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Edwin Hayward🦄🗡️
@uk_domain_names
, 5 tweets, 2 min read Read on Twitter
Jeremy Corbyn's trying to browbeat MPs into supporting him in a caretaker government. "The Labour leadership’s argument is that if MPs are serious about stopping a no-deal Brexit then they will have to get behind his plan." Sounds a wee bit like blackmail.
theguardian.com/politics/2019/…
BTW, there is a critical difference between a caretaker government and a GNU. One works for a defined purpose, but is essentially a minority Government. The other is a true cross-party effort. Tories who can support a GNU may well not support a caretaker government.
Note too Jeremy Corbyn's priorities: GE first. But a second referendum? If that's after the GE, it may well never happen, because you can't keep promises made going into an election if you then lose that election. So it doesn't really solve Brexit, just moves it a few weeks.
And if Boris Johnson goes into the GE ranting about Labour thwarting Brexit & promising to crash out instantly if he wins, he's going to scoop up most of the Brexit Party vote. Labour will split the remain vote by being semi-hemi-demi-remain enough to really hurt, but no more.
A good take on this. Summary: approach with a mountain of salt.
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Edwin Hayward🦄🗡️
@uk_domain_names
An intriguing thought:
Jeremy Corbyn may want to be World King (sorry, I just can't get over Boris Johnson's early description of his own ambitions) and hold a GE after that, but...
To become WK he needs 50%+1 of MPs
To get a GE under the FTPA he needs 66% of MPs.
One may be very difficult but possible, the other impossible. Why? Because why would Labour MPs vote for a GE *after* JC is in power? Their guy is WK. A GE puts that at risk. What's the incentive? And why would MPs from other parties risk a GE that could give BJ a majority?
They know remain is divided. If BJ can whip a frenzy of anger at the prospect of losing Brexit, he can sweep the BP vote.

And you can bet anything JC knows this. So he can be WK, try for an election, then when that fails he can say "oopsie, guess I'm your PM until 2022 then..."
Read 4 tweets
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Edwin Hayward🦄🗡️
@uk_domain_names
I've just written the most spine-chilling 1,000 words about Brexit! It covers Parliamentary sovereignty, and how our rights and protections will be put at risk by leaving the EU. I'm sure I had less white hair a couple of hours ago. Here's a taster. the rest will be in my book...
Here's a second little bit from the same section, which is now 1,500 words long. I have to clear my head for a bit before tackling the next piece for writing...
(piece OF writing - see what I mean about clearing my head?!)
Read 3 tweets
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Edwin Hayward🦄🗡️
@uk_domain_names
We have an interesting cards-on-table situation developing now. Corbyn has made his "make me PM or suffer a no deal Brexit" threat, everyone else has weighed in. Other options (such as Harriet Harmon) look to be *theoretical* runners.
So if the VONC never happens, or it does but Corbyn fluffs the chance to become World King while at the same time muddying the waters enough so that nobody else can form a GNU, then it's going to be 100% on his head.
After all, he's the only one insisting on crowning himself. Everyone else trying to find solutions to avoid no deal is suggesting people other than themselves as GNU leader.
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