in Sept, and average hourly #earnings saw gains of 0.62% m-o-m, which brings the measure to 4.58% greater on a y-o-y basis.
The most interesting part of today’s #JobsReport, and much of the other recent #economic/corporate data, is that it’s the supply of resources that’s creating systemic pricing pressure, as well as consequently dulling growth of an #economy not lacking demand in virtually any area.
Read 11 tweets
#RealInvestmentReport is out!
Despite the expected #surge in #inflation early in the week, #bulls picked themselves up to rally #stocks into Friday. We discuss the potential for a short-term #bounce, why the #Fed will make a #mistake, and #postioning now.
realinvestmentadvice.com/despite-surgin…
#LessonLearned - don't anticipate the turn in your #technicalsignals. As noted last week, it "seemed" the signal had turned, but it didn't. The #signal is very #oversold, so set up for a short-term #bounce is likely. Caution is still advised for now.
realinvestmentadvice.com/despite-surgin…
If we are #correct in our assessment about the roll-off #effect of #stimulus and #liquidity, we could well see #bonds outperform #stocks in 2022. We are watching very closely as we currently hold minimal duration in our fixed-income #portfolios.
realinvestmentadvice.com/despite-surgin…
Read 5 tweets
1/ #RealYield is the ultimate driver for #Gold price; to be exact, it's the #negative #realyield that had been driving the gold price!

An important historical fact was during the 1975 - 1980s hyper-inflationary period, #gold went parabolic due to #realyield going "negative"...
2/ Look at the above chart closely, #gold price started to bottom in tandem with #realyield dropping below 0%; conversely, #gold price peaked ahead of the #realyield turning positive.

In other words, gold price can be a leading indicator prior to the #realyield turning positive!
3/ Today's #gold price action (since Aug2020) is reminiscent of the period during #Year2011's peak where #gold price was dropping in tandem with #realyield prior to the bottoming in #realyield;

Gold price then turned decisively lower as #realyield finally bottomed.
Read 8 tweets
Good morning FinTwit 🙂 Trust you are well! Stay tuned for some #HZupdates
I hear #Gold has broken up and out - and we are now on the way to new highs.... Gold Bulls are VERY confident - and we see very creative charts to prove the break out. Well - this is how I see it #HZupdates
#Gold has been in a long correction phase starting 2011. Corrections develop in ABC-patterns. Wave B often is a triangle - which get's all the Gold Bulls excited about new highs - just before the major last plunge #HZupdates
Read 14 tweets

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